Nashville Predators vs. Calgary FlamesDec 16, 2017

FinalSaturday, Dec 16, 2017· Scotiabank Saddledome

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	2	0	2		NSH	6	16	6	28
CGY	0	0	0	0		CGY	12	9	11	32

: NSH 52CGY 73
: NSH 4.07CGY 3.98
PP goals: NSH 0CGY 0
Hits: NSH 7CGY 14
Blocks: NSH 19CGY 13
PIM: NSH 28CGY 25
: NSH 47%CGY 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Calgary Flames 2–0

Nashville Predators beat Calgary Flames 2–0 at CGY. Ryan Johansen (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 0A. CGY scored 0 goals on 3.98 expected goals (73 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
CGY scored 0 goals on 3.98 expected goals (73 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for CGY: Jagr–Stajan–Brouwer skated 5:19 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jagr Stajan Brouwer
Luck
NSH scored 2 goals on 4.07 expected goals (52 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Austin Watson (NSH) played 5:28, −6:57 down on his 12:25 season average over 75 games.Watson
Usage
Troy Brouwer (CGY) played 7:36, −6:25 down on his 14:01 season average over 75 games.Brouwer
Usage
Michael Stone (CGY) played 12:52, −3:56 down on his 16:48 season average over 81 games.Stone
Usage
Michael Frolik (CGY) played 13:34, −3:24 down on his 16:58 season average over 69 games.Frolik
Usage
Pontus Aberg (NSH) played 8:48, −3:26 down on his 12:14 season average over 52 games.Aberg

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)CGY attacks right (top on phones) →

CGY
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 125 of 125 attempts · CGY 73 · NSH 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CGY
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CGY pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 28% of the game, CGY 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CGY

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	CGY
	43	47
	2.42	1.88
	2.38	1.85
	7	6
	0	2
	23	12
	−0.030	+0.030
	28%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Turris – Smith – Fiala
9:0365% CF
L2Bonino – Johansen – Arvidsson
8:1725% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Aberg – Forsberg
7:1543% CF
L4Hartnell – Watson – Sissons
2:53100% CF
D1Josi – Ekholm
13:5848% CF
D2Emelin – Subban
12:0759% CF
D3Weber – Bitetto
9:1242% CF

PP1Turris – Josi – Ekholm – Sissons – Fiala
3:0167% CF
PP2Subban – Smith – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
2:50100% CF
PK1FBonino – Jarnkrok
2:19
PK2FJohansen – Arvidsson
1:58
PK1DEmelin – Subban
3:16
PK2DJosi – Ekholm
2:59

Current NSH line combinations →

Calgary Flames

L1Frolik – Backlund – Tkachuk
8:4054% CF
L2Ferland – Gaudreau – Monahan
7:2150% CF
L3Jankowski – Hathaway – Bennett
6:5940% CF
L4Jagr – Stajan – Brouwer
5:1950% CF
D1Giordano – Hamilton
13:5967% CF
D2Hamonic – Brodie
13:3758% CF
D3Stone – Kulak
8:1240% CF

PP1Brodie – Ferland – Gaudreau – Jankowski – Monahan
3:4367% CF
PP2Jagr – Giordano – Backlund – Hamilton – Tkachuk
3:11100% CF
PK1FJankowski – Hathaway
1:35
PK2FFrolik – Backlund
1:27
PK1DGiordano – Hamonic
3:13
PK2DStone – Brodie
2:00

Current CGY line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

11:17
NSHRyan Johansen (Viktor Arvidsson)backhand0.08 xG
NSH: Josi, Ekholm, Johansen, ArvidssonCGY: Frolik, Backlund, Hamonic, Brodie
NSH 1 – 0 CGY
19:22
NSHKevin Fiala (Kyle Turris, P.K. Subban)tip-in0.08 xG
NSH: Emelin, Subban, Turris, Smith, FialaCGY: Frolik, Backlund, Stone, Kulak, Tkachuk
NSH 2 – 0 CGY

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Craig Smith C	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.72	1	0	0	15:15	—	—	60	52
Kyle Turris C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.27	0	0	0	14:49	—	—	63	52
Kevin Fiala L	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.15	0	1	0	14:39	—	—	66	53
Ryan Johansen C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.58	1	2	0	19:44	—	—	38	71
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.33	0	2	0	17:50	—	—	29	75
Nick Bonino C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	0	15:29	—	—	25	40
Filip Forsberg L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	17:57	—	—	44	27
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	1	1	0	16:34	—	—	31	29
Pontus Aberg L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	0	0	8:48	—	—	38	15
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	13:38	—	—	56	18
Scott Hartnell L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.86	0	0	0	9:09	—	—	50	80
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	1	22	5:28	—	—	67	19
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	3	0	25:49	—	—	46	59
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	0	1	0	25:15	—	—	46	56
P.K. Subban D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.76	0	1	0	22:46	—	—	55	56
Alexei Emelin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.15	2	2	0	19:20	—	—	57	65
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	12:31	—	—	31	51
Anthony Bitetto D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	4	12:08	—	—	40	54

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	32	32	0	.1000	3.98	59:51

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matthew Tkachuk L	L1	-1	4	0.72	0	0	2	19:47	—	—	53	30
Mikael Backlund C	L1	-2	3	0.26	0	0	2	19:04	—	—	55	31
Michael Frolik R	L1	-2	2	0.34	2	1	0	13:34	—	—	54	47
Johnny Gaudreau L	L2	0	1	0.19	0	0	0	21:31	—	—	62	86
Sean Monahan C	L2	0	2	0.64	0	1	0	19:22	—	—	56	86
Micheal Ferland L	L2	0	3	0.55	1	0	0	13:56	—	—	59	84
Mark Jankowski L	L3	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:04	—	—	50	29
Sam Bennett C	L3	0	1	0.07	2	0	2	13:05	—	—	44	29
Garnet Hathaway R	L3	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:29	—	—	46	41
Jaromir Jagr R	L4	0	2	0.19	0	0	0	12:48	—	—	47	22
Matt Stajan C	L4	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:05	—	—	38	42
Troy Brouwer R	L4	0	1	0.05	2	0	17	7:36	—	—	40	42
Mark Giordano D	D1	0	8	0.60	1	2	0	26:23	—	—	63	89
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	4	0.23	1	1	0	23:08	—	—	57	76
TJ Brodie D	D2	-1	0	0.07	0	1	0	24:42	—	—	47	17
Travis Hamonic D	D2	-1	1	0.01	0	2	0	21:03	—	—	57	44
Michael Stone D	D3	-1	0	0.08	3	2	0	12:52	—	—	35	13
Brett Kulak D	D3	-1	0	0.00	0	1	2	10:20	—	—	41	34

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Smith(start)	L	28	26	2	.929	3.35	57:11

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.