Nashville Predators vs. Colorado AvalancheDec 14, 2024

FinalSaturday, Dec 14, 2024· Ball Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	0	2	2		NSH	13	16	10	39
COL	0	2	3	5		COL	8	10	15	33

: NSH 66COL 56
: NSH 2.98COL 3.87
PP goals: NSH 0COL 0
Hits: NSH 16COL 23
Blocks: NSH 12COL 16
PIM: NSH 8COL 6
: NSH 59%COL 41%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Nashville Predators 5–2

Colorado Avalanche beat Nashville Predators 5–2 at home. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Mackenzie Blackwood (COL) faced 39 shots and stopped 37 (.949), +11 against a season average of 27.7; the win.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 21:26.MacKinnon
Points
Mikko Rantanen had 3 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 21:07.Rantanen
Points
Artturi Lehkonen had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:02.Lehkonen
Goalie
Mackenzie Blackwood (COL) faced 39 shots and stopped 37 (.949), +11 against a season average of 27.7; the win.Blackwood
Usage
Adam Wilsby (NSH) played 21:40, +3:44 up on his 17:56 season average over 22 games.Wilsby
Usage
Zachary L'Heureux (NSH) played 16:11, +4:13 up on his 11:58 season average over 61 games.L'Heureux
Usage
Brady Skjei (NSH) played 25:12, +3:21 up on his 21:51 season average over 81 games.Skjei
Usage
Sam Malinski (COL) played 19:16, +3:21 up on his 15:55 season average over 75 games.Malinski

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 122 of 122 attempts · COL 56 · NSH 66

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 41% of the game, COL 24%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	COL
	68	60
	2.53	2.78
	2.46	2.67
	10	12
	6	6
	18	26
	+0.057	−0.057
	41%	24%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Stamkos – Marchessault – Forsberg
12:1346% CF
L2Nyquist – O'Reilly – L'Heureux
11:1956% CF
L3Sissons – McCarron – Smith
8:2350% CF
L4Jankowski – Novak – Evangelista
7:0658% CF
D1Skjei – Blankenburg
18:0463% CF
D2Gravel – Wilsby
14:3250% CF
D3Schenn – Del Gaizo
13:1648% CF

PP1Stamkos – Nyquist – O'Reilly – Marchessault – Forsberg
1:0875% CF
PP2Skjei – Novak – Del Gaizo – Evangelista – L'Heureux
0:38100% CF
PK1FJankowski – Sissons
1:10
PK2FMcCarron – Smith
0:35
PK1DSchenn – Gravel
0:54
PK2DSkjei – Wilsby
0:51

Current NSH line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Rantanen
14:5444% CF
L2Nichushkin – Colton – Mittelstadt
11:3656% CF
L3Kelly – O'Connor – Kiviranta
9:5674% CF
L4Wagner – Smith – Ivan
7:0118% CF
D1Toews – Makar
15:5861% CF
D2Girard – Malinski
11:5054% CF
D3de Haan – Middleton
7:0125% CF

PP1MacKinnon – Rantanen – Colton – Mittelstadt – Makar
1:550% CF
PP2Lehkonen – Nichushkin – Toews – Girard – Ivan
0:41100% CF
PK1FNichushkin – Kiviranta
0:56
PK2FKelly – O'Connor
0:49
PK1DToews – Makar
0:49
PK2DMiddleton – Girard
0:39

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

11:32
COLRoss Colton (Casey Mittelstadt, Devon Toews)snap0.15 xG
NSH: Stamkos, Gravel, Jankowski, Evangelista, WilsbyCOL: Nichushkin, Toews, Colton, Mittelstadt, Malinski
NSH 0 – 1 COL
18:52
COLNathan MacKinnon (Mikko Rantanen)snap0.26 xG
NSH: Schenn, Marchessault, Forsberg, McCarron, Del GaizoCOL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar
NSH 0 – 2 COL

3rd period

3:30
COLArtturi Lehkonen (Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.03 xG
NSH: Nyquist, O'Reilly, Gravel, Wilsby, L'HeureuxCOL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar
NSH 0 – 3 COL
13:03
NSHSteven Stamkos (Jonathan Marchessault, Filip Forsberg)snap0.13 xG
NSH: Stamkos, Marchessault, Skjei, Forsberg, BlankenburgCOL: de Haan, Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Girard, Mittelstadt
NSH 1 – 3 COL
15:08
NSHLuke Evangelista (Adam Wilsby, Tommy Novak)backhand0.27 xG
NSH: Nyquist, Skjei, Jankowski, Novak, Evangelista, WilsbyCOL: Nichushkin, Girard, Colton, Mittelstadt, Malinski
NSH 2 – 3 COL
18:08
COLNathan MacKinnonEN (Cale Makar, Mikko Rantanen)wrist0.62 xG
NSH: Stamkos, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Skjei, ForsbergCOL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar
NSH 2 – 4 COL
19:10
COLArtturi LehkonenEN (Mikko Rantanen, Parker Kelly)wrist0.61 xG
NSH: Stamkos, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Forsberg, EvangelistaCOL: de Haan, Lehkonen, Toews, Rantanen, Kelly
NSH 2 – 5 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jonathan Marchessault R	L1	0	1	1	-2	3	0.28	1	1	0	17:17	—	—	48	46
Steven Stamkos C	L1	1	0	1	-2	5	0.74	1	1	0	16:39	—	—	49	47
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	1	1	-2	5	0.15	0	0	0	15:44	—	—	47	45
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	0	0	0	-3	3	0.41	0	0	0	17:08	—	—	59	55
Gustav Nyquist R	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:47	—	—	65	63
Zachary L'Heureux L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	3	0	0	16:11	—	—	55	36
Colton Sissons C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	1	0	0	13:54	—	—	55	54
Cole Smith R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	1	0	13:09	—	—	59	57
Michael McCarron C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	0	4	12:58	—	—	54	36
Luke Evangelista R	L4	1	0	1	-1	5	0.39	0	0	0	13:57	—	—	53	34
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	2	0	12:43	—	—	55	53
Tommy Novak C	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.39	0	0	0	11:27	—	—	65	64
Brady Skjei D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.13	0	2	2	25:12	—	—	59	67
Nick Blankenburg D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	1	1	2	21:00	—	—	63	69
Adam Wilsby D	D2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.03	0	0	0	21:40	—	—	49	41
Kevin Gravel D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	1	0	0	17:44	—	—	49	43
Marc Del Gaizo D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	3	0	15:50	—	—	45	13
Luke Schenn D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	5	1	0	15:31	—	—	48	14

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	31	28	3	.903	2.65	59:09

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	2	1	3	+3	3	0.88	0	1	0	21:26	—	—	43	61
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	3	3	+4	2	0.32	1	1	0	21:07	—	—	46	62
Artturi Lehkonen L	L1	2	0	2	+3	4	0.88	1	3	0	21:02	—	—	42	50
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.18	1	2	0	18:40	—	—	47	44
Valeri Nichushkin R	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.41	2	0	0	16:55	—	—	47	48
Ross Colton C	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.15	4	0	0	15:21	—	—	58	65
Parker Kelly C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	2	0	0	13:14	—	—	76	85
Joel Kiviranta L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	0	0	13:07	—	—	61	67
Logan O'Connor R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	0	0	4	12:32	—	—	70	85
Chris Wagner R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	9:06	—	—	13	6
Ivan Ivan C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	8:36	—	—	13	9
Givani Smith R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	1	2	7:55	—	—	15	7
Devon Toews D	D1	0	1	1	+5	5	0.35	1	0	0	25:17	—	—	56	67
Cale Makar D	D1	0	1	1	+3	1	0.20	0	2	0	24:37	—	—	57	65
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.02	0	1	0	22:48	—	—	46	41
Sam Malinski D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	1	2	0	19:16	—	—	46	47
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	14:00	—	—	15	20
Keaton Middleton D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	1	0	11:01	—	—	25	24

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mackenzie Blackwood(start)	W	39	37	2	.949	2.98	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Ross Colton (COL) 2nd 11:32 · assists Casey Mittelstadt, Devon Toews · Forecheck turnover · 44.3 mph shot.

Ross Colton · 2nd 11:32 · COL

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 2
Shot: 44.3 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 18:52 · COL

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1
Shot: 30.1 mph
Distance: 9 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 3:30 · COL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 1
Shot: 76.2 mph
Distance: 32 ft
Entry to goal: 1.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Steven Stamkos · 3rd 13:03 · NSH

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 29.6 mph
Distance: 10 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Luke Evangelista · 3rd 15:08 · NSH

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 6-on-3
Passes: 0
Shot: 34.2 mph
Distance: 12 ft
Entry to goal: 3.4 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 18:08 · COL EN

Play: point-shot
Passes: 1
Shot: 55.8 mph
Distance: 72 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 19:10 · COL EN

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 3
Shot: 60.7 mph
Distance: 70 ft
Entry to goal: 0.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.