Nashville Predators vs. Carolina HurricanesNov 26, 2017

Final / SOSunday, Nov 26, 2017· PNC Arena

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

3

@

home

Carolina HurricanesCAR

4

Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
NSH	1	1	1	0	0	3		NSH	9	12	13	1	35
CAR	1	1	1	0	1	4		CAR	15	11	10	0	36

: NSH 75CAR 73
: NSH 3.63CAR 3.27
PP goals: NSH 1CAR 1
Hits: NSH 37CAR 34
Blocks: NSH 21CAR 21
PIM: NSH 8CAR 4
: NSH 49%CAR 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Nashville Predators 4–3 (SO)

Carolina Hurricanes beat Nashville Predators 4–3 in a shootout at home. Mattias Ekholm (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. CAR's first power-play unit (Williams, Skinner, Rask, Hanifin and Ryan) scored 1 power-play goal on 9 attempts in 2:44 together.

Points
Mattias Ekholm had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 26:22.Ekholm
Points
Victor Rask had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:52.Rask
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Williams, Skinner, Rask, Hanifin and Ryan) scored 1 power-play goal on 9 attempts in 2:44 together.Williams Skinner Rask Hanifin Ryan
Goalie
Juuse Saros (NSH) faced 36 shots and stopped 33 (.917), +5 against a season average of 31.2; the overtime loss.Saros
New line
New look for NSH: Watson–Aberg–Gaudreau skated 5:50 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Watson Aberg Gaudreau
Goalie
Scott Darling (CAR) faced 35 shots and stopped 32 (.914), +8 against a season average of 27.2; the win.Darling
Usage
Pontus Aberg (NSH) played 6:57, −5:19 down on his 12:16 season average over 52 games.Aberg
Usage
Roman Josi (NSH) played 27:32, +3:06 up on his 24:26 season average over 74 games.Josi

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 148 of 148 attempts · CAR 73 · NSH 75

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 24% of the game, CAR 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	CAR
	77	71
	3.80	2.80
	3.65	2.72
	17	19
	10	8
	32	28
	−0.002	+0.002
	24%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
14:4558% CF
L2Bonino – Jarnkrok – Sissons
13:2957% CF
L3Turris – Smith – Fiala
12:1348% CF
L4Watson – Aberg – Gaudreau
5:5060% CF
D1Josi – Ekholm
20:3056% CF
D2Emelin – Subban
18:0051% CF
D3Irwin – Bitetto
12:5538% CF

PP1Turris – Josi – Ekholm – Sissons – Fiala
0:34100% CF
PK1FWatson – Sissons
1:08
PK2FBonino – Jarnkrok
0:56
PK1DEmelin – Subban
2:27
PK2DJosi – Ekholm
1:49

Current NSH line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Teravainen – Aho
13:3068% CF
L2Williams – Skinner – Ryan
12:0940% CF
L3Rask – McGinn – Lindholm
10:3144% CF
L4Kruger – Nordstrom – Jooris
7:1754% CF
D1van Riemsdyk – Hanifin
16:4144% CF
D2Slavin – Pesce
16:1254% CF
D3Faulk – Fleury
15:4044% CF

PP1Williams – Skinner – Rask – Hanifin – Ryan
2:4490% CF
PP2Staal – Faulk – Teravainen – Lindholm – Aho
2:00100% CF
PK1FStaal – Lindholm
0:34
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
0:34

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:37
CARJosh Jooris (Marcus Kruger, Trevor van Riemsdyk)backhand0.12 xG
NSH: Josi, Ekholm, Watson, Aberg, GaudreauCAR: Kruger, Nordstrom, Jooris, van Riemsdyk, Hanifin
NSH 0 – 1 CAR
15:36
NSHViktor Arvidsson (Mattias Ekholm, Juuse Saros)wrist0.07 xG
NSH: Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonCAR: Williams, Skinner, van Riemsdyk, Hanifin, Ryan
NSH 1 – 1 CAR

2nd period

10:32
NSHMattias EkholmPP (Roman Josi, Kyle Turris)snap0.02 xG
NSH: Turris, Josi, Ekholm, Sissons, FialaCAR: Staal, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm
NSH 2 – 1 CAR
11:37
CARVictor Rask (Elias Lindholm, Noah Hanifin)backhand0.03 xG
NSH: Bonino, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Bitetto, SissonsCAR: Rask, McGinn, Lindholm, van Riemsdyk, Hanifin
NSH 2 – 2 CAR

3rd period

5:49
CARJustin WilliamsPP (Derek Ryan, Victor Rask)backhand0.12 xG
NSH: Josi, Irwin, Jarnkrok, ArvidssonCAR: Williams, Skinner, Rask, Hanifin, Ryan
NSH 2 – 3 CAR
11:15
NSHCraig Smith (Kevin Fiala)wrist0.06 xG
NSH: Emelin, Subban, Turris, Smith, FialaCAR: Williams, Faulk, Skinner, Fleury, Ryan
NSH 3 – 3 CAR

Decided in the shootout: NSH 3 – 4 CAR.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.40	3	0	2	21:44	—	—	55	66
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.58	2	1	0	21:23	—	—	60	62
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.38	0	1	0	19:33	—	—	50	61
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	3	1	0	20:02	—	—	56	63
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.45	1	0	0	17:03	—	—	61	70
Nick Bonino C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.17	1	0	0	17:02	—	—	51	51
Kyle Turris C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.08	1	1	0	15:33	—	—	46	46
Kevin Fiala L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	4	1	0	14:25	—	—	37	42
Craig Smith C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	1	2	0	14:20	—	—	46	46
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	7	2	2	9:36	—	—	50	37
Frederick Gaudreau C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	2	0	0	7:56	—	—	50	37
Pontus Aberg L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	1	0	0	6:57	—	—	56	21
Roman Josi D	D1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.70	2	1	0	27:32	—	—	56	71
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	1	1	2	0	4	0.56	1	3	4	26:22	—	—	58	71
P.K. Subban D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	1	0	0	24:26	—	—	54	40
Alexei Emelin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.04	3	2	0	20:42	—	—	53	40
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	1	0	14:40	—	—	38	32
Anthony Bitetto D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	5	0	13:47	—	—	39	35

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	O	36	33	3	.917	3.27	64:04

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.39	8	1	2	23:00	—	—	58	49
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.35	0	1	0	21:33	—	—	50	38
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.45	0	1	0	20:02	—	—	67	60
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.20	1	0	0	17:23	—	—	45	48
Justin Williams R	L2	1	0	1	-2	7	0.64	2	1	2	16:28	—	—	38	36
Derek Ryan C	L2	0	1	1	-2	3	0.31	0	0	0	15:36	—	—	42	43
Elias Lindholm C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.08	3	0	0	18:02	—	—	41	30
Victor Rask C	L3	1	1	2	+1	2	0.04	2	1	0	16:52	—	—	41	29
Brock McGinn L	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.20	2	0	0	12:37	—	—	46	34
Joakim Nordstrom C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	2	0	10:16	—	—	53	82
Marcus Kruger C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	2	0	9:56	—	—	53	71
Josh Jooris R	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.32	2	0	0	9:27	—	—	60	86
Noah Hanifin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	0	4	0	20:49	—	—	47	34
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.04	0	1	0	17:51	—	—	40	27
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	0	4	0	22:53	—	—	54	45
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	21:42	—	—	53	37
Justin Faulk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	6	2	0	22:35	—	—	47	63
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	3	0	0	17:53	—	—	46	51

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Scott Darling(start)	W	35	32	3	.914	3.63	65:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.