Nashville Predators vs. Colorado AvalancheApr 18, 2018

FinalPlayoffsWednesday, Apr 18, 2018· Pepsi Center

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

3

@

home

Colorado AvalancheCOL

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	1	2	0	3		NSH	15	11	8	34
COL	0	0	2	2		COL	8	14	11	33

: NSH 62COL 63
: NSH 2.57COL 2.48
PP goals: NSH 0COL 1
Hits: NSH 30COL 36
Blocks: NSH 18COL 14
PIM: NSH 14COL 10
: NSH 61%COL 39%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Colorado Avalanche 3–2

Nashville Predators beat Colorado Avalanche 3–2 at COL. Filip Forsberg (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. COL's first power-play unit (Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen and Jost) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 5:07 together.

Points
Filip Forsberg had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 15:24.Forsberg
Points
Mattias Ekholm had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 23:42.Ekholm
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen and Jost) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 5:07 together.Barrie Landeskog MacKinnon Rantanen Jost
Usage
Ryan Johansen (NSH) played 12:54, −6:37 down on his 19:31 season average over 12 games.Johansen
New line
New look for NSH: Fisher–Jarnkrok–Hartman skated 5:04 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Fisher Jarnkrok Hartman
Usage
Tyson Barrie (COL) played 27:46, +4:54 up on his 22:52 season average over 5 games.Barrie
Usage
Nikita Zadorov (COL) played 24:28, +4:20 up on his 20:08 season average over 5 games.Zadorov
Usage
Craig Smith (NSH) played 12:34, −3:25 down on his 15:59 season average over 12 games.Smith

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 125 of 125 attempts · COL 63 · NSH 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 33% of the game, COL 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	COL
	56	53
	1.90	1.47
	1.82	1.43
	13	8
	10	4
	18	7
	+0.060	−0.061
	33%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Turris – Smith – Fiala
8:0953% CF
L2Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
6:1960% CF
L3Bonino – Watson – Sissons
6:0642% CF
L4Fisher – Jarnkrok – Hartman
5:0455% CF
D1Subban – Ekholm
16:1668% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
14:4147% CF
D3Emelin – Irwin
7:0725% CF

PP1Bonino – Turris – Josi – Ellis – Sissons
1:52100% CF
PP2Bonino – Josi – Ellis – Johansen – Forsberg
1:27100% CF
PK1FBonino – Watson
1:24
PK2FFisher – Hartman
0:27
PK1DSubban – Ekholm
3:51
PK2DJosi – Ellis
2:13

Current NSH line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
13:0531% CF
L2Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Jost
6:5546% CF
L3Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
6:3558% CF
L4Wilson – Bourque – Compher
4:3967% CF
D1Barrie – Zadorov
12:3553% CF
D2Barberio – Nemeth
11:5841% CF
D3Warsofsky – Siemens
1:250% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Jost
5:0789% CF
PP2Wilson – Barberio – Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Compher
1:31100% CF
PK1FComeau – Soderberg
1:37
PK2FBourque – Nieto
0:49
PK1DBarberio – Siemens
0:56
PK2DNemeth – Zadorov
0:45

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

15:33
NSHFilip Forsberg (Ryan Johansen, Mattias Ekholm)wrist0.06 xG
NSH: Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, HartmanCOL: Wilson, Bourque, Nemeth, Siemens, Compher
NSH 1 – 0 COL

2nd period

7:18
NSHColton Sissons (Filip Forsberg, Mattias Ekholm)wrist0.11 xG
NSH: Emelin, Turris, Ekholm, Forsberg, SissonsCOL: Comeau, Wilson, Barrie, Nemeth, Compher
NSH 2 – 0 COL
11:49
NSHCraig Smith (Austin Watson)wrist0.03 xG
NSH: Fisher, Subban, Turris, Ekholm, SmithCOL: Soderberg, Wilson, Kerfoot, Compher, Zadorov
NSH 3 – 0 COL

3rd period

5:20
COLGabriel LandeskogPP (Tyson Jost, Tyson Barrie)wrist0.22 xG
NSH: Bonino, Josi, EllisCOL: Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jost
NSH 3 – 1 COL
11:01
COLAlexander Kerfoot (Matt Nieto, Nikita Zadorov)wrist0.03 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Smith, Jarnkrok, ForsbergCOL: Comeau, Nemeth, Nieto, Kerfoot, Zadorov
NSH 3 – 2 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Turris C	L1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.04	1	0	0	16:42	—	—	61	71
Craig Smith C	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.22	0	1	0	12:34	—	—	46	45
Kevin Fiala L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	0	11:51	—	—	46	36
Filip Forsberg L	L2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.20	1	0	0	15:24	—	—	50	68
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.29	1	1	0	14:26	—	—	67	69
Ryan Johansen C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:54	—	—	69	87
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	18:39	—	—	40	53
Austin Watson L	L3	0	1	1	0	4	0.10	7	0	0	16:07	—	—	46	56
Colton Sissons C	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.22	3	2	4	15:18	—	—	62	73
Mike Fisher C	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.15	2	1	0	12:09	—	—	46	39
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	1	0	0	11:43	—	—	43	36
Ryan Hartman R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	1	1	6	11:13	—	—	47	62
P.K. Subban D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.78	4	2	0	25:58	—	—	66	61
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	2	2	+3	4	0.19	2	2	2	23:42	—	—	63	67
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	2	1	0	26:22	—	—	49	55
Roman Josi D	D2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.20	1	0	0	24:34	—	—	50	51
Alexei Emelin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	0	5	0	11:24	—	—	32	40
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	8:32	—	—	23	34

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	33	31	2	.939	2.48	60:00

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.30	2	0	0	25:18	—	—	31	33
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.22	7	2	2	23:37	—	—	36	43
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.16	1	0	0	21:32	—	—	30	35
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.32	0	2	0	16:51	—	—	42	22
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.12	1	0	2	14:53	—	—	50	42
Sven Andrighetto R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	2	0	2	13:56	—	—	44	28
Matt Nieto L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.10	2	0	0	14:44	—	—	57	56
Blake Comeau L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	5	0	0	13:55	—	—	64	56
Carl Soderberg C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.05	1	1	2	11:53	—	—	59	49
J.T. Compher L	L4	0	0	0	-3	1	0.14	1	0	0	11:24	—	—	68	52
Colin Wilson C	L4	0	0	0	-3	1	0.20	0	0	0	9:23	—	—	63	48
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:41	—	—	58	57
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.19	0	1	0	27:46	—	—	59	57
Nikita Zadorov D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.14	3	1	0	24:28	—	—	51	54
Mark Barberio D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.14	4	5	0	24:43	—	—	57	50
Patrik Nemeth D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	4	2	2	19:43	—	—	43	39
David Warsofsky D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:59	—	—	50	46
Duncan Siemens D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	6:07	—	—	8	2

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Bernier(start)	L	26	23	3	.885	1.39	39:35
Andrew Hammond	—	8	8	0	.1000	0.46	17:32

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.