Nashville Predators vs. Calgary FlamesOct 19, 2018

FinalFriday, Oct 19, 2018· Scotiabank Saddledome

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

5

@

home

Calgary FlamesCGY

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	1	2	2	5		NSH	8	10	13	31
CGY	1	1	1	3		CGY	3	10	14	27

: NSH 50CGY 62
: NSH 4.10CGY 2.98
PP goals: NSH 1CGY 1
Hits: NSH 12CGY 15
Blocks: NSH 20CGY 10
PIM: NSH 4CGY 6
: NSH 54%CGY 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Calgary Flames 5–3

Nashville Predators beat Calgary Flames 5–3 at CGY. Filip Forsberg (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. CGY's first power-play unit (Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:37 together.

Points
Elias Lindholm had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:04.Lindholm
Points
Filip Forsberg had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:06.Forsberg
Points
Kevin Fiala had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:41.Fiala
Points
Kyle Turris had 2 assists (2 points) in 17:38.Turris
Points
Mark Giordano had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 25:21.Giordano
Points
Ryan Ellis had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 24:11.Ellis
PP1
CGY's first power-play unit (Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:37 together.Giordano Gaudreau Lindholm Monahan Tkachuk
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Bonino, Turris, Josi, Ellis and Fiala) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:10 together.Bonino Turris Josi Ellis Fiala

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)CGY attacks right (top on phones) →

CGY
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · CGY 62 · NSH 50

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CGY
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CGY pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 28% of the game, CGY 21%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CGY

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	CGY
	53	65
	3.33	2.78
	3.25	2.73
	17	12
	11	4
	36	20
	−0.026	+0.026
	28%	21%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Bonino – Jarnkrok – Hartman
12:3950% CF
L2Turris – Smith – Fiala
12:2138% CF
L3Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
11:5550% CF
L4Rinaldo – Salomaki – Sissons
4:4038% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
17:2847% CF
D2Subban – Ekholm
16:3656% CF
D3Hamhuis – Weber
13:0133% CF

PP1Bonino – Turris – Josi – Ellis – Fiala
2:10100% CF
PP2Subban – Smith – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
1:58100% CF
PK1FBonino – Hartman
0:50
PK2FJohansen – Forsberg
0:38
PK1DJosi – Ellis
1:55
PK2DSubban – Ekholm
1:21

Current NSH line combinations →

Calgary Flames

L1Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan
13:5840% CF
L2Frolik – Backlund – Tkachuk
12:3852% CF
L3Neal – Jankowski – Bennett
5:4756% CF
L4Hathaway – Ryan – Dube
4:2250% CF
D1Giordano – Brodie
18:0658% CF
D2Hanifin – Andersson
15:1452% CF
D3Stone – Välimäki
14:1860% CF

PP1Giordano – Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan – Tkachuk
2:37100% CF
PP2Giordano – Neal – Backlund – Brodie – Ryan
0:3750% CF
PK1FJankowski – Bennett
1:52
PK2FBacklund – Lindholm
1:09
PK1DGiordano – Brodie
2:11
PK2DStone – Hanifin
1:40

Current CGY line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:51
NSHRyan Johansen (Filip Forsberg, Ryan Ellis)snap0.24 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonCGY: Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Brodie, Tkachuk
NSH 1 – 0 CGY
18:43
CGYElias Lindholm (Johnny Gaudreau, Mark Giordano)snap0.00 xG
NSH: Subban, Rinaldo, Ellis, Salomaki, SissonsCGY: Giordano, Brodie, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan
NSH 1 – 1 CGY

2nd period

4:09
NSHCraig Smith (Kyle Turris, Kevin Fiala)backhand0.16 xG
NSH: Subban, Turris, Ekholm, Smith, FialaCGY: Brodie, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Välimäki
NSH 2 – 1 CGY
12:51
CGYMatthew TkachukPP (Elias Lindholm, Mark Giordano)tip-in0.12 xG
NSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, HartmanCGY: Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Tkachuk
NSH 2 – 2 CGY
14:23
NSHKevin FialaPP (Ryan Ellis, Kyle Turris)wrist0.46 xG
NSH: Bonino, Turris, Josi, Ellis, FialaCGY: Giordano, Backlund, Brodie, Lindholm
NSH 3 – 2 CGY

3rd period

2:20
CGYSam Bennett (Derek Ryan, Michael Stone)backhand0.18 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Turris, Weber, Smith, FialaCGY: Neal, Stone, Bennett, Ryan, Välimäki
NSH 3 – 3 CGY
6:31
NSHZac Rinaldo (Yannick Weber)wrist0.09 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Weber, Rinaldo, Sissons, HartmanCGY: Neal, Bennett, Hanifin, Andersson, Ryan
NSH 4 – 3 CGY
19:28
NSHFilip ForsbergENwrist0.67 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, SissonsCGY: Giordano, Brodie, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Tkachuk
NSH 5 – 3 CGY

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Hartman R	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.44	0	0	0	18:45	—	—	52	59
Nick Bonino C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	2	0	18:45	—	—	50	40
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	0	0	17:57	—	—	38	26
Kyle Turris C	L2	0	2	2	0	0	0.09	1	1	0	17:38	—	—	42	60
Kevin Fiala L	L2	1	1	2	0	3	0.93	0	1	2	16:41	—	—	47	65
Craig Smith C	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.31	0	0	0	15:12	—	—	37	52
Filip Forsberg L	L3	1	1	2	+2	3	1.03	1	0	0	18:06	—	—	52	63
Ryan Johansen C	L3	1	0	1	+2	3	0.48	0	1	0	16:50	—	—	47	49
Viktor Arvidsson L	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.08	1	0	2	16:29	—	—	46	49
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.11	0	2	0	10:00	—	—	47	81
Zac Rinaldo C	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.11	4	1	0	6:45	—	—	41	53
Miikka Salomaki R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	0	0	0	5:56	—	—	36	82
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	2	2	+1	2	0.13	0	1	0	24:11	—	—	44	48
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	+2	3	0.03	0	1	0	23:12	—	—	50	50
P.K. Subban D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	0	1	0	23:00	—	—	53	62
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	1	2	0	19:59	—	—	52	73
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:42	—	—	36	56
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	6	0	13:36	—	—	32	48

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	—	18	15	3	.833	2.17	45:09
Juuse Saros	W	9	9	0	.1000	0.81	14:51

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Johnny Gaudreau L	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.03	0	0	0	21:24	—	—	46	32
Elias Lindholm C	L1	1	1	2	-1	2	0.32	2	0	0	20:04	—	—	44	32
Sean Monahan C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.26	0	0	0	19:28	—	—	42	30
Matthew Tkachuk L	L2	1	0	1	-2	2	0.59	0	1	0	18:14	—	—	55	42
Mikael Backlund C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	0	0	0	17:54	—	—	50	38
Michael Frolik R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	2	1	2	15:24	—	—	48	43
Sam Bennett C	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.55	4	0	0	15:29	—	—	70	57
James Neal L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.36	1	1	4	14:32	—	—	70	57
Mark Jankowski L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:49	—	—	55	38
Derek Ryan C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:09	—	—	70	62
Garnet Hathaway R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	2	0	0	6:52	—	—	50	86
Dillon Dube C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.24	0	0	0	6:27	—	—	50	89
Mark Giordano D	D1	0	2	2	-1	4	0.24	0	3	0	25:21	—	—	57	48
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	0	1	0	22:52	—	—	56	49
Noah Hanifin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	18:56	—	—	54	52
Rasmus Andersson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	17:20	—	—	50	43
Michael Stone D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	2	0	0	17:01	—	—	59	42
Juuso Välimäki D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	2	0	15:53	—	—	54	35

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Smith(start)	L	30	26	4	.867	3.43	58:21

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.