Nashville Predators vs. Colorado AvalancheNov 7, 2018

FinalWednesday, Nov 7, 2018· Pepsi Center

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

4

@

home

Colorado AvalancheCOL

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	2	1	1	4		NSH	16	13	5	34
COL	0	1	0	1		COL	10	7	8	25

: NSH 62COL 49
: NSH 2.52COL 1.73
PP goals: NSH 1COL 1
Hits: NSH 12COL 28
Blocks: NSH 18COL 17
PIM: NSH 6COL 6
: NSH 53%COL 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Colorado Avalanche 4–1

Nashville Predators beat Colorado Avalanche 4–1 at COL. Colton Sissons (NSH) led the scoring with 3G 0A. COL's first power-play unit (Calvert, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen and Girard) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 3:41 together.

Points
Colton Sissons had a hat trick (3 points) on 3 shots in 19:22.Sissons
Points
Nick Bonino had 3 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 17:22.Bonino
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Calvert, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen and Girard) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 3:41 together.Calvert Landeskog MacKinnon Rantanen Girard
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Turris, Josi, Ellis, Sissons and Fiala) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 2:41 together.Turris Josi Ellis Sissons Fiala
New line
New look for NSH: Rinaldo–Salomaki–Gaudreau skated 7:09 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (47.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Rinaldo Salomaki Gaudreau
Usage
Ryan Hartman (NSH) played 16:51, +3:47 up on his 13:04 season average over 82 games.Hartman
Usage
Colton Sissons (NSH) played 19:22, +3:22 up on his 16:00 season average over 74 games.Sissons
Usage
Tyson Barrie (COL) played 17:16, −4:34 down on his 21:50 season average over 77 games.Barrie

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · COL 49 · NSH 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 34% of the game, COL 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	COL
	61	53
	1.51	1.46
	1.48	1.43
	12	10
	2	5
	11	11
	−0.010	+0.010
	34%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Fiala
12:1156% CF
L2Bonino – Sissons – Hartman
10:1072% CF
L3Turris – Smith – Jarnkrok
9:4756% CF
L4Rinaldo – Salomaki – Gaudreau
7:0947% CF
D1Subban – Ekholm
16:4555% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
15:1962% CF
D3Weber – Bitetto
11:0028% CF

PP1Turris – Josi – Ellis – Sissons – Fiala
2:4186% CF
PP2Subban – Smith – Jarnkrok – Johansen – Forsberg
1:2075% CF
PK1FJohansen – Forsberg
1:04
PK2FBonino – Hartman
0:50
PK1DJosi – Ellis
1:41
PK2DSubban – Ekholm
1:10

Current NSH line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
17:5339% CF
L2Soderberg – Calvert – Nieto
9:3653% CF
L3Wilson – Kerfoot – Dries
9:1961% CF
L4Bourque – Dano – Kamenev
5:2160% CF
D1Barrie – Zadorov
13:5546% CF
D2Johnson – Nemeth
10:4822% CF
D3Cole – Girard
9:0113% CF

PP1Calvert – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Girard
3:41100% CF
PP2Soderberg – Wilson – Barrie – Kerfoot – Kamenev
1:09
PK1FSoderberg – Nieto
2:28
PK2FBourque – Dries
1:04
PK1DCole – Zadorov
1:52
PK2DJohnson – Nemeth
1:03

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

13:39
NSHColton Sissons (Nick Bonino, Mattias Ekholm)wrist0.14 xG
NSH: Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Sissons, HartmanCOL: Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard
NSH 1 – 0 COL
17:21
NSHColton Sissons (Roman Josi, Nick Bonino)slap0.02 xG
NSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Salomaki, SissonsCOL: Johnson, Wilson, Kerfoot, Dano, Girard
NSH 2 – 0 COL

2nd period

7:08
COLMatt CalvertPP (Samuel Girard, Nathan MacKinnon)tip-in0.11 xG
NSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, JarnkrokCOL: Calvert, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard
NSH 2 – 1 COL
19:57
NSHColton SissonsPP (Kyle Turris, Kevin Fiala)tip-in0.13 xG
NSH: Turris, Josi, Ellis, Sissons, FialaCOL: Soderberg, Cole, Nieto, Zadorov
NSH 3 – 1 COL

3rd period

17:06
NSHRyan HartmanEN (Nick Bonino, P.K. Subban)wrist0.92 xG
NSH: Bonino, Subban, Ellis, Sissons, HartmanCOL: Calvert, Landeskog, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard
NSH 4 – 1 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	17:39	—	—	60	59
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	0	0	0	17:33	—	—	62	60
Kevin Fiala L	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	17:32	—	—	50	50
Colton Sissons C	L2	3	0	3	+3	3	0.36	1	2	2	19:22	—	—	59	47
Nick Bonino C	L2	0	3	3	+3	4	0.10	0	1	0	17:22	—	—	56	45
Ryan Hartman R	L2	1	0	1	+2	3	1.00	2	0	0	16:51	—	—	74	50
Kyle Turris C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.05	0	0	0	15:16	—	—	48	52
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	1	1	0	13:58	—	—	53	59
Craig Smith C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	13:02	—	—	48	51
Zac Rinaldo C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	3	0	9:28	—	—	38	39
Frederick Gaudreau C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	9:16	—	—	42	43
Miikka Salomaki R	L4	0	0	0	+1	3	0.13	1	1	0	9:09	—	—	54	62
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	0	2	0	23:05	—	—	55	65
P.K. Subban D	D1	0	1	1	+2	3	0.07	0	2	0	22:52	—	—	60	61
Roman Josi D	D2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.15	1	0	2	24:55	—	—	64	49
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.16	0	1	0	22:09	—	—	63	50
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	0	0	12:58	—	—	33	25
Anthony Bitetto D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	2	4	2	12:56	—	—	33	30

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	25	24	1	.960	1.73	59:46

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	1	1	-2	4	0.33	0	1	0	24:28	—	—	34	44
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.44	2	0	0	23:59	—	—	39	46
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	1	1	2	22:39	—	—	41	48
Matt Calvert L	L2	1	0	1	-1	1	0.24	0	1	0	15:52	—	—	53	37
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:08	—	—	52	43
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:51	—	—	48	31
Colin Wilson C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	2	0	0	14:22	—	—	52	59
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	1	1	0	13:58	—	—	56	63
Sheldon Dries C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	1	2	0	13:04	—	—	58	79
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	8:15	—	—	71	79
Vladislav Kamenev C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	0	2	7:39	—	—	50	66
Marko Dano C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	0	0	6:59	—	—	67	73
Nikita Zadorov D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	5	4	2	17:25	—	—	44	48
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	17:16	—	—	48	71
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.10	2	1	0	21:20	—	—	48	47
Patrik Nemeth D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	19:27	—	—	46	42
Ian Cole D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	3	5	0	20:12	—	—	35	16
Samuel Girard D	D3	0	1	1	-3	1	0.03	2	0	0	19:56	—	—	51	56

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	33	30	3	.909	1.60	59:36

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.