Nashville Predators vs. Los Angeles KingsJan 6, 2018

FinalSaturday, Jan 6, 2018· STAPLES Center

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

4

@

home

Los Angeles KingsLAK

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	1	2	1	4		NSH	9	6	5	20
LAK	0	1	2	3		LAK	7	11	11	29

: NSH 44LAK 53
: NSH 1.81LAK 2.41
PP goals: NSH 1LAK 1
Hits: NSH 24LAK 34
Blocks: NSH 13LAK 13
PIM: NSH 10LAK 12
: NSH 52%LAK 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Los Angeles Kings 4–3

Nashville Predators beat Los Angeles Kings 4–3 at LAK. Austin Watson (NSH) led the scoring with 2G 0A. LAK's first power-play unit (Brown, Kopitar, Doughty, Toffoli and Pearson) scored 1 power-play goal on 9 attempts in 4:46 together.

Points
Austin Watson had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 15:02.Watson
Points
P.K. Subban had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 26:06.Subban
PP1
LAK's first power-play unit (Brown, Kopitar, Doughty, Toffoli and Pearson) scored 1 power-play goal on 9 attempts in 4:46 together.Brown Kopitar Doughty Toffoli Pearson
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Subban, Turris, Josi, Fiala and Arvidsson) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:10 together.Subban Turris Josi Fiala Arvidsson
Luck
NSH scored 4 goals on 1.81 expected goals (44 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Ryan Ellis (NSH) played 18:43, −4:45 down on his 23:28 season average over 43 games.Ellis
Usage
Scott Hartnell (NSH) played 8:43, −3:21 down on his 12:04 season average over 61 games.Hartnell
Usage
Tyler Toffoli (LAK) played 19:10, +3:05 up on his 16:05 season average over 81 games.Toffoli

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)LAK attacks right (top on phones) →

LAK
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 97 of 97 attempts · LAK 53 · NSH 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

LAK
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

LAK pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 25% of the game, LAK 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

LAK

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	LAK
	32	37
	0.97	1.13
	0.96	1.09
	6	6
	1	4
	11	12
	+0.004	−0.004
	25%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Turris – Smith – Fiala
9:1747% CF
L2Hartnell – Bonino – Sissons
6:5930% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Watson – Salomaki
6:0533% CF
L4Johansen – Aberg – Arvidsson
5:5325% CF
D1Subban – Ekholm
14:5452% CF
D2Emelin – Weber
12:1340% CF
D3Josi – Ellis
11:0940% CF

PP1Subban – Turris – Josi – Fiala – Arvidsson
2:10100% CF
PP2Ellis – Ekholm – Smith – Johansen – Sissons
1:16100% CF
PK1FBonino – Sissons
1:55
PK2FJohansen – Arvidsson
0:39
PK1DJosi – Ellis
2:08
PK2DSubban – Ekholm
1:54

Current NSH line combinations →

Los Angeles Kings

L1Lewis – Shore – Iafallo
10:1573% CF
L2Brown – Kopitar – Pearson
9:5236% CF
L3Gaborik – Toffoli – Kempe
9:4282% CF
L4Mitchell – Clifford – Brodzinski
5:2650% CF
D1Doughty – Gravel
14:2253% CF
D2Forbort – Folin
10:3986% CF

PP1Brown – Kopitar – Doughty – Toffoli – Pearson
4:4690% CF
PP2Gaborik – Lewis – Martinez – Gravel – Kempe
0:41100% CF
PK1FBrown – Kopitar
1:18
PK2FLewis – Shore
0:49
PK1DMartinez – Folin
1:14
PK2DDoughty – Forbort
1:00

Current LAK line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

15:08
NSHRoman JosiPP (Kyle Turris, P.K. Subban)slap0.05 xG
NSH: Subban, Turris, Josi, Fiala, ArvidssonLAK: Forbort, Pearson, Folin, Kempe
NSH 1 – 0 LAK

2nd period

6:43
LAKAdrian Kempewrist0.05 xG
NSH: Subban, Turris, Ekholm, Smith, FialaLAK: Gaborik, Toffoli, Gravel, Folin, Kempe
NSH 1 – 1 LAK
11:53
NSHScott Hartnell (Ryan Johansen, Alexei Emelin)tip-in0.07 xG
NSH: Hartnell, Emelin, Ekholm, Johansen, SissonsLAK: Mitchell, Martinez, Clifford, MacDermid, Brodzinski
NSH 2 – 1 LAK
16:49
NSHAustin Watson (P.K. Subban, Miikka Salomaki)wrist0.08 xG
NSH: Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Watson, SalomakiLAK: Lewis, Doughty, Shore, MacDermid, Iafallo
NSH 3 – 1 LAK

3rd period

3:56
LAKTrevor Lewis (Alex Iafallo, Nicholas Shore)wrist0.18 xG
NSH: Hartnell, Emelin, Bonino, Weber, SissonsLAK: Lewis, Doughty, Gravel, Shore, Iafallo
NSH 3 – 2 LAK
5:05
NSHAustin Watson (Ryan Ellis, Calle Jarnkrok)tip-in0.05 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Watson, SalomakiLAK: Mitchell, Doughty, Clifford, Gravel, Brodzinski
NSH 4 – 2 LAK
8:24
LAKTyler ToffoliPP (Tanner Pearson, Anze Kopitar)wrist0.09 xG
NSH: Emelin, Subban, Watson, SissonsLAK: Brown, Kopitar, Doughty, Toffoli, Pearson
NSH 4 – 3 LAK

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Turris C	L1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.06	0	0	0	16:34	—	—	47	34
Kevin Fiala L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	1	0	0	16:07	—	—	52	49
Craig Smith C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	0	0	15:57	—	—	47	32
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.29	2	1	0	18:56	—	—	50	33
Nick Bonino C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	0	2	0	14:46	—	—	40	5
Scott Hartnell L	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.07	0	0	0	8:43	—	—	46	23
Austin Watson L	L3	2	0	2	+2	3	0.13	3	0	0	15:02	—	—	39	54
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:03	—	—	36	48
Miikka Salomaki R	L3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:41	—	—	50	94
Ryan Johansen C	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.23	3	1	0	18:17	—	—	57	75
Viktor Arvidsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	14:16	—	—	50	62
Pontus Aberg L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	8:11	—	—	43	63
P.K. Subban D	D1	0	2	2	0	1	0.11	1	2	2	26:06	—	—	52	58
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	2	1	0	23:30	—	—	56	62
Alexei Emelin D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	15:10	—	—	41	15
Yannick Weber D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	13:54	—	—	40	3
Roman Josi D	D3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.38	0	2	2	22:00	—	—	42	57
Ryan Ellis D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.20	1	2	2	18:43	—	—	38	55

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	29	26	3	.897	2.41	60:00

Los Angeles Kings

LAK skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Trevor Lewis C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.38	4	0	0	17:31	—	—	67	69
Nicholas Shore C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	1	3	0	14:53	—	—	69	65
Alex Iafallo L	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	12:28	—	—	62	67
Anze Kopitar C	L2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.49	2	0	0	23:35	—	—	39	45
Dustin Brown R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	4	0	2	20:31	—	—	36	23
Tanner Pearson L	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.20	0	1	2	17:00	—	—	33	23
Tyler Toffoli C	L3	1	0	1	+1	6	0.41	0	0	0	19:10	—	—	65	80
Marian Gaborik R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	0	0	2	14:39	—	—	75	79
Adrian Kempe R	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.05	2	0	0	13:39	—	—	67	62
Torrey Mitchell C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:53	—	—	42	51
Jonny Brodzinski C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	0	0	6:53	—	—	46	49
Kyle Clifford L	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.15	3	0	0	6:18	—	—	50	56
Drew Doughty D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.30	1	1	4	25:29	—	—	50	57
Kevin Gravel D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	2	1	0	17:44	—	—	52	54
Derek Forbort D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	1	0	21:36	—	—	71	81
Christian Folin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	1	0	16:37	—	—	81	78
Alec Martinez D	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	4	5	0	23:23	—	—	33	36
Kurtis MacDermid L	—	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	5	0	2	9:56	—	—	27	17

LAK goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Quick(start)	L	20	16	4	.800	1.81	59:04

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.