Nashville Predators vs. St. Louis BluesFeb 9, 2019

FinalSaturday, Feb 9, 2019· Enterprise Center

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

2

@

home

St. Louis BluesSTL

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	1	1	2		NSH	12	7	12	31
STL	2	1	0	3		STL	12	18	3	33

: NSH 55STL 59
: NSH 3.20STL 5.67
PP goals: NSH 1STL 0
Hits: NSH 26STL 17
Blocks: NSH 10STL 13
PIM: NSH 11STL 7
: NSH 50%STL 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

St. Louis Blues edge Nashville Predators 3–2

St. Louis Blues beat Nashville Predators 3–2 at home. Robert Thomas (STL) led the scoring with 0G 2A. STL scored 3 goals on 5.67 expected goals (59 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Robert Thomas had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 11:37.Thomas
Luck
STL scored 3 goals on 5.67 expected goals (59 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Vince Dunn (STL) played 14:18, −3:16 down on his 17:34 season average over 77 games.Dunn
Usage
Cody McLeod (NSH) played 3:08, −3:27 down on his 6:35 season average over 37 games.McLeod
Luck
Jaden Schwartz (STL) generated 1.21 xG on 7 attempts without scoring; the chances were there.Schwartz
Usage
Nick Bonino (NSH) played 12:47, −3:34 down on his 16:21 season average over 80 games.Bonino
Luck
Oskar Sundqvist (STL) generated 1.04 xG on 4 attempts without scoring; the chances were there.Sundqvist
PP1
STL's PP1 (Pietrangelo, O'Reilly, Schenn, Tarasenko and Thomas) went scoreless in 3:25 of 5v4 time with 3 attempts.Pietrangelo O'Reilly Schenn Tarasenko Thomas

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)STL attacks right (top on phones) →

STL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · STL 59 · NSH 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

STL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

STL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 22% of the game, STL 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

STL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	STL
	56	58
	2.92	3.92
	2.88	3.77
	6	14
	4	6
	17	20
	−0.006	+0.006
	22%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
9:3833% CF
L2Turris – Jarnkrok – Sissons
6:1843% CF
L3Bonino – Smith – Fiala
6:1657% CF
L4Boyle – McLeod – Hartman
2:2850% CF
D1Subban – Ekholm
18:0159% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
17:1649% CF
D3Hamhuis – Irwin
9:1025% CF

PP1Boyle – Josi – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
1:18100% CF
PP2Bonino – Subban – Turris – Ekholm – Smith
0:13100% CF
PK1FBoyle – Jarnkrok
1:07
PK2FJohansen – Forsberg
1:03
PK1DJosi – Ellis
3:21
PK2DHamhuis – Ekholm
2:21

Current NSH line combinations →

St. Louis Blues

L1O'Reilly – Schenn – Tarasenko
11:4554% CF
L2Maroon – Sundqvist – Sanford
10:3344% CF
L3Steen – Bozak – Schwartz
10:1835% CF
L4MacEachern – Barbashev – Thomas
4:2488% CF
D1Pietrangelo – Edmundson
18:0139% CF
D2Bouwmeester – Parayko
17:1147% CF
D3Bortuzzo – Dunn
10:4869% CF

PP1Pietrangelo – O'Reilly – Schenn – Tarasenko – Thomas
3:25100% CF
PP2Maroon – Bozak – Schwartz – Parayko – Dunn
2:10100% CF
PK1FSteen – O'Reilly
1:18
PK2FBozak – Barbashev
0:13
PK1DBouwmeester – Bortuzzo
1:18
PK2DPietrangelo – Edmundson
0:13

Current STL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:37
STLVince Dunn (Robert Thomas, Oskar Sundqvist)wrist0.39 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Boyle, Irwin, Forsberg, HartmanSTL: Bortuzzo, Sundqvist, Sanford, Dunn, Thomas
NSH 0 – 1 STL
18:45
STLVladimir Tarasenko (Brayden Schenn)wrist0.20 xG
NSH: Boyle, Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, SissonsSTL: Bouwmeester, O'Reilly, Schenn, Tarasenko, Parayko
NSH 0 – 2 STL

2nd period

7:28
NSHMattias EkholmPP (Craig Smith, P.K. Subban)wrist0.10 xG
NSH: Bonino, Subban, Turris, Ekholm, SmithSTL: Pietrangelo, Bozak, Edmundson, Barbashev
NSH 1 – 2 STL
10:58
STLMackenzie MacEachern (Ivan Barbashev, Robert Thomas)tip-in0.05 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Boyle, McLeod, Irwin, ArvidssonSTL: Pietrangelo, Edmundson, MacEachern, Barbashev, Thomas
NSH 1 – 3 STL

3rd period

18:45
NSHRyan Johansen (Filip Forsberg, Roman Josi)wrist0.08 xG
NSH: Boyle, Subban, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonSTL: Steen, Pietrangelo, Bozak, Schwartz, Edmundson
NSH 2 – 3 STL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Johansen C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.40	0	0	0	21:01	—	—	46	63
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.59	0	2	0	19:09	—	—	42	48
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.41	1	1	0	18:58	—	—	39	49
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.08	3	0	0	17:50	—	—	63	45
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	0	0	0	16:08	—	—	50	37
Kyle Turris C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	0	2	15:13	—	—	56	57
Kevin Fiala L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	0	0	0	15:22	—	—	50	40
Craig Smith C	L3	0	1	1	0	5	0.27	2	0	2	15:01	—	—	64	47
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	1	1	2	12:47	—	—	52	43
Brian Boyle C	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.07	1	0	0	12:51	—	—	47	28
Ryan Hartman R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	10:34	—	—	40	23
Cody McLeod L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	5	3:08	—	—	25	39
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.14	1	1	0	22:47	—	—	59	40
P.K. Subban D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.26	5	0	0	22:28	—	—	56	41
Roman Josi D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.27	4	4	0	25:58	—	—	51	55
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	3	0	0	22:23	—	—	49	54
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.11	0	0	0	13:25	—	—	21	22
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	1	0	11:41	—	—	31	26

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	L	33	30	3	.909	3.88	57:16

St. Louis Blues

STL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.36	0	1	0	21:31	—	—	52	47
Brayden Schenn C	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.56	2	1	0	20:39	—	—	55	61
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	1.10	1	1	0	17:08	—	—	55	60
Patrick Maroon L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	2	0	5	15:44	—	—	47	50
Oskar Sundqvist C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	1.04	2	0	2	15:23	—	—	48	62
Zachary Sanford L	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:04	—	—	52	58
Alexander Steen L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:21	—	—	32	38
Jaden Schwartz L	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	1.21	1	0	0	16:10	—	—	39	57
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	0	0	16:08	—	—	36	41
Robert Thomas C	L4	0	2	2	+2	1	0.05	0	0	0	11:37	—	—	79	80
Ivan Barbashev L	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.18	1	0	0	9:43	—	—	70	68
Mackenzie MacEachern L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.05	0	0	0	6:48	—	—	64	83
Alex Pietrangelo D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	2	2	0	23:45	—	—	39	42
Joel Edmundson D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	2	0	19:32	—	—	41	43
Colton Parayko D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.13	0	1	0	22:24	—	—	49	64
Jay Bouwmeester D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	2	0	21:58	—	—	54	61
Robert Bortuzzo D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	2	1	0	14:38	—	—	70	75
Vince Dunn D	D3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.50	1	0	0	14:18	—	—	71	88

STL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jordan Binnington(start)	W	31	29	2	.935	3.20	59:38

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.