Nashville Predators vs. Carolina HurricanesJan 13, 2019

FinalSunday, Jan 13, 2019· PNC Arena

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

3

@

home

Carolina HurricanesCAR

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	2	1	3		NSH	6	7	10	23
CAR	2	3	1	6		CAR	12	12	10	34

: NSH 53CAR 53
: NSH 1.73CAR 4.41
PP goals: NSH 0CAR 2
Hits: NSH 15CAR 16
Blocks: NSH 10CAR 14
PIM: NSH 15CAR 13
: NSH 70%CAR 30%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Nashville Predators 6–3

Carolina Hurricanes beat Nashville Predators 6–3 at home. Sebastian Aho (CAR) led the scoring with 3G 1A. CAR's first power-play unit (Williams, Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen and Aho) scored 2 power-play goals on 8 attempts in 3:31 together.

Points
Sebastian Aho had a hat trick and an assist (4 points) on 6 shots in 18:16.Aho
Points
Filip Forsberg had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:31.Forsberg
Points
Micheal Ferland had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 11:23.Ferland
Points
Roman Josi had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 23:06.Josi
Points
Teuvo Teravainen had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:32.Teravainen
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Williams, Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen and Aho) scored 2 power-play goals on 8 attempts in 3:31 together.Williams Faulk Ferland Teravainen Aho
New line
New look for CAR: Martinook–McGinn–Wallmark skated 9:23 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (31.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Martinook McGinn Wallmark
New line
New look for NSH: Jarnkrok–Grimaldi–Di Giuseppe skated 7:27 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (61.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jarnkrok Grimaldi Di Giuseppe

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 106 of 106 attempts · CAR 53 · NSH 53

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 16% of the game, CAR 46%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	CAR
	44	43
	1.03	2.55
	1.02	2.51
	2	10
	7	4
	17	16
	+0.128	−0.128
	16%	46%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
11:2268% CF
L2Jarnkrok – Grimaldi – Di Giuseppe
7:2762% CF
L3Smith – Sissons – Fiala
6:2313% CF
L4Bonino – Watson – Hartman
4:4622% CF
D1Subban – Ekholm
13:4861% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
12:2831% CF
D3Hamhuis – Irwin
10:4271% CF

PP1Bonino – Subban – Ekholm – Smith – Fiala
3:38100% CF
PP2Josi – Ellis – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
3:11100% CF
PK1FJohansen – Arvidsson
1:37
PK2FWatson – Sissons
1:32
PK1DJosi – Ellis
2:40
PK2DHamhuis – Ekholm
2:24

Current NSH line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – McKegg – Svechnikov
10:3663% CF
L2Martinook – McGinn – Wallmark
9:2332% CF
L3Rask – Maenalanen – Foegele
7:3662% CF
L4Ferland – Teravainen – Aho
6:3864% CF
D1Hamilton – van Riemsdyk
13:4053% CF
D2de Haan – Faulk
12:1559% CF
D3Slavin – Pesce
11:5337% CF

PP1Williams – Faulk – Ferland – Teravainen – Aho
3:31100% CF
PP2Rask – Hamilton – Slavin – Wallmark – Svechnikov
1:360% CF
PK1FTeravainen – Aho
3:15
PK2FMcGinn – Wallmark
2:10
PK1Dde Haan – Faulk
3:28
PK2DSlavin – Pesce
2:49

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

15:44
CARSebastian Ahowrist0.11 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Smith, Jarnkrok, FialaCAR: de Haan, Teravainen, McGinn, van Riemsdyk, Aho
NSH 0 – 1 CAR
18:15
CARSaku Maenalanen (Justin Faulk, Calvin de Haan)snap0.14 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Grimaldi, Di GiuseppeCAR: de Haan, Faulk, Rask, Maenalanen, Foegele
NSH 0 – 2 CAR

2nd period

2:48
NSHColton Sissons (Roman Josi, Ryan Ellis)wrist0.09 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Watson, SissonsCAR: Williams, Faulk, Hamilton, Aho
NSH 1 – 2 CAR
3:08
CARSebastian AhoPP (Micheal Ferland, Teuvo Teravainen)snap0.18 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Bonino, Ekholm, JarnkrokCAR: Williams, Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen, Aho
NSH 1 – 3 CAR
8:35
CARLucas Wallmark (Brock McGinn, Jaccob Slavin)snap0.17 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonCAR: Martinook, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, Wallmark
NSH 1 – 4 CAR
10:11
CARJustin WilliamsPP (Micheal Ferland, Sebastian Aho)deflected0.27 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Ekholm, Watson, SissonsCAR: Williams, Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen, Aho
NSH 1 – 5 CAR
14:29
NSHFilip ForsbergSH (Roman Josi, Nick Bonino)deflected0.10 xG
NSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, ForsbergCAR: Williams, Faulk, Teravainen, Aho, Svechnikov
NSH 2 – 5 CAR

3rd period

13:33
NSHFilip Forsberg (Ryan Johansen, Viktor Arvidsson)wrist0.12 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Irwin, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonCAR: de Haan, Faulk, Martinook, McGinn, Wallmark
NSH 3 – 5 CAR
16:59
CARSebastian AhoEN (Teuvo Teravainen, Brett Pesce)wrist0.97 xG
NSH: Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg, FialaCAR: Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce, Aho
NSH 3 – 6 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.04	0	0	0	21:46	—	—	68	45
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	0	0	2	20:42	—	—	67	44
Filip Forsberg L	L1	2	0	2	0	3	0.40	3	0	0	20:31	—	—	70	45
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.08	1	0	0	14:23	—	—	56	41
Rocco Grimaldi R	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.45	1	0	0	13:47	—	—	60	45
Phillip Di Giuseppe L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:18	—	—	64	55
Colton Sissons C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.09	3	1	0	16:43	—	—	25	13
Kevin Fiala L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	0	0	12:13	—	—	9	1
Craig Smith C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.13	1	0	2	11:48	—	—	18	3
Nick Bonino C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:54	—	—	23	5
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	1	5	9:22	—	—	33	6
Ryan Hartman R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	4	8:37	—	—	38	6
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.09	0	2	0	23:11	—	—	63	47
P.K. Subban D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.08	1	0	0	23:02	—	—	55	13
Roman Josi D	D2	0	2	2	-1	2	0.19	0	2	0	23:06	—	—	32	12
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.08	1	3	2	22:31	—	—	33	10
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:10	—	—	60	39
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	13:00	—	—	75	74

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	L	20	15	5	.750	2.22	29:30
Juuse Saros	—	13	13	0	.1000	1.22	29:24

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Justin Williams R	L1	1	0	1	-2	3	0.51	0	1	0	15:32	—	—	56	83
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	0	0	0	14:25	—	—	58	51
Greg McKegg C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:51	—	—	58	83
Brock McGinn L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.22	1	0	0	17:19	—	—	35	61
Lucas Wallmark C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.17	0	2	0	14:44	—	—	32	60
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	3	0	2	14:00	—	—	32	60
Victor Rask C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.17	0	0	2	13:14	—	—	50	70
Warren Foegele L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	0	0	0	12:19	—	—	62	97
Saku Maenalanen R	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.66	3	0	0	10:58	—	—	53	72
Sebastian Aho C	L4	3	1	4	0	6	1.44	0	0	0	18:16	—	—	59	75
Teuvo Teravainen C	L4	0	2	2	+1	2	0.15	0	0	0	17:32	—	—	63	75
Micheal Ferland L	L4	0	2	2	0	2	0.08	0	0	7	11:23	—	—	64	79
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.20	1	1	2	18:36	—	—	52	60
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	0	2	0	17:35	—	—	59	64
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	1	1	-2	4	0.25	0	0	0	21:54	—	—	59	73
Calvin de Haan D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	6	4	0	20:23	—	—	62	85
Jaccob Slavin D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	3	0	19:51	—	—	36	62
Brett Pesce D	D3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.23	0	1	0	18:12	—	—	41	77

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	W	23	20	3	.870	1.73	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.