Nashville Predators vs. Calgary FlamesDec 8, 2018

FinalSaturday, Dec 8, 2018· Scotiabank Saddledome

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

2

@

home

Calgary FlamesCGY

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	1	0	1	2		NSH	7	8	12	27
CGY	1	1	3	5		CGY	4	12	9	25

: NSH 45CGY 53
: NSH 1.83CGY 2.97
PP goals: NSH 0CGY 0
Hits: NSH 21CGY 12
Blocks: NSH 16CGY 10
PIM: NSH 6CGY 4
: NSH 49%CGY 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Calgary Flames beat Nashville Predators 5–2

Calgary Flames beat Nashville Predators 5–2 at home. Sean Monahan (CGY) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Rasmus Andersson (CGY) played 22:59, +7:02 up on his 15:57 season average over 78 games.

Points
Elias Lindholm had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:27.Lindholm
Points
Oliver Kylington had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:34.Kylington
Points
Sean Monahan had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:42.Monahan
Points
Johnny Gaudreau had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:05.Gaudreau
Usage
Rasmus Andersson (CGY) played 22:59, +7:02 up on his 15:57 season average over 78 games.Andersson
Luck
CGY scored 5 goals on 2.97 expected goals (53 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for CGY: Hathaway–Ryan–Tkachuk skated 7:31 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hathaway Ryan Tkachuk
New line
New look for CGY: Quine–Bennett–Czarnik skated 5:15 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Quine Bennett Czarnik

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)CGY attacks right (top on phones) →

CGY
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 98 of 98 attempts · CGY 53 · NSH 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CGY
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CGY pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 24% of the game, CGY 47%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CGY

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	CGY
	49	55
	1.87	2.14
	1.81	2.08
	12	12
	7	5
	24	29
	+0.004	−0.004
	24%	47%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Watson – Salomaki – Sissons
11:5342% CF
L2Johansen – Hartman – Fiala
7:5238% CF
L3Bonino – Smith – Jarnkrok
6:1846% CF
L4Rinaldo – Grimaldi – Gaudreau
4:2943% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
16:4756% CF
D2Hamhuis – Ekholm
15:2134% CF
D3Weber – Bitetto
9:0340% CF

PP1Josi – Ellis – Smith – Johansen – Sissons
1:09100% CF
PP2Bonino – Ekholm – Jarnkrok – Hartman – Fiala
0:51
PK1FWatson – Johansen
0:50
PK2FBonino – Hartman
0:37
PK1DJosi – Ellis
2:05
PK2DHamhuis – Ekholm
0:50

Current NSH line combinations →

Calgary Flames

L1Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan
13:0161% CF
L2Neal – Jankowski – Mangiapane
12:0850% CF
L3Hathaway – Ryan – Tkachuk
7:3155% CF
L4Quine – Bennett – Czarnik
5:1557% CF
D1Brodie – Andersson
20:4745% CF
D2Hamonic – Hanifin
14:1252% CF
D3Prout – Kylington
12:2673% CF

PP1Neal – Bennett – Hanifin – Czarnik – Ryan
1:5450% CF
PP2Brodie – Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan – Tkachuk
1:480% CF
PK1FJankowski – Lindholm
1:08
PK2FHathaway – Ryan
0:52
PK1DHamonic – Hanifin
1:08
PK2DProut – Andersson
0:52

Current CGY line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:12
CGYOliver Kylington (Elias Lindholm, Johnny Gaudreau)snap0.12 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Ekholm, Johansen, Hartman, FialaCGY: Hamonic, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Kylington
NSH 0 – 1 CGY
19:07
NSHColton Sissons (Roman Josi, Miikka Salomaki)tip-in0.07 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Watson, Salomaki, SissonsCGY: Brodie, Bennett, Andersson, Ryan, Tkachuk
NSH 1 – 1 CGY

2nd period

16:40
CGYSean Monahan (Noah Hanifin, Travis Hamonic)backhand0.13 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Ekholm, Johansen, Hartman, FialaCGY: Hamonic, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Hanifin
NSH 1 – 2 CGY

3rd period

0:54
NSHCraig Smith (Mattias Ekholm, Rocco Grimaldi)wrist0.00 xG
NSH: Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Jarnkrok, HartmanCGY: Brodie, Lindholm, Monahan, Andersson, Tkachuk
NSH 2 – 2 CGY
6:03
CGYGarnet Hathaway (Matthew Tkachuk, Oliver Kylington)deflected0.11 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Bonino, Ekholm, Smith, SissonsCGY: Prout, Hathaway, Kylington, Ryan, Tkachuk
NSH 2 – 3 CGY
12:12
CGYAlan Quine (Rasmus Andersson)backhand0.15 xG
NSH: Weber, Ekholm, Watson, Johansen, GaudreauCGY: Brodie, Quine, Bennett, Andersson, Czarnik
NSH 2 – 4 CGY
17:00
CGYElias LindholmEN (Johnny Gaudreau, Sean Monahan)wrist0.87 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Sissons, FialaCGY: Hamonic, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Hanifin
NSH 2 – 5 CGY

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Colton Sissons C	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.28	0	0	0	17:32	—	—	50	47
Austin Watson L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	15:47	—	—	40	43
Miikka Salomaki R	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.15	3	0	0	14:10	—	—	45	51
Ryan Johansen C	L2	0	0	0	-4	1	0.25	4	0	0	18:04	—	—	48	36
Kevin Fiala L	L2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.16	0	1	0	17:09	—	—	40	38
Ryan Hartman R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	2	1	2	16:29	—	—	48	38
Craig Smith C	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.06	1	0	0	16:51	—	—	56	59
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.22	0	1	2	16:01	—	—	45	57
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	0	1	0	14:16	—	—	42	35
Rocco Grimaldi R	L4	0	1	1	0	3	0.20	0	0	0	12:31	—	—	48	56
Frederick Gaudreau C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	0	0	0	10:24	—	—	53	48
Zac Rinaldo C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	6:09	—	—	46	85
Roman Josi D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.21	1	2	0	24:09	—	—	58	69
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	2	0	23:51	—	—	55	61
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	1	1	-3	1	0.05	1	3	0	24:19	—	—	38	37
Dan Hamhuis D	D2	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	1	0	2	20:15	—	—	39	34
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.03	2	2	0	13:59	—	—	42	37
Anthony Bitetto D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	3	0	12:37	—	—	55	56

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	24	20	4	.833	2.10	59:27

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Johnny Gaudreau L	L1	0	2	2	+3	2	0.11	0	0	0	19:05	—	—	57	49
Sean Monahan C	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.39	0	0	0	18:42	—	—	53	48
Elias Lindholm C	L1	1	1	2	+2	2	0.89	0	1	0	18:27	—	—	54	60
James Neal L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	0	0	0	16:49	—	—	52	58
Andrew Mangiapane L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.34	0	1	0	14:31	—	—	50	68
Mark Jankowski L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	0	1	0	14:04	—	—	46	62
Matthew Tkachuk L	L3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:03	—	—	52	28
Derek Ryan C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:58	—	—	59	35
Garnet Hathaway R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.12	4	0	2	13:56	—	—	47	28
Sam Bennett C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	12:32	—	—	53	55
Alan Quine C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.15	2	0	0	11:03	—	—	55	71
Austin Czarnik C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	0	0	0	10:32	—	—	67	84
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	1	0	2	24:37	—	—	43	45
Rasmus Andersson D	D1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	0	2	0	22:59	—	—	45	46
Travis Hamonic D	D2	0	1	1	+3	2	0.04	1	3	0	19:41	—	—	47	44
Noah Hanifin D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	2	0	0	19:05	—	—	52	45
Oliver Kylington D	D3	1	1	2	+2	2	0.17	0	2	0	15:34	—	—	62	65
Dalton Prout D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	0	0	0	14:22	—	—	73	72

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Smith(start)	W	27	25	2	.926	1.83	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.