Nashville Predators vs. Carolina HurricanesMay 17, 2021

FinalPlayoffsMonday, May 17, 2021· PNC Arena

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

2

@

home

Carolina HurricanesCAR

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	1	1	0	2		NSH	10	5	9	24
CAR	1	1	3	5		CAR	13	12	13	38

: NSH 46CAR 66
: NSH 2.08CAR 4.31
PP goals: NSH 0CAR 0
Hits: NSH 49CAR 56
Blocks: NSH 13CAR 13
PIM: NSH 22CAR 20
: NSH 49%CAR 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Nashville Predators 5–2

Carolina Hurricanes beat Nashville Predators 5–2 at home. Jordan Staal (CAR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Alexandre Carrier (NSH) played 18:52, −7:41 down on his 26:33 season average over 5 games.

Points
Jordan Staal had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 15:50.Staal
Points
Brett Pesce had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:21.Pesce
Usage
Alexandre Carrier (NSH) played 18:52, −7:41 down on his 26:33 season average over 5 games.Carrier
Usage
Matt Duchene (NSH) played 10:38, −7:33 down on his 18:11 season average over 5 games.Duchene
Usage
Brett Pesce (CAR) played 21:21, −6:11 down on his 27:32 season average over 10 games.Pesce
Usage
Calle Jarnkrok (NSH) played 12:53, −8:34 down on his 21:27 season average over 4 games.Jarnkrok
Usage
Erik Haula (NSH) played 15:29, −5:49 down on his 21:18 season average over 5 games.Haula
Goalie
Juuse Saros (NSH) faced 37 shots and stopped 33 (.892), -5 against a season average of 42.0; the loss.Saros

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · CAR 66 · NSH 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 16% of the game, CAR 54%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	CAR
	43	54
	1.99	2.49
	1.90	2.38
	6	13
	6	5
	12	8
	+0.001	−0.001
	16%	54%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Sissons – Trenin – Olivier
9:0938% CF
L2Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
8:5246% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Granlund – Kunin
6:3323% CF
L4Duchene – Haula – Jeannot
4:2475% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
10:4544% CF
D2Ekholm – Carrier
10:0969% CF
D3Gudbranson – Harpur
8:5742% CF

PP1Duchene – Ellis – Ekholm – Haula – Arvidsson
2:40100% CF
PP2Josi – Jarnkrok – Johansen – Granlund – Forsberg
2:26
PK1FGranlund – Sissons
4:04
PK2FHaula – Jarnkrok
2:25
PK1DEllis – Ekholm
2:16
PK2DHarpur – Carrier
1:24

Current NSH line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Martinook – McGinn – Lorentz
9:3344% CF
L2Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
6:0177% CF
L3Staal – Fast – Foegele
5:0860% CF
L4Niederreiter – Trocheck – Necas
4:4560% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
10:2652% CF
D2Skjei – Pesce
9:4360% CF
D3Hakanpää – Bean
5:5617% CF

PP1Staal – Trocheck – Hamilton – Aho – Svechnikov
3:5588% CF
PP2Niederreiter – Fast – Teravainen – Bean – Necas
3:07100% CF
PK1FAho – Necas
2:35
PK2FStaal – McGinn
1:07
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
2:34
PK2DHakanpää – Slavin
1:57

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

12:14
NSHFilip Forsberg (Ryan Johansen, Ryan Ellis)wrist0.14 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonCAR: Staal, Fast, Hamilton, Slavin, Svechnikov
NSH 1 – 0 CAR
13:41
CARTeuvo Teravainen (Brett Pesce, Steven Lorentz)deflected0.06 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Granlund, OlivierCAR: Teravainen, Martinook, Slavin, Pesce, Lorentz
NSH 1 – 1 CAR

2nd period

4:19
CARJordan Staal (Brett Pesce)wrist0.04 xG
NSH: Josi, Ekholm, Johansen, GranlundCAR: Staal, Skjei, McGinn, Pesce
NSH 1 – 2 CAR
8:41
NSHErik Haula (Matt Duchene, Alexandre Carrier)snap0.21 xG
NSH: Duchene, Ekholm, Haula, Carrier, JeannotCAR: Niederreiter, Hakanpää, Trocheck, Bean, Necas
NSH 2 – 2 CAR

3rd period

2:26
CARNino Niederreiter (Martin Necas, Vincent Trocheck)snap0.25 xG
NSH: Gudbranson, Johansen, Forsberg, Harpur, ArvidssonCAR: Niederreiter, Hakanpää, Trocheck, Skjei, Necas
NSH 2 – 3 CAR
8:00
CARJordan Staalwrist0.16 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Haula, JeannotCAR: Staal, Hakanpää, Fast, Pesce, Foegele
NSH 2 – 4 CAR
18:13
CARAndrei SvechnikovENwrist0.92 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg, KuninCAR: Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov
NSH 2 – 5 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Colton Sissons C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.61	6	0	0	18:39	—	—	53	83
Yakov Trenin C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	7	0	0	11:55	—	—	50	79
Mathieu Olivier R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	2	0	0	11:25	—	—	39	75
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	1	0	16:40	—	—	41	29
Filip Forsberg L	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.31	2	0	2	16:38	—	—	42	29
Ryan Johansen C	L2	0	1	1	-2	2	0.02	3	0	12	15:02	—	—	44	29
Mikael Granlund C	L3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	0	0	0	20:55	—	—	17	16
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.12	1	0	2	12:53	—	—	24	18
Luke Kunin C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	6	0	0	11:34	—	—	38	20
Erik Haula L	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.33	1	1	0	15:29	—	—	63	51
Matt Duchene C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	3	0	2	10:38	—	—	71	52
Tanner Jeannot L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.25	5	1	0	9:27	—	—	75	65
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	-3	1	0.01	5	4	2	24:04	—	—	44	57
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	1	1	-2	3	0.10	2	3	0	22:37	—	—	37	34
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.14	0	1	0	22:38	—	—	47	53
Alexandre Carrier D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	1	0	2	18:52	—	—	62	55
Ben Harpur D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	1	0	15:21	—	—	39	25
Erik Gudbranson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	4	1	0	13:54	—	—	42	46

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	37	33	4	.892	3.38	59:15

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brock McGinn L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	4	0	2	13:57	—	—	48	25
Jordan Martinook L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	7	0	0	12:44	—	—	58	32
Steven Lorentz C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	4	1	2	12:21	—	—	48	24
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	0	0	+1	7	0.54	0	0	0	20:04	—	—	64	78
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	1	0	1	+2	3	0.15	1	0	12	18:00	—	—	66	77
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	1	0	1	0	8	1.50	5	0	0	14:54	—	—	63	50
Jordan Staal C	L3	2	0	2	+1	4	0.52	4	0	0	15:50	—	—	53	63
Jesper Fast R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	12:49	—	—	59	64
Warren Foegele L	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.31	2	0	2	11:30	—	—	53	86
Martin Necas C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.13	0	0	0	16:45	—	—	50	68
Vincent Trocheck C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.19	3	1	0	14:58	—	—	47	68
Nino Niederreiter R	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.46	3	1	2	14:08	—	—	50	70
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	4	0	0	21:25	—	—	54	66
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	2	2	0	20:57	—	—	54	68
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	2	2	+3	3	0.20	5	2	0	21:21	—	—	71	58
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.04	5	1	0	18:45	—	—	57	51
Jani Hakanpää D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	5	2	0	16:12	—	—	59	60
Jake Bean D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	13:44	—	—	24	1

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Nedeljkovic(start)	W	24	22	2	.917	2.08	59:36

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.