Nashville Predators vs. Colorado AvalancheMay 5, 2022

Final / OTPlayoffsThursday, May 5, 2022· Ball Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	1OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	1OT	T
NSH	1	0	0	0	1		NSH	11	5	4	6	26
COL	1	0	0	1	2		COL	8	21	13	9	51

: NSH 45COL 103
: NSH 2.77COL 4.87
PP goals: NSH 0COL 0
Hits: NSH 57COL 53
Blocks: NSH 34COL 10
PIM: NSH 8COL 6
: NSH 56%COL 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Nashville Predators 2–1 (OT)

Colorado Avalanche beat Nashville Predators 2–1 in overtime at home. Cale Makar (COL) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Connor Ingram (NSH) faced 51 shots and stopped 49 (.961), +11 against a season average of 40.3; the loss.

Goalie
Connor Ingram (NSH) faced 51 shots and stopped 49 (.961), +11 against a season average of 40.3; the loss.Ingram
New line
New look for COL: Landeskog–MacKinnon–Rantanen skated 8:11 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (80% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Landeskog MacKinnon Rantanen
Luck
COL scored 2 goals on 4.87 expected goals (103 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for COL: Helm–O'Connor–Sturm skated 5:04 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Helm O'Connor Sturm
New line
New look for COL: Kadri–Lehkonen–Nichushkin skated 5:39 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (81.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kadri Lehkonen Nichushkin
New line
New look for NSH: Johansen–Kunin–Tolvanen skated 8:20 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (11.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Johansen Kunin Tolvanen
Usage
Devon Toews (COL) played 29:57, +4:17 up on his 25:40 season average over 19 games.Toews
Luck
NSH scored 1 goal on 2.77 expected goals (45 attempts), well short of its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 148 of 148 attempts · COL 103 · NSH 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 12% of the game, COL 45%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	COL
	43	101
	2.54	4.65
	2.39	4.35
	13	20
	6	2
	13	12
	+0.042	−0.042
	12%	45%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Granlund – Forsberg
13:4133% CF
L2Sissons – Trenin – Jeannot
8:4656% CF
L3Johansen – Kunin – Tolvanen
8:2011% CF
L4Cousins – McCarron – Olivier
6:4956% CF
D1Ekholm – Carrier
16:5543% CF
D2Josi – Fabbro
15:3726% CF
D3Borowiecki – Lauzon
11:2618% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Johansen – Granlund – Forsberg
3:2275% CF
PP2Ekholm – Cousins – Carrier – Jeannot – Tolvanen
1:5450% CF
PK1FSissons – Jeannot
3:25
PK2FGranlund – Trenin
2:07
PK1DBorowiecki – Lauzon
3:30
PK2DEkholm – Carrier
1:50

Current NSH line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
8:1180% CF
L2Burakovsky – Compher – Aube-Kubel
7:2877% CF
L3Kadri – Lehkonen – Nichushkin
5:3981% CF
L4Helm – O'Connor – Sturm
5:0475% CF
D1Toews – Makar
16:2462% CF
D2Manson – Girard
9:5475% CF
D3Johnson – Byram
8:2471% CF

PP1Kadri – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Makar
5:5188% CF
PP2Burakovsky – Lehkonen – Nichushkin – Toews – Girard
1:40100% CF
PK1FHelm – O'Connor
1:32
PK2FLehkonen – Nichushkin
0:47
PK1DToews – Makar
2:34
PK2DJohnson – Manson
1:14

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:25
COLNathan MacKinnon (Erik Johnson)wrist0.02 xG
NSH: Borowiecki, Cousins, McCarron, Lauzon, OlivierCOL: Helm, Johnson, MacKinnon, O'Connor, Byram
NSH 0 – 1 COL
15:19
NSHYakov Trenin (Roman Josi, Alexandre Carrier)wrist0.02 xG
NSH: Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, JeannotCOL: Kadri, Manson, Landeskog, Burakovsky, Girard
NSH 1 – 1 COL

OT period

8:31
COLCale Makar (Nico Sturm, Devon Toews)wrist0.03 xG
NSH: Josi, Cousins, McCarron, Fabbro, JeannotCOL: Helm, Toews, Makar, O'Connor, Sturm
NSH 1 – 2 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.67	2	4	0	24:13	—	—	31	59
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	0	6	0.88	1	3	2	23:39	—	—	34	62
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	1	0	22:31	—	—	29	62
Tanner Jeannot L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	6	1	0	20:15	—	—	33	25
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	6	1	0	18:29	—	—	40	25
Yakov Trenin C	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.42	2	0	0	15:40	—	—	50	28
Ryan Johansen C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	18:07	—	—	14	12
Eeli Tolvanen R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	0	1	0	13:22	—	—	12	14
Luke Kunin C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	6	0	2	12:32	—	—	17	16
Nick Cousins C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.02	2	0	0	11:18	—	—	31	7
Michael McCarron C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	0	0	10:13	—	—	37	9
Mathieu Olivier R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	6	0	0	9:03	—	—	54	16
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	4	0	25:23	—	—	40	57
Alexandre Carrier D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	4	4	2	25:05	—	—	38	59
Roman Josi D	D2	0	1	1	0	4	0.24	1	5	0	27:52	—	—	31	31
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	2	2	18:55	—	—	24	17
Jeremy Lauzon D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	7	0	0	21:34	—	—	19	7
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	5	8	0	16:23	—	—	17	16

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Ingram(start)	L	51	49	2	.961	4.87	68:31

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	5	0	0	25:12	—	—	65	45
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.39	10	0	0	23:39	—	—	72	74
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	0	1	+1	8	0.61	4	0	2	23:15	—	—	74	49
Andre Burakovsky L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	0	0	16:18	—	—	64	63
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.40	1	0	0	14:05	—	—	67	73
Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	4	0	0	12:09	—	—	61	46
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	0	0	-1	6	0.71	1	0	0	20:56	—	—	72	84
Valeri Nichushkin R	L3	0	0	0	0	7	0.99	5	0	2	19:21	—	—	71	61
Artturi Lehkonen L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.72	1	0	0	18:11	—	—	77	85
Darren Helm C	L4	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	3	0	0	10:52	—	—	82	95
Nico Sturm C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.11	1	2	0	9:43	—	—	55	38
Logan O'Connor R	L4	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:32	—	—	79	94
Cale Makar D	D1	1	0	1	+1	12	0.57	0	0	0	31:06	—	—	71	58
Devon Toews D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.12	1	5	0	29:57	—	—	64	49
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	0	0	0	21:13	—	—	76	67
Josh Manson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	5	1	0	19:23	—	—	70	85
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	5	2	0	15:08	—	—	62	67
Bowen Byram D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	5	0	2	14:35	—	—	75	82

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Darcy Kuemper(start)	W	26	25	1	.962	2.77	68:31

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.