Nashville Predators vs. Arizona CoyotesOct 17, 2019

FinalThursday, Oct 17, 2019· Gila River Arena

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

2

@

home

Arizona CoyotesARI

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	1	1	2		NSH	3	11	11	25
ARI	2	1	2	5		ARI	15	11	6	32

: NSH 50ARI 56
: NSH 2.58ARI 3.04
PP goals: NSH 0ARI 3
Hits: NSH 17ARI 13
Blocks: NSH 13ARI 10
PIM: NSH 14ARI 8
: NSH 50%ARI 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Arizona Coyotes beat Nashville Predators 5–2

Arizona Coyotes beat Nashville Predators 5–2 at home. Phil Kessel (ARI) led the scoring with 2G 0A. ARI's first power-play unit (Kessel, Stepan, Ekman-Larsson, Dvorak and Keller) scored 2 power-play goals on 3 attempts in 4:12 together.

Points
Phil Kessel had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:14.Kessel
Points
Clayton Keller had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:19.Keller
Points
Derek Stepan had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:17.Stepan
Points
Nick Schmaltz had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 13:55.Schmaltz
Points
Ryan Ellis had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:59.Ellis
PP1
ARI's first power-play unit (Kessel, Stepan, Ekman-Larsson, Dvorak and Keller) scored 2 power-play goals on 3 attempts in 4:12 together.Kessel Stepan Ekman-Larsson Dvorak Keller
Usage
Jordan Oesterle (ARI) played 0:17, −17:01 down on his 17:18 season average over 57 games.Oesterle
Luck
ARI scored 5 goals on 3.04 expected goals (56 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)ARI attacks right (top on phones) →

ARI
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 106 of 106 attempts · ARI 56 · NSH 50

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

ARI
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

ARI pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 26% of the game, ARI 43%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

ARI

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	ARI
	43	50
	1.99	2.07
	1.88	2.04
	6	14
	4	6
	10	16
	−0.012	+0.013
	26%	43%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Jarnkrok – Johansen – Arvidsson
9:5736% CF
L2Turris – Watson – Grimaldi
7:2755% CF
L3Bonino – Smith – Sissons
4:2020% CF
L4Duchene – Granlund – Carr
4:1143% CF
D1Ekholm – Fabbro
15:2350% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
12:5448% CF
D3Hamhuis – Weber
9:0141% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Jarnkrok – Johansen – Arvidsson
3:12100% CF
PP2Bonino – Turris – Ellis – Smith – Granlund
2:4833% CF
PK1FBonino – Sissons
3:28
PK2FJarnkrok – Watson
2:32
PK1DJosi – Ellis
2:43
PK2DHamhuis – Ekholm
1:19

Current NSH line combinations →

Arizona Coyotes

L1Richardson – Grabner – Hinostroza
9:5060% CF
L2Soderberg – Fischer – Crouse
9:4356% CF
L3Schmaltz – Dvorak – Garland
8:1850% CF
L4Kessel – Stepan – Keller
7:4879% CF
D1Goligoski – Chychrun
8:4163% CF
D2Demers – Ekman-Larsson
7:2771% CF

PP1Kessel – Stepan – Ekman-Larsson – Dvorak – Keller
4:1260% CF
PP2Soderberg – Goligoski – Schmaltz – Garland – Chychrun
2:3483% CF
PK1FRichardson – Grabner
3:09
PK2FStepan – Crouse
1:40
PK1DDemers – Ekman-Larsson
1:36
PK2DGoligoski – Chychrun
1:21

Current ARI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:06
ARIChristian Dvorak (Nick Schmaltz)wrist0.01 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, CarrARI: Goligoski, Ekman-Larsson, Schmaltz, Dvorak, Garland
NSH 0 – 1 ARI
10:34
ARIPhil KesselPP (Clayton Keller, Derek Stepan)wrist0.12 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, WatsonARI: Kessel, Stepan, Ekman-Larsson, Dvorak, Keller
NSH 0 – 2 ARI

2nd period

3:13
NSHDante Fabbro (Kyle Turris, Ryan Ellis)wrist0.03 xG
NSH: Turris, Ekholm, Grimaldi, Arvidsson, FabbroARI: Soderberg, Ekman-Larsson, Fischer, Crouse, Chychrun
NSH 1 – 2 ARI
14:27
ARIJakob ChychrunPP (Nick Schmaltz, Alex Goligoski)wrist0.07 xG
NSH: Weber, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, WatsonARI: Soderberg, Goligoski, Schmaltz, Garland, Chychrun
NSH 1 – 3 ARI

3rd period

5:43
ARIPhil KesselPP (Clayton Keller, Derek Stepan)wrist0.12 xG
NSH: Bonino, Josi, Ekholm, SissonsARI: Kessel, Stepan, Ekman-Larsson, Dvorak, Keller
NSH 1 – 4 ARI
16:39
NSHNick Bonino (Ryan Ellis)tip-in0.11 xG
NSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Smith, CarrARI: Goligoski, Demers, Stepan, Hinostroza, Keller
NSH 2 – 4 ARI
17:10
ARICarl SoderbergEN (Lawson Crouse)wrist0.26 xG
NSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Johansen, ArvidssonARI: Soderberg, Goligoski, Demers, Fischer, Crouse
NSH 2 – 5 ARI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.33	1	0	0	18:51	—	—	31	63
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.85	2	1	0	17:34	—	—	47	72
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	1	0	2	17:00	—	—	31	63
Austin Watson L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	2	3	0	13:50	—	—	52	32
Kyle Turris C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.07	1	0	0	13:45	—	—	50	33
Rocco Grimaldi R	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	1	0	2	11:56	—	—	56	36
Nick Bonino C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.19	0	1	0	17:20	—	—	41	58
Colton Sissons C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	1	0	17:01	—	—	50	47
Craig Smith C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	11:14	—	—	27	41
Matt Duchene C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	15:26	—	—	56	55
Mikael Granlund C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	0	0	2	14:57	—	—	52	50
Daniel Carr L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	2	0	0	6:31	—	—	44	55
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.13	0	1	0	22:32	—	—	48	67
Dante Fabbro D	D1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.04	1	2	0	18:28	—	—	48	48
Roman Josi D	D2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.36	2	1	4	23:30	—	—	45	51
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	2	2	-1	2	0.04	0	2	0	22:59	—	—	50	60
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	13:51	—	—	39	22
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	12:07	—	—	40	26

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	31	27	4	.871	2.78	59:35

Arizona Coyotes

ARI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brad Richardson R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	3	0	2	15:17	—	—	48	46
Michael Grabner L	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.48	0	0	0	14:29	—	—	60	54
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:48	—	—	50	44
Carl Soderberg C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.42	0	0	0	18:34	—	—	50	65
Lawson Crouse L	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.10	1	3	0	12:40	—	—	53	75
Christian Fischer R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	1	0	0	10:27	—	—	56	75
Christian Dvorak C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.02	1	0	0	16:00	—	—	47	43
Nick Schmaltz C	L3	0	2	2	+1	3	0.14	0	1	0	13:55	—	—	50	51
Conor Garland R	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.28	0	1	2	12:43	—	—	53	53
Clayton Keller R	L4	0	2	2	-1	2	0.28	0	0	0	17:19	—	—	50	38
Derek Stepan C	L4	0	2	2	-1	3	0.34	0	1	0	17:17	—	—	68	49
Phil Kessel R	L4	2	0	2	0	2	0.24	0	0	0	16:14	—	—	63	49
Alex Goligoski D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.23	0	1	2	25:02	—	—	60	47
Jakob Chychrun D	D1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.16	1	0	0	21:31	—	—	52	66
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	25:58	—	—	58	42
Jason Demers D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	2	0	0	25:29	—	—	56	56
Kyle Capobianco D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	2	17:24	—	—	38	48
Jordan Oesterle D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	0:17	—	—	0	—

ARI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Darcy Kuemper(start)	W	25	23	2	.920	2.58	59:36

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.