Nashville Predators vs. Colorado AvalancheJan 21, 2019

FinalMonday, Jan 21, 2019· Pepsi Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	3	1	4		NSH	7	11	9	27
COL	0	1	0	1		COL	13	12	11	36

: NSH 40COL 72
: NSH 1.51COL 3.07
PP goals: NSH 0COL 0
Hits: NSH 21COL 25
Blocks: NSH 21COL 8
PIM: NSH 20COL 18
: NSH 43%COL 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Colorado Avalanche 4–1

Nashville Predators beat Colorado Avalanche 4–1 at COL. Nick Bonino (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. NSH scored 4 goals on 1.51 expected goals (40 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Nick Bonino had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:26.Bonino
Points
Calle Jarnkrok had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:48.Jarnkrok
Luck
NSH scored 4 goals on 1.51 expected goals (40 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Goalie
Pekka Rinne (NSH) faced 36 shots and stopped 35 (.972), +8 against a season average of 28.2; the win.Rinne
Luck
COL scored 1 goal on 3.07 expected goals (72 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Matt Nieto (COL) played 8:42, −5:09 down on his 13:51 season average over 63 games.Nieto
Usage
Kevin Fiala (NSH) played 11:03, −4:39 down on his 15:42 season average over 82 games.Fiala
Usage
Ryan Hartman (NSH) played 8:52, −4:18 down on his 13:10 season average over 82 games.Hartman

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · COL 72 · NSH 40

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 12% of the game, COL 54%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	COL
	32	65
	1.20	2.29
	1.16	2.21
	10	13
	4	2
	14	11
	−0.029	+0.029
	12%	54%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Forsberg – Sissons – Arvidsson
9:2543% CF
L2Smith – Blackwell – Fiala
8:4831% CF
L3Bonino – Jarnkrok – Watson
6:4338% CF
L4Grimaldi – Hartman – Gaudreau
5:3743% CF
D1Subban – Josi
15:5939% CF
D2Ellis – Ekholm
10:3537% CF
D3Hamhuis – Irwin
7:3825% CF

PP1Bonino – Ellis – Ekholm – Smith – Sissons
2:4875% CF
PP2Subban – Josi – Jarnkrok – Forsberg – Arvidsson
2:42100% CF
PK1FBonino – Arvidsson
2:26
PK2FWatson – Sissons
2:03
PK1DJosi – Ellis
3:21
PK2DHamhuis – Ekholm
2:39

Current NSH line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
13:2465% CF
L2Soderberg – Wilson – Compher
10:2361% CF
L3Calvert – Kerfoot – Andrighetto
8:2881% CF
L4Bourque – Nieto – Dries
4:5240% CF
D1Barrie – Zadorov
7:2254% CF
D2Cole – Girard
5:5077% CF
D3Barberio – Nemeth
5:3229% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – Compher – MacKinnon – Rantanen
5:3592% CF
PP2Soderberg – Wilson – Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Girard
1:59100% CF
PK1FCalvert – Dries
1:53
PK2FSoderberg – Nieto
1:17
PK1DCole – Nemeth
4:48

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

5:01
NSHNick Bonino (Calle Jarnkrok)wrist0.02 xG
NSH: Bonino, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, SissonsCOL: Calvert, Barrie, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Zadorov
NSH 1 – 0 COL
6:35
NSHViktor Arvidsson (Filip Forsberg)wrap-around0.01 xG
NSH: Subban, Josi, Forsberg, Sissons, ArvidssonCOL: Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard
NSH 2 – 0 COL
16:43
COLAlexander Kerfoot (Samuel Girard)tip-in0.06 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Smith, Irwin, Blackwell, FialaCOL: Cole, Calvert, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Girard
NSH 2 – 1 COL
17:58
NSHRoman Josi (Austin Watson, Nick Bonino)wrist0.14 xG
NSH: Bonino, Subban, Josi, Jarnkrok, WatsonCOL: Soderberg, Wilson, Barberio, Compher, Zadorov
NSH 3 – 1 COL

3rd period

17:07
NSHRyan EllisEN (Calle Jarnkrok, Mattias Ekholm)wrist0.17 xG
NSH: Bonino, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, WatsonCOL: Soderberg, Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen
NSH 4 – 1 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Colton Sissons C	L1	0	0	0	+2	3	0.07	2	0	0	19:58	—	—	39	22
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.17	3	0	0	19:35	—	—	35	28
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.34	2	0	0	19:12	—	—	41	32
Craig Smith C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	0	0	13:30	—	—	28	35
Colin Blackwell C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	1	2	12:47	—	—	20	21
Kevin Fiala L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:03	—	—	28	33
Nick Bonino C	L3	1	1	2	+3	2	0.03	0	2	0	18:26	—	—	38	57
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	2	2	+3	2	0.21	2	2	2	16:48	—	—	28	39
Austin Watson L	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.03	5	0	7	13:08	—	—	32	52
Ryan Hartman R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	8:52	—	—	46	27
Rocco Grimaldi R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:47	—	—	33	22
Frederick Gaudreau C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	0	0	2	7:48	—	—	44	49
Roman Josi D	D1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.14	0	2	0	26:01	—	—	40	37
P.K. Subban D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.07	0	3	0	23:16	—	—	39	31
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	4	2	22:42	—	—	25	44
Ryan Ellis D	D2	1	0	1	+2	3	0.19	1	1	0	22:36	—	—	44	72
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	4	0	15:51	—	—	19	13
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	0	5	9:40	—	—	21	14

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	36	35	1	.972	3.07	60:00

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.35	1	0	0	21:44	—	—	69	77
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.18	0	0	0	21:06	—	—	64	72
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.18	3	0	0	20:48	—	—	69	76
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	0	0	-2	6	0.29	1	1	0	19:10	—	—	70	46
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.22	2	0	2	19:05	—	—	60	38
Colin Wilson C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.29	1	0	0	15:20	—	—	67	46
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.08	1	0	0	13:59	—	—	81	82
Sven Andrighetto R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	2	0	0	12:30	—	—	78	79
Matt Calvert L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	0	5	12:19	—	—	83	94
Matt Nieto L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.37	0	0	2	8:42	—	—	42	43
Sheldon Dries C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	2	0	0	8:02	—	—	50	72
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	7:32	—	—	40	55
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.13	0	0	2	23:23	—	—	50	47
Nikita Zadorov D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	2	0	7	16:56	—	—	75	55
Ian Cole D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	2	5	0	22:50	—	—	80	86
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.05	1	1	0	19:56	—	—	77	66
Patrik Nemeth D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	17:12	—	—	40	54
Mark Barberio D	D3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.22	1	0	0	11:50	—	—	63	67

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	26	23	3	.885	1.34	59:36

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.