Nashville Predators vs. Washington CapitalsDec 29, 2021

FinalWednesday, Dec 29, 2021· Capital One Arena

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

3

@

home

Washington CapitalsWSH

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	3	0	3		NSH	6	8	6	20
WSH	3	0	2	5		WSH	11	11	15	37

: NSH 45WSH 64
: NSH 1.80WSH 4.29
PP goals: NSH 0WSH 0
Hits: NSH 25WSH 20
Blocks: NSH 17WSH 14
PIM: NSH 41WSH 27
: NSH 56%WSH 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals beat Nashville Predators 5–3

Washington Capitals beat Nashville Predators 5–3 at home. John Carlson (WSH) led the scoring with 1G 3A. New look for WSH: Oshie–Eller–McMichael skated 8:06 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
John Carlson had a goal and 3 assists (4 points) on 5 shots in 24:27.Carlson
Points
Carl Hagelin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 11:21.Hagelin
Points
Dante Fabbro had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:23.Fabbro
Points
Dmitry Orlov had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 20:42.Orlov
New line
New look for WSH: Oshie–Eller–McMichael skated 8:06 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Oshie Eller McMichael
Usage
Alex Ovechkin (WSH) played 26:01, +5:31 up on his 20:30 season average over 76 games.Ovechkin
Goalie
Juuse Saros (NSH) faced 36 shots and stopped 32 (.889), +5 against a season average of 31.4; the loss.Saros
Usage
Michal Kempny (WSH) played 20:57, +5:29 up on his 15:28 season average over 14 games.Kempny

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · WSH 64 · NSH 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 14% of the game, WSH 51%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	WSH
	46	42
	1.46	1.86
	1.43	1.81
	11	10
	8	5
	13	6
	+0.077	−0.077
	14%	51%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Granlund – Forsberg
9:5548% CF
L2McCarron – Trenin – Jeannot
7:5754% CF
L3Johansen – Kunin – Tolvanen
6:5367% CF
L4Cousins – Olivier – Tomasino
6:1667% CF
D1Harpur – Fabbro
11:4157% CF
D2Ekholm – Carrier
9:2739% CF
D3Borowiecki – Benning
7:2475% CF

PP1Duchene – Johansen – Granlund – Forsberg – Carrier
5:1250% CF
PP2Ekholm – Cousins – Kunin – Fabbro – Tolvanen
0:17
PK1FGranlund – Jeannot
4:03
PK2FMcCarron – Trenin
2:31
PK1DEkholm – Carrier
6:15
PK2DBorowiecki – Benning
3:35

Current NSH line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Wilson
9:4542% CF
L2Oshie – Eller – McMichael
8:0629% CF
L3Hagelin – Dowd – Hathaway
7:1653% CF
L4Backstrom – Sheary – Protas
5:3860% CF
D1van Riemsdyk – Kempny
14:0632% CF
D2Carlson – Orlov
12:2363% CF
D3Irwin – Alexeyev
8:4244% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
7:59100% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Eller – Orlov – Wilson – Sheary
3:27100% CF
PK1FHagelin – Dowd
1:31
PK2FEller – Hathaway
1:25
PK1Dvan Riemsdyk – Kempny
3:13
PK2DCarlson – Orlov
1:40

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:15
WSHLars Eller (John Carlson, Alex Ovechkin)wrist0.10 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Cousins, Carrier, Olivier, TomasinoWSH: Ovechkin, Eller, Carlson, Orlov, Wilson
NSH 0 – 1 WSH
13:11
WSHJohn Carlson (Nicklas Backstrom, Dmitry Orlov)wrist0.03 xG
NSH: Cousins, Harpur, Fabbro, Olivier, TomasinoWSH: Backstrom, Carlson, Orlov, McMichael, Protas
NSH 0 – 2 WSH
18:52
WSHNic Dowd (Carl Hagelin, Michal Kempny)wrist0.17 xG
NSH: Duchene, Granlund, Harpur, Fabbro, TolvanenWSH: Hagelin, Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Hathaway, Kempny
NSH 0 – 3 WSH

2nd period

1:23
NSHYakov Trenin (Tanner Jeannot, Dante Fabbro)wrist0.01 xG
NSH: Ekholm, McCarron, Trenin, Fabbro, JeannotWSH: Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Hathaway
NSH 1 – 3 WSH
7:03
NSHLuke Kunin (Eeli Tolvanen, Ben Harpur)tip-in0.08 xG
NSH: Johansen, Harpur, Kunin, Fabbro, TolvanenWSH: Hagelin, Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Kempny, Protas
NSH 2 – 3 WSH
7:38
NSHFilip Forsberg (Dante Fabbro, Mikael Granlund)tip-in0.07 xG
NSH: Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, FabbroWSH: Hagelin, Carlson, Orlov, Dowd, Hathaway
NSH 3 – 3 WSH

3rd period

14:24
WSHEvgeny KuznetsovSH (T.J. Oshie, John Carlson)wrist0.02 xG
NSH: Granlund, Forsberg, Carrier, Jeannot, TolvanenWSH: Hagelin, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov
NSH 3 – 4 WSH
18:57
WSHCarl HagelinEN (Dmitry Orlov, John Carlson)wrist0.98 xG
NSH: Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg, CarrierWSH: Hagelin, Carlson, Orlov, Dowd, Hathaway
NSH 3 – 5 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	1	1	-2	0	0.00	1	0	2	25:18	—	—	46	41
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.16	0	2	0	18:51	—	—	46	36
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.19	0	0	0	18:29	—	—	50	55
Tanner Jeannot L	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	5	0	0	17:16	—	—	56	60
Yakov Trenin C	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.35	3	0	0	14:33	—	—	52	44
Michael McCarron C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	2	2	12	13:30	—	—	52	42
Ryan Johansen C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.51	1	1	2	17:30	—	—	63	77
Luke Kunin C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.08	1	2	0	12:22	—	—	43	25
Eeli Tolvanen R	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.02	2	0	0	11:50	—	—	50	20
Nick Cousins C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	0	8:07	—	—	58	26
Mathieu Olivier R	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	0	0	7:25	—	—	67	51
Philip Tomasino R	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.10	1	0	0	6:40	—	—	67	51
Ben Harpur D	D1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.02	1	1	2	17:45	—	—	54	53
Dante Fabbro D	D1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.02	1	2	2	17:23	—	—	53	50
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	3	0	24:52	—	—	41	34
Alexandre Carrier D	D2	0	0	0	-3	0	0.14	1	3	0	23:40	—	—	36	15
Matt Benning D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	0	4	19:44	—	—	62	41
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0	1	17	10:55	—	—	75	71

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	36	32	4	.889	3.31	59:16

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.40	0	0	0	26:01	—	—	44	36
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.52	0	0	0	21:58	—	—	39	32
Tom Wilson R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	2	0	19	18:02	—	—	46	47
T.J. Oshie R	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.14	2	1	0	20:13	—	—	29	14
Lars Eller C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.35	1	0	0	19:06	—	—	40	40
Connor McMichael L	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:04	—	—	30	20
Carl Hagelin L	L3	1	1	2	+1	2	1.16	0	0	0	11:21	—	—	50	66
Garnet Hathaway R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.35	3	0	2	10:49	—	—	52	71
Nic Dowd C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.21	1	2	0	10:36	—	—	53	72
Nicklas Backstrom C	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.23	1	0	0	16:19	—	—	63	62
Conor Sheary L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	1	0	0	12:20	—	—	59	61
Aliaksei Protas L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	1	0	0	7:00	—	—	64	57
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	21:32	—	—	32	41
Michal Kempny D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	1	2	20:57	—	—	39	51
John Carlson D	D2	1	3	4	+2	5	0.20	0	1	0	24:27	—	—	63	71
Dmitry Orlov D	D2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.00	2	3	2	20:42	—	—	62	60
Alexander Alexeyev D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	10:35	—	—	44	73
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	2	4	0	9:29	—	—	50	84

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	20	17	3	.850	1.80	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.