Nashville Predators vs. Carolina HurricanesNov 29, 2019

FinalFriday, Nov 29, 2019· PNC Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	2	1	0	3		NSH	13	7	8	28
CAR	0	0	0	0		CAR	12	9	10	31

: NSH 45CAR 66
: NSH 2.77CAR 2.94
PP goals: NSH 0CAR 0
Hits: NSH 24CAR 13
Blocks: NSH 16CAR 7
PIM: NSH 4CAR 8
: NSH 60%CAR 40%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–0

Nashville Predators beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–0 at CAR. Calle Jarnkrok (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 0A. CAR scored 0 goals on 2.94 expected goals (66 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
CAR scored 0 goals on 2.94 expected goals (66 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for CAR: Martinook–McGinn–Bishop skated 6:16 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (80% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Martinook McGinn Bishop
Usage
Nick Bonino (NSH) played 20:12, +3:44 up on his 16:28 season average over 66 games.Bonino
Usage
Yannick Weber (NSH) played 10:14, −3:52 down on his 14:06 season average over 40 games.Weber
Usage
Lucas Wallmark (CAR) played 15:48, +3:04 up on his 12:44 season average over 66 games.Wallmark
PP1
CAR's PP1 (Dzingel, Hamilton, Teravainen, Aho and Svechnikov) went scoreless in 3:45 of 5v4 time with 4 attempts.Dzingel Hamilton Teravainen Aho Svechnikov
PP1
NSH's PP1 (Bonino, Ellis, Ekholm, Smith and Jarnkrok) went scoreless in 4:02 of 5v4 time with 7 attempts.Bonino Ellis Ekholm Smith Jarnkrok

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · CAR 66 · NSH 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 30% of the game, CAR 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	CAR
	38	68
	2.40	2.70
	2.31	2.65
	7	16
	10	5
	22	28
	+0.088	−0.088
	30%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Bonino – Smith – Grimaldi
8:1421% CF
L2Duchene – Granlund – Carr
8:0427% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Johansen – Forsberg
8:0267% CF
L4Watson – Sissons – Olivier
6:2571% CF
D1Ekholm – Fabbro
13:1620% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
12:4732% CF
D3Hamhuis – Weber
9:0955% CF

PP1Bonino – Ellis – Ekholm – Smith – Jarnkrok
4:0288% CF
PP2Josi – Duchene – Johansen – Granlund – Forsberg
3:4780% CF
PK1FBonino – Sissons
1:40
PK2FJarnkrok – Watson
1:00
PK1DJosi – Ellis
2:43
PK2DHamhuis – Ekholm
1:40

Current NSH line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Niederreiter – Foegele
10:3148% CF
L2Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
10:0485% CF
L3Dzingel – Wallmark – Necas
7:2138% CF
L4Martinook – McGinn – Bishop
6:1680% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
15:3667% CF
D2Gardiner – Fleury
12:1559% CF
D3Edmundson – Pesce
9:3156% CF

PP1Dzingel – Hamilton – Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
3:45100% CF
PP2Staal – Gardiner – Niederreiter – Wallmark – Necas
1:56100% CF
PK1FStaal – McGinn
2:37
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
1:49
PK1DEdmundson – Pesce
3:58
PK2DHamilton – Slavin
3:15

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

8:15
NSHRocco Grimaldi (Nick Bonino)wrist0.15 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Bonino, Weber, Smith, GrimaldiCAR: Gardiner, Hamilton, Teravainen, Aho, Svechnikov
NSH 1 – 0 CAR
17:55
NSHCalle Jarnkrok (Filip Forsberg)snap0.12 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Weber, Jarnkrok, Johansen, ForsbergCAR: Gardiner, Dzingel, Fleury, Wallmark, Necas
NSH 2 – 0 CAR

2nd period

3:28
NSHAustin Watson (Mattias Ekholm, Matt Duchene)deflected0.17 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Watson, Sissons, Fabbro, OlivierCAR: Edmundson, Martinook, McGinn, Pesce, Bishop
NSH 3 – 0 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Bonino C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	3	0	20:12	—	—	24	42
Craig Smith C	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.33	1	0	0	14:42	—	—	29	50
Rocco Grimaldi R	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.29	0	0	0	12:10	—	—	20	50
Matt Duchene C	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.28	0	0	0	16:14	—	—	32	45
Mikael Granlund C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.38	0	1	0	15:30	—	—	31	44
Daniel Carr L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	0	0	11:25	—	—	26	27
Ryan Johansen C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	19:00	—	—	47	54
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.30	2	0	0	18:36	—	—	52	55
Filip Forsberg L	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.30	1	1	0	16:11	—	—	63	72
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	5	2	2	13:08	—	—	33	36
Austin Watson L	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.29	5	0	2	12:11	—	—	32	42
Mathieu Olivier R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	0	0	8:31	—	—	78	85
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.14	0	4	0	23:36	—	—	32	34
Dante Fabbro D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	2	0	18:51	—	—	23	25
Roman Josi D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	0	1	0	24:38	—	—	33	57
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	0	0	0	5	0.27	1	2	0	21:43	—	—	39	51
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	0	0	17:05	—	—	43	60
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.01	0	0	0	10:14	—	—	52	60

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	31	31	0	.1000	2.94	59:24

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	2	0.26	3	1	0	19:11	—	—	54	48
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	0	0.22	0	0	0	15:51	—	—	50	27
Warren Foegele L	L1	0	3	0.05	0	1	0	15:03	—	—	52	42
Sebastian Aho C	L2	-1	0	0.14	0	0	0	18:31	—	—	79	78
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	-1	2	0.42	0	0	0	18:03	—	—	78	83
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	-1	3	0.33	0	0	2	15:52	—	—	77	79
Lucas Wallmark C	L3	-1	2	0.09	0	0	0	15:48	—	—	56	39
Ryan Dzingel C	L3	-1	1	0.05	0	0	0	14:10	—	—	57	36
Martin Necas C	L3	-1	0	0.16	0	0	0	12:43	—	—	50	18
Brock McGinn L	L4	-1	2	0.11	1	0	0	12:17	—	—	81	75
Jordan Martinook L	L4	-1	1	0.18	1	0	0	11:28	—	—	74	69
Clark Bishop C	L4	-1	2	0.31	3	0	0	8:13	—	—	80	48
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	-1	2	0.29	1	0	0	23:52	—	—	65	64
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	3	0.09	0	2	0	22:08	—	—	72	70
Jake Gardiner D	D2	-2	2	0.01	2	1	4	16:15	—	—	58	42
Haydn Fleury D	D2	-1	3	0.14	0	2	0	15:43	—	—	63	57
Brett Pesce D	D3	-1	1	0.08	0	0	0	20:32	—	—	65	50
Joel Edmundson D	D3	-1	2	0.01	2	0	2	16:20	—	—	58	31

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	L	28	25	3	.893	2.77	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.