Nashville Predators vs. Colorado AvalancheApr 16, 2018

FinalPlayoffsMonday, Apr 16, 2018· Pepsi Center

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

3

@

home

Colorado AvalancheCOL

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	1	2	3		NSH	6	12	14	32
COL	3	1	1	5		COL	11	15	8	34

: NSH 74COL 58
: NSH 1.82COL 3.62
PP goals: NSH 1COL 0
Hits: NSH 38COL 32
Blocks: NSH 16COL 25
PIM: NSH 16COL 12
: NSH 58%COL 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Nashville Predators 5–3

Colorado Avalanche beat Nashville Predators 5–3 at home. Gabriel Landeskog (COL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. Miikka Salomaki (NSH) played 6:19, −4:43 down on his 11:02 season average over 7 games.

Points
Gabriel Landeskog had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 21:39.Landeskog
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 22:11.MacKinnon
Points
Mikko Rantanen had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:43.Rantanen
Points
Ryan Ellis had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 26:21.Ellis
Usage
Miikka Salomaki (NSH) played 6:19, −4:43 down on his 11:02 season average over 7 games.Salomaki
Usage
Mike Fisher (NSH) played 8:06, −3:26 down on his 11:32 season average over 11 games.Fisher
Usage
Kyle Turris (NSH) played 18:51, +3:07 up on his 15:44 season average over 12 games.Turris
PP1
COL's PP1 (Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen and Jost) went scoreless in 6:53 of 5v4 time with 9 attempts.Barrie Landeskog MacKinnon Rantanen Jost

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 132 of 132 attempts · COL 58 · NSH 74

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 24% of the game, COL 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	COL
	64	50
	1.14	2.11
	1.12	2.06
	6	13
	2	7
	13	16
	+0.100	−0.100
	24%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Turris – Smith – Fiala
8:5763% CF
L2Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
8:5670% CF
L3Bonino – Watson – Sissons
5:2567% CF
L4Fisher – Salomaki – Hartman
3:2750% CF
D1Subban – Ekholm
14:4578% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
13:0848% CF
D3Emelin – Irwin
7:0445% CF

PP1Subban – Smith – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
1:5675% CF
PP2Turris – Josi – Ellis – Sissons – Fiala
1:04100% CF
PK1FWatson – Sissons
2:56
PK2FBonino – Johansen
1:31
PK1DJosi – Ellis
4:59
PK2DSubban – Ekholm
2:42

Current NSH line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
10:4355% CF
L2Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
9:5438% CF
L3Wilson – Bourque – Compher
6:4436% CF
L4Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Jost
5:5529% CF
D1Barberio – Nemeth
12:5943% CF
D2Barrie – Zadorov
11:3343% CF
D3Warsofsky – Siemens
4:290% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Jost
6:5382% CF
PP2Wilson – Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Compher – Zadorov
2:2740% CF
PK1FNieto – Compher
0:53
PK2FSoderberg – Bourque
0:31
PK1DNemeth – Siemens
1:56

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:50
COLBlake Comeau (Carl Soderberg, Matt Nieto)tip-in0.06 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonCOL: Comeau, Soderberg, Barrie, Nieto, Zadorov
NSH 0 – 1 COL
13:24
COLGabriel Bourque (Patrik Nemeth, J.T. Compher)tip-in0.06 xG
NSH: Emelin, Subban, Turris, Smith, FialaCOL: Wilson, Bourque, Nemeth, Compher, Zadorov
NSH 0 – 2 COL
18:07
COLNathan MacKinnon (Gabriel Landeskog)wrist0.07 xG
NSH: Fisher, Josi, Ellis, Salomaki, ArvidssonCOL: Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen
NSH 0 – 3 COL

2nd period

4:25
COLNathan MacKinnon (Gabriel Landeskog, Mikko Rantanen)wrist0.16 xG
NSH: Turris, Josi, Ellis, Smith, FialaCOL: Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen
NSH 0 – 4 COL
10:23
NSHRyan JohansenPP (Filip Forsberg, Ryan Ellis)wrist0.18 xG
NSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Johansen, ForsbergCOL: Comeau, Nieto, Siemens
NSH 1 – 4 COL

3rd period

7:12
NSHColton Sissons (Roman Josi, Ryan Ellis)wrist0.10 xG
NSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Watson, SissonsCOL: Comeau, Soderberg, Warsofsky, Nieto, Siemens
NSH 2 – 4 COL
18:24
COLGabriel LandeskogEN (Mikko Rantanen, Mark Barberio)wrist0.91 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Sissons, Fiala, ArvidssonCOL: Barberio, Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen
NSH 2 – 5 COL
18:45
NSHAustin Watsonwrist0.00 xG
NSH: Fisher, Emelin, Irwin, Watson, SalomakiCOL: Wilson, Bourque, Siemens, Compher, Zadorov
NSH 3 – 5 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Turris C	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.04	1	0	2	18:51	—	—	49	19
Craig Smith C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.06	1	0	0	15:31	—	—	54	30
Kevin Fiala L	L1	0	0	0	-3	0	0.02	1	0	2	14:52	—	—	56	27
Ryan Johansen C	L2	1	0	1	-2	2	0.25	5	1	0	20:19	—	—	56	56
Filip Forsberg L	L2	0	1	1	-1	6	0.48	4	1	2	17:43	—	—	60	49
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	0	0	0	-3	3	0.14	0	0	0	17:07	—	—	65	64
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	1	2	15:29	—	—	42	20
Colton Sissons C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.14	3	1	0	15:20	—	—	50	24
Austin Watson L	L3	1	0	1	+2	2	0.09	1	0	2	12:45	—	—	64	58
Ryan Hartman R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	2	1	0	9:30	—	—	54	10
Mike Fisher C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	0	0	8:06	—	—	60	55
Miikka Salomaki R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	4	0	2	6:19	—	—	62	32
P.K. Subban D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.07	2	0	2	24:31	—	—	68	48
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	5	6	0	21:50	—	—	69	41
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	2	2	-3	1	0.08	1	1	2	26:21	—	—	49	34
Roman Josi D	D2	0	1	1	-3	4	0.07	1	2	0	25:35	—	—	53	33
Alexei Emelin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	10:53	—	—	30	7
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	8:59	—	—	44	23

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros	—	18	18	0	.1000	1.48	33:34
Pekka Rinne(start)	L	15	11	4	.733	1.23	24:25

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	2	0	2	+3	7	0.58	1	1	2	22:11	—	—	50	72
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	1	2	3	+3	4	1.62	5	1	0	21:39	—	—	56	79
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	2	2	+3	2	0.02	1	1	0	20:43	—	—	59	78
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	16:45	—	—	34	48
Blake Comeau L	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.11	3	1	2	15:35	—	—	35	51
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	1	1	0	5	0.29	0	0	0	15:14	—	—	35	54
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.09	2	2	0	13:10	—	—	42	56
Colin Wilson C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.30	1	0	0	11:49	—	—	44	61
Gabriel Bourque L	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.10	3	1	0	9:23	—	—	40	53
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	0	0	0	14:05	—	—	44	47
Sven Andrighetto R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	13:02	—	—	36	65
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	10:11	—	—	50	70
Patrik Nemeth D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.01	4	6	2	25:20	—	—	46	55
Mark Barberio D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	1	2	0	22:56	—	—	47	69
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	0	0	+3	1	0.03	0	2	2	23:29	—	—	57	79
Nikita Zadorov D	D2	0	0	0	+3	1	0.03	6	1	4	21:58	—	—	38	60
Duncan Siemens D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	2	0	9:07	—	—	11	0
David Warsofsky D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	6:31	—	—	17	23

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Bernier(start)	W	32	29	3	.906	1.82	59:56

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.