Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Buffalo SabresDec 9, 2022

Final / OTFriday, Dec 9, 2022· KeyBank Center

away

Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

4

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

3

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
PIT	0	1	2	1	4		PIT	6	8	17	2	33
BUF	0	2	1	0	3		BUF	13	11	7	0	31

: PIT 56BUF 48
: PIT 3.86BUF 2.70
PP goals: PIT 2BUF 0
Hits: PIT 19BUF 13
Blocks: PIT 11BUF 13
PIM: PIT 10BUF 25
: PIT 63%BUF 37%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Pittsburgh Penguins edge Buffalo Sabres 4–3 (OT)

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Buffalo Sabres 4–3 in overtime at BUF. Casey Mittelstadt (BUF) led the scoring with 0G 3A. PIT's first power-play unit (Malkin, Crosby, Petry, Rakell and Guentzel) scored 1 power-play goal on 14 attempts in 5:33 together.

Points
Casey Mittelstadt had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 10:31.Mittelstadt
Points
Rickard Rakell had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 23:44.Rakell
Points
Evgeni Malkin had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 18:52.Malkin
PP1
PIT's first power-play unit (Malkin, Crosby, Petry, Rakell and Guentzel) scored 1 power-play goal on 14 attempts in 5:33 together.Malkin Crosby Petry Rakell Guentzel
Usage
Casey Mittelstadt (BUF) played 10:31, −5:17 down on his 15:48 season average over 81 games.Mittelstadt
Usage
Rickard Rakell (PIT) played 23:44, +5:22 up on his 18:22 season average over 81 games.Rakell
Usage
Jeff Petry (PIT) played 26:32, +4:16 up on his 22:16 season average over 60 games.Petry
Usage
Tage Thompson (BUF) played 23:03, +4:31 up on his 18:32 season average over 77 games.Thompson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← PIT attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
PIT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 104 of 104 attempts · BUF 48 · PIT 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
PIT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
PIT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: PIT 31% of the game, BUF 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

PIT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	PIT	BUF
	40	46
	2.43	2.66
	2.23	2.56
	8	10
	2	4
	14	14
	+0.112	−0.112
	31%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Rakell – Guentzel
13:3257% CF
L2Malkin – Zucker – Rust
8:4142% CF
L3Carter – McGinn – Kapanen
8:1150% CF
L4Archibald – Blueger – Heinen
5:0150% CF
D1Petry – Pettersson
17:0548% CF
D2Dumoulin – Rutta
15:2238% CF
D3Ruhwedel – Joseph
8:1663% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Petry – Rakell – Guentzel
5:33100% CF
PP2Carter – Zucker – Rust – Kapanen – Joseph
1:35100% CF
PK1FBlueger – McGinn
4:26
PK2FRust – Archibald
2:00
PK1DDumoulin – Rutta
4:20
PK2DPetry – Pettersson
1:47

Current PIT line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
11:5067% CF
L2Cozens – Quinn – Peterka
8:2640% CF
L3Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
8:1050% CF
L4Olofsson – Jost – Mittelstadt
6:2467% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
14:0565% CF
D2Jokiharju – Power
13:2050% CF
D3Fitzgerald – Bryson
4:1438% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
4:23100% CF
PP2Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Quinn – Peterka – Power
1:53
PK1FOkposo – Girgensons
2:02
PK2FJost – Quinn
1:42
PK1DJokiharju – Samuelsson
4:04
PK2DDahlin – Power
1:18

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

15:36
PITJake GuentzelPP (Evgeni Malkin, Jeff Petry)wrist0.09 xG
PIT: Malkin, Crosby, Petry, Rakell, GuentzelBUF: Jost, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Quinn
PIT 1 – 0 BUF
18:08
BUFVictor Olofsson (Tyson Jost, Casey Mittelstadt)snap0.20 xG
PIT: Crosby, Dumoulin, Rakell, Ruhwedel, GuentzelBUF: Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin
PIT 1 – 1 BUF
19:15
BUFJeff Skinner (Tage Thompson, Casey Mittelstadt)wrist0.15 xG
PIT: Carter, Dumoulin, Rakell, McGinn, RuttaBUF: Skinner, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Power
PIT 1 – 2 BUF

3rd period

2:53
PITRickard Rakell (Danton Heinen)wrist0.36 xG
PIT: Crosby, Dumoulin, Rakell, Heinen, RuttaBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power
PIT 2 – 2 BUF
16:30
PITBrock McGinn (Kasperi Kapanen, Jan Rutta)slap0.03 xG
PIT: Carter, Dumoulin, McGinn, Kapanen, RuttaBUF: Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power
PIT 3 – 2 BUF
18:30
BUFKyle Okposo (Jack Quinn, Casey Mittelstadt)snap0.10 xG
PIT: Petry, Rust, Archibald, PetterssonBUF: Okposo, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Quinn, Peterka, Power
PIT 3 – 3 BUF

OT period

1:36
PITJeff CarterPP (Rickard Rakell, Evgeni Malkin)tip-in0.11 xG
PIT: Carter, Malkin, Rakell, JosephBUF: Girgensons, Dahlin, Power
PIT 4 – 3 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Rickard Rakell R	L1	1	1	2	-1	2	0.88	2	0	0	23:44	—	—	54	45
Sidney Crosby C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	0	2	21:38	—	—	61	55
Jake Guentzel C	L1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.59	0	0	2	20:17	—	—	50	26
Evgeni Malkin C	L2	0	2	2	0	5	0.69	0	1	2	18:52	—	—	38	29
Bryan Rust R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	14:53	—	—	39	36
Jason Zucker L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	0	0	2	14:42	—	—	41	45
Brock McGinn L	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	15:29	—	—	47	55
Jeff Carter C	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.35	1	1	0	13:32	—	—	44	51
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.11	2	0	0	12:49	—	—	41	47
Teddy Blueger C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.31	2	0	0	12:51	—	—	38	49
Josh Archibald R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	8:13	—	—	42	50
Danton Heinen L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.31	0	1	0	7:36	—	—	50	75
Jeff Petry D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.08	2	0	0	26:32	—	—	48	65
Marcus Pettersson D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	20:46	—	—	48	67
Brian Dumoulin D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	5	0	23:02	—	—	35	30
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.06	1	1	0	21:14	—	—	39	38
Pierre-Olivier Joseph D	D3	0	0	0	0	5	0.15	2	0	2	14:04	—	—	60	59
Chad Ruhwedel D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	0	0	8:47	—	—	59	49

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Tristan Jarry(start)	W	31	28	3	.903	2.70	61:27

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.34	0	0	0	23:03	—	—	63	59
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.37	1	1	0	20:51	—	—	60	56
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.39	1	0	17	19:49	—	—	64	59
Jack Quinn R	L2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:33	—	—	29	32
Dylan Cozens C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.36	0	0	0	16:31	—	—	42	51
JJ Peterka R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.11	0	0	0	14:59	—	—	40	39
Kyle Okposo R	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.19	4	0	0	13:37	—	—	56	21
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	1	0	13:10	—	—	41	19
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	9:46	—	—	44	21
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	2	11:34	—	—	62	83
Victor Olofsson L	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.39	0	0	0	11:03	—	—	64	68
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	3	3	+2	1	0.13	0	0	2	10:31	—	—	59	82
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	+2	3	0.32	0	0	0	26:26	—	—	61	66
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	3	4	0	26:04	—	—	58	67
Owen Power D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	0	2	0	24:13	—	—	55	39
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.01	1	1	2	23:59	—	—	52	44
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	8:20	—	—	43	53
Casey Fitzgerald D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	6:48	—	—	39	35

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	O	33	29	4	.879	3.86	61:29

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.