Nashville Predators vs. Colorado AvalancheNov 7, 2019

FinalThursday, Nov 7, 2019· Pepsi Center

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

4

@

home

Colorado AvalancheCOL

9

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	1	2	1	4		NSH	6	6	12	24
COL	2	6	1	9		COL	18	18	9	45

: NSH 60COL 74
: NSH 2.80COL 4.38
PP goals: NSH 1COL 2
Hits: NSH 22COL 16
Blocks: NSH 22COL 17
PIM: NSH 12COL 8
: NSH 53%COL 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche rout Nashville Predators 9–4

Colorado Avalanche beat Nashville Predators 9–4 at home. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 1G 3A.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and 3 assists (4 points) on 10 shots in 14:28.MacKinnon
Points
Joonas Donskoi had a hat trick (3 points) on 6 shots in 19:07.Donskoi
Points
Andre Burakovsky had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 16:45.Burakovsky
Points
Cale Makar had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 19:50.Makar
Points
Ryan Graves had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 20:11.Graves
Points
Matt Calvert had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:20.Calvert
Points
Matt Nieto had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:33.Nieto
Points
Erik Johnson had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 24:47.Johnson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 134 of 134 attempts · COL 74 · NSH 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 23% of the game, COL 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	COL
	52	62
	1.81	2.85
	1.76	2.71
	7	13
	6	1
	23	11
	+0.022	−0.022
	23%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Bonino – Smith – Grimaldi
8:1347% CF
L2Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
6:4971% CF
L3Turris – Duchene – Jarnkrok
6:3550% CF
L4Watson – Granlund – Sissons
6:309% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
14:1647% CF
D2Ekholm – Fabbro
10:4450% CF
D3Hamhuis – Weber
7:5729% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
3:1982% CF
PP2Bonino – Turris – Ellis – Smith – Granlund
1:5850% CF
PK1FBonino – Sissons
1:45
PK2FJohansen – Arvidsson
0:54
PK1DHamhuis – Ekholm
3:50
PK2DJosi – Ellis
1:26

Current NSH line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Nieto – Nichushkin – Bellemare
6:4356% CF
L2Calvert – Donskoi – MacKinnon
5:3993% CF
L3Kadri – Compher – Jost
4:3733% CF
L4Tynan – Burakovsky – Kamenev
4:2850% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
12:0050% CF
D2Graves – Makar
4:5556% CF
D3Barberio – Zadorov
2:4886% CF

PP1Kadri – Donskoi – Burakovsky – MacKinnon – Makar
4:40100% CF
PP2Kadri – Compher – Nichushkin – Jost – Girard
2:01100% CF
PK1FCalvert – Bellemare
2:06
PK2FNieto – Compher
1:42
PK1DJohnson – Graves
3:19
PK2DGirard – Makar
0:29

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:49
COLCale Makar (Matt Nieto, Ryan Graves)wrist0.01 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Watson, Granlund, SissonsCOL: Donskoi, Nieto, Graves, Bellemare, Makar
NSH 0 – 1 COL
12:08
NSHRyan Ellis (Ryan Johansen)snap0.00 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonCOL: Kadri, Donskoi, Graves, MacKinnon, Makar
NSH 1 – 1 COL
17:56
COLNathan MacKinnonPP (Cale Makar, Andre Burakovsky)wrist0.12 xG
NSH: Bonino, Josi, EllisCOL: Kadri, Donskoi, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Makar
NSH 1 – 2 COL

2nd period

1:25
NSHFilip Forsberg (Viktor Arvidsson, Ryan Johansen)wrist0.11 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson, FabbroCOL: Johnson, Calvert, Compher, Jost, Girard
NSH 2 – 2 COL
4:55
NSHMatt DuchenePP (Viktor Arvidsson, Roman Josi)deflected0.18 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonCOL: Johnson, Calvert, Barberio, Bellemare
NSH 3 – 2 COL
5:26
COLJoonas Donskoi (Nathan MacKinnon, Matt Calvert)wrist0.19 xG
NSH: Bonino, Ekholm, Smith, Grimaldi, FabbroCOL: Johnson, Calvert, Donskoi, MacKinnon, Girard
NSH 3 – 3 COL
5:46
COLRyan Graves (Nazem Kadri, Tyson Jost)wrist0.02 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonCOL: Kadri, Graves, Compher, Jost, Makar
NSH 3 – 4 COL
6:57
COLAndre Burakovsky (Vladislav Kamenev, Erik Johnson)wrist0.12 xG
NSH: Turris, Duchene, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, FabbroCOL: Johnson, Tynan, Burakovsky, Kamenev, Girard
NSH 3 – 5 COL
7:47
COLMatt NietoSH (J.T. Compher, Ryan Graves)deflected0.09 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonCOL: Johnson, Nieto, Graves, Compher
NSH 3 – 6 COL
10:01
COLMatt Calvert (Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar)backhand0.02 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Grimaldi, Sissons, FabbroCOL: Calvert, Donskoi, MacKinnon, Girard, Makar
NSH 3 – 7 COL
13:26
COLJoonas Donskoi (Erik Johnson, Nathan MacKinnon)tip-in0.09 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Watson, Granlund, SissonsCOL: Johnson, Donskoi, Graves, MacKinnon, Jost
NSH 3 – 8 COL

3rd period

12:41
NSHCraig Smith (Nick Bonino, Rocco Grimaldi)wrist0.06 xG
NSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Smith, GrimaldiCOL: Kadri, Donskoi, Graves, Burakovsky, Makar
NSH 4 – 8 COL
17:53
COLJoonas DonskoiPP (Andre Burakovsky)wrist0.10 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Bonino, Ekholm, SissonsCOL: Kadri, Donskoi, Tynan, Burakovsky, Makar
NSH 4 – 9 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Bonino C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.16	0	3	0	16:38	—	—	36	39
Rocco Grimaldi R	L1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.01	1	1	0	14:03	—	—	39	26
Craig Smith C	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.19	0	0	0	12:24	—	—	48	46
Ryan Johansen C	L2	0	2	2	0	0	0.17	1	0	2	16:28	—	—	68	66
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	0	2	2	0	3	0.56	0	1	0	15:27	—	—	58	71
Filip Forsberg L	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.52	0	0	0	14:46	—	—	62	59
Matt Duchene C	L3	1	0	1	-2	1	0.26	2	0	4	15:43	—	—	47	21
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.09	0	0	0	14:40	—	—	50	31
Kyle Turris C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	0	0	0	13:18	—	—	42	23
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	-3	3	0.43	2	0	2	15:58	—	—	31	25
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	4	4	2	13:26	—	—	26	21
Mikael Granlund C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	2	2	0	13:20	—	—	29	20
Roman Josi D	D1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.16	2	2	2	22:36	—	—	52	51
Ryan Ellis D	D1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.09	3	3	0	22:14	—	—	47	48
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	-3	3	0.04	1	2	0	22:00	—	—	47	42
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:23	—	—	43	39
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	3	0	17:11	—	—	19	20
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:05	—	—	47	26

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros	—	23	19	4	.826	1.59	33:03
Pekka Rinne(start)	L	22	17	5	.773	2.79	26:57

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.20	1	1	0	14:22	—	—	57	40
Valeri Nichushkin R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	1	0	14:02	—	—	46	45
Matt Nieto L	L1	1	1	2	+2	1	0.09	0	1	0	13:33	—	—	41	25
Joonas Donskoi R	L2	3	0	3	+2	6	0.88	0	0	0	19:07	—	—	63	74
Matt Calvert L	L2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.37	1	1	0	16:20	—	—	81	89
Nathan MacKinnon C	L2	1	3	4	+2	10	0.98	0	1	0	14:28	—	—	83	92
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.20	0	0	2	18:44	—	—	44	48
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.88	0	1	0	15:59	—	—	48	59
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.22	2	1	0	15:04	—	—	36	45
Andre Burakovsky L	L4	1	2	3	0	2	0.23	0	0	0	16:45	—	—	47	62
Vladislav Kamenev C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:18	—	—	48	56
T.J. Tynan C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:41	—	—	57	86
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	2	2	+3	4	0.07	2	0	0	24:47	—	—	54	61
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	+2	3	0.08	3	4	0	24:36	—	—	47	52
Ryan Graves D	D2	1	2	3	+2	4	0.05	3	4	2	20:11	—	—	51	56
Cale Makar D	D2	1	2	3	+1	4	0.09	1	1	0	19:50	—	—	65	81
Mark Barberio D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	4	16:31	—	—	45	49
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:13	—	—	92	94

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pavel Francouz(start)	W	24	20	4	.833	2.80	59:34

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.