Nashville Predators vs. Carolina HurricanesMar 11, 2021

FinalThursday, Mar 11, 2021· PNC Arena

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

1

@

home

Carolina HurricanesCAR

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	0	1	1		NSH	15	6	12	33
CAR	3	1	1	5		CAR	6	12	8	26

: NSH 58CAR 48
: NSH 2.40CAR 2.95
PP goals: NSH 0CAR 3
Hits: NSH 34CAR 21
Blocks: NSH 11CAR 13
PIM: NSH 6CAR 2
: NSH 36%CAR 64%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes rout Nashville Predators 5–1

Carolina Hurricanes beat Nashville Predators 5–1 at home. Morgan Geekie (CAR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for CAR: Niederreiter–Aho–Necas skated 13:25 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (42.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Morgan Geekie had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 13:41.Geekie
Points
Dougie Hamilton had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 20:26.Hamilton
Points
Andrei Svechnikov had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 15:48.Svechnikov
Points
Jake Bean had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:34.Bean
New line
New look for CAR: Niederreiter–Aho–Necas skated 13:25 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (42.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Niederreiter Aho Necas
New line
New look for CAR: Martinook–McGinn–Foegele skated 11:49 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Martinook McGinn Foegele
Usage
Jeremy Davies (NSH) played 22:19, +7:46 up on his 14:33 season average over 15 games.Davies
Luck
CAR scored 5 goals on 2.95 expected goals (48 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 106 of 106 attempts · CAR 48 · NSH 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 28% of the game, CAR 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	CAR
	67	43
	2.74	2.33
	2.53	2.27
	12	7
	6	6
	14	13
	−0.062	+0.063
	28%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
13:3365% CF
L2Jarnkrok – Granlund – Pitlick
9:4361% CF
L3McCarron – Trenin – Olivier
9:2970% CF
L4Cousins – Sissons – Tolvanen
8:5927% CF
D1Ekholm – Carrier
12:5672% CF
D2Harpur – Davies
7:5050% CF
D3Borowiecki – Benning
5:3450% CF

PP1Johansen – Granlund – Forsberg – Davies – Tolvanen
1:52100% CF
PK1FGranlund – Sissons
2:49
PK2FJarnkrok – Johansen
1:35
PK1DEkholm – Carrier
1:53
PK2DBorowiecki – Benning
0:51

Current NSH line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Niederreiter – Aho – Necas
13:2542% CF
L2Martinook – McGinn – Foegele
11:4933% CF
L3Staal – Fast – Svechnikov
11:0347% CF
L4Paquette – Lorentz – Geekie
7:4147% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
17:3734% CF
D2Skjei – Pesce
16:3139% CF
D3Fleury – Bean
15:1546% CF

PP1Staal – Hamilton – Aho – Necas – Svechnikov
2:49100% CF
PP2Niederreiter – Fast – Pesce – Bean – Geekie
1:52100% CF
PK1FMartinook – Aho
1:06
PK2FStaal – McGinn
0:46
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
1:52

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:06
CARMorgan GeekiePP (Jake Bean, Nino Niederreiter)tip-in0.11 xG
NSH: Borowiecki, Jarnkrok, Johansen, BenningCAR: Niederreiter, Fast, Pesce, Bean, Geekie
NSH 0 – 1 CAR
11:11
CARBrock McGinn (Warren Foegele)snap0.04 xG
NSH: Borowiecki, Cousins, Sissons, Benning, TolvanenCAR: Martinook, McGinn, Fleury, Foegele, Bean
NSH 0 – 2 CAR
11:27
CARDougie Hamilton (Andrei Svechnikov, Jesper Fast)wrist0.17 xG
NSH: Johansen, Forsberg, Harpur, Arvidsson, DaviesCAR: Staal, Fast, Hamilton, Slavin, Svechnikov
NSH 0 – 3 CAR

2nd period

8:50
CARMorgan GeekiePP (Jake Bean, Brett Pesce)deflected0.12 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Granlund, Sissons, CarrierCAR: Niederreiter, Fast, Pesce, Bean, Geekie
NSH 0 – 4 CAR

3rd period

4:38
CARMartin NecasPP (Andrei Svechnikov, Dougie Hamilton)deflected0.13 xG
NSH: Jarnkrok, Johansen, Carrier, DaviesCAR: Fast, Hamilton, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov
NSH 0 – 5 CAR
15:28
NSHNick Cousins (Mattias Ekholm)snap0.01 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Cousins, Arvidsson, Pitlick, DaviesCAR: Fast, Fleury, Lorentz, Bean, Geekie
NSH 1 – 5 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.34	1	0	0	18:52	—	—	63	47
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	0	0	0	0	6	0.22	0	0	0	17:54	—	—	68	57
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.26	3	0	0	16:40	—	—	65	53
Mikael Granlund C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	2	0	0	18:01	—	—	55	38
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	0	0	16:05	—	—	57	55
Rem Pitlick C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	4	0	0	15:27	—	—	59	52
Yakov Trenin C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.63	2	1	0	11:25	—	—	71	64
Mathieu Olivier R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	4	0	0	11:03	—	—	70	75
Michael McCarron C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	4	0	2	10:24	—	—	70	75
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	2	1	0	14:38	—	—	47	51
Eeli Tolvanen R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	0	14:36	—	—	47	51
Nick Cousins C	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.01	1	0	2	12:02	—	—	36	30
Alexandre Carrier D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.21	0	3	0	25:16	—	—	61	50
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.09	4	2	0	24:13	—	—	78	70
Jeremy Davies D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	1	0	22:19	—	—	44	40
Ben Harpur D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	0	2	18:38	—	—	46	25
Matt Benning D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	1	0	21:17	—	—	64	61
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	2	0	6:25	—	—	50	85

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	L	23	18	5	.783	2.51	44:38
Kasimir Kaskisuo	—	3	3	0	.1000	0.44	15:22

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.31	0	1	0	18:03	—	—	42	49
Martin Necas C	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.56	1	0	0	17:32	—	—	35	36
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.13	0	0	0	16:15	—	—	45	55
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	4	1	0	15:26	—	—	36	48
Brock McGinn L	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	1	0	0	15:15	—	—	31	28
Warren Foegele L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.18	2	0	0	14:05	—	—	35	41
Jesper Fast R	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.17	2	2	0	16:29	—	—	40	56
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.26	1	0	0	16:14	—	—	50	61
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	0	2	2	+1	3	0.51	0	0	0	15:48	—	—	50	68
Morgan Geekie C	L4	2	0	2	-1	2	0.27	3	2	0	13:41	—	—	33	30
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	3	0	0	12:58	—	—	42	49
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	9:03	—	—	39	25
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	1	1	2	+1	1	0.17	1	2	2	20:26	—	—	35	40
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	19:54	—	—	37	40
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.07	0	2	0	20:55	—	—	39	46
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	0	0	20:47	—	—	37	42
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	1	0	17:46	—	—	44	59
Jake Bean D	D3	0	2	2	0	3	0.04	1	0	0	17:34	—	—	46	70

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
James Reimer(start)	W	33	32	1	.970	2.40	59:49

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.