Nashville Predators vs. Tampa Bay LightningNov 1, 2018

FinalThursday, Nov 1, 2018· Amalie Arena

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

4

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	2	0	2	4		NSH	15	4	5	24
TBL	0	1	0	1		TBL	13	17	13	43

: NSH 41TBL 66
: NSH 2.79TBL 2.94
PP goals: NSH 0TBL 0
Hits: NSH 16TBL 29
Blocks: NSH 13TBL 9
PIM: NSH 4TBL 2
: NSH 51%TBL 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–1

Nashville Predators beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–1 at TBL. Kyle Turris (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for NSH: Johansen–Forsberg–Sissons skated 13:19 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (47.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Calle Jarnkrok had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 18:19.Jarnkrok
Points
Kyle Turris had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:53.Turris
Points
Ryan Johansen had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 18:31.Johansen
New line
New look for NSH: Johansen–Forsberg–Sissons skated 13:19 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (47.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Johansen Forsberg Sissons
Goalie
Pekka Rinne (NSH) faced 43 shots and stopped 42 (.977), +15 against a season average of 28.2; the win.Rinne
New line
New look for NSH: Grimaldi–Salomaki–Gaudreau skated 6:35 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (46.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Grimaldi Salomaki Gaudreau
Luck
TBL scored 1 goal on 2.94 expected goals (66 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Matt Irwin (NSH) played 15:52, +4:41 up on his 11:11 season average over 43 games.Irwin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · TBL 66 · NSH 41

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 19% of the game, TBL 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	TBL
	47	72
	2.15	3.12
	2.10	3.01
	10	10
	5	8
	14	14
	+0.032	−0.032
	19%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Sissons
13:1948% CF
L2Turris – Smith – Jarnkrok
12:5643% CF
L3Bonino – Hartman – Fiala
11:2529% CF
L4Grimaldi – Salomaki – Gaudreau
6:3546% CF
D1Subban – Ekholm
18:3744% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
17:3545% CF
D3Weber – Irwin
12:2313% CF

PP1Subban – Smith – Jarnkrok – Johansen – Forsberg
0:46
PP2Turris – Josi – Ellis – Sissons – Fiala
0:37100% CF
PK1FJohansen – Forsberg
1:23
PK2FBonino – Jarnkrok
0:33
PK1DSubban – Irwin
1:35
PK2DJosi – Ellis
1:25

Current NSH line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Miller
13:2352% CF
L2Johnson – Gourde – Point
13:2067% CF
L3Killorn – Joseph – Cirelli
12:0570% CF
L4Callahan – Paquette – Erne
8:5129% CF
D1Stralman – McDonagh
16:1557% CF
D2Coburn – Sergachev
15:3963% CF
D3Girardi – Koekkoek
13:5852% CF

PP1Killorn – McDonagh – Stamkos – Kucherov – Miller
2:19100% CF
PP2Johnson – Gourde – Erne – Point – Sergachev
1:31100% CF
PK1FCallahan – Johnson
0:44
PK2FGourde – Paquette
0:41
PK1DStralman – McDonagh
1:19
PK2DCoburn – Girardi
0:41

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:02
NSHKyle Turris (Mattias Ekholm, Calle Jarnkrok)tip-in0.06 xG
NSH: Turris, Ekholm, Smith, Irwin, JarnkrokTBL: Coburn, Miller, Joseph, Cirelli, Sergachev
NSH 1 – 0 TBL
19:53
NSHRoman Josi (Ryan Johansen, Ryan Ellis)slap0.10 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, FialaTBL: Stralman, McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller
NSH 2 – 0 TBL

2nd period

14:21
TBLSlater Koekkoek (Alex Killorn, Anthony Cirelli)wrist0.05 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Grimaldi, Salomaki, GaudreauTBL: Girardi, Killorn, Koekkoek, Joseph, Cirelli
NSH 2 – 1 TBL

3rd period

16:42
NSHCalle Jarnkrok (Ryan Johansen)wrist0.10 xG
NSH: Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Johansen, SissonsTBL: Stralman, McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller
NSH 3 – 1 TBL
17:36
NSHMiikka SalomakiEN (Ryan Hartman, Kyle Turris)wrist0.97 xG
NSH: Turris, Josi, Ellis, Salomaki, HartmanTBL: Stralman, Killorn, Johnson, Koekkoek, Point, Joseph
NSH 4 – 1 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	2	2	+2	1	0.12	0	2	0	18:31	—	—	52	51
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	0	0	0	17:36	—	—	48	51
Colton Sissons C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.19	1	0	0	16:59	—	—	48	49
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	1	1	2	+2	1	0.10	0	2	0	18:19	—	—	38	49
Craig Smith C	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.31	7	0	0	17:07	—	—	32	45
Kyle Turris C	L2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.20	0	0	0	16:53	—	—	35	48
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	17:13	—	—	29	17
Ryan Hartman R	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.07	0	0	0	15:59	—	—	27	11
Kevin Fiala L	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	0	1	0	15:10	—	—	32	29
Miikka Salomaki R	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.97	1	0	0	8:18	—	—	47	52
Rocco Grimaldi R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:35	—	—	50	55
Frederick Gaudreau C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	0	0	7:04	—	—	50	55
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.19	0	1	2	22:36	—	—	43	42
P.K. Subban D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	2	0	0	21:57	—	—	42	35
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.05	0	4	0	23:01	—	—	41	58
Roman Josi D	D2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.16	2	0	2	22:22	—	—	49	63
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	2	0	15:52	—	—	15	15
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	2	1	0	13:28	—	—	30	26

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	43	42	1	.977	2.94	60:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.10	0	0	0	17:39	—	—	54	57
J.T. Miller C	L1	0	0	0	-3	2	0.08	4	0	0	17:26	—	—	52	49
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.41	0	1	0	17:13	—	—	54	57
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	2	0	0	17:34	—	—	65	66
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.45	0	1	0	17:02	—	—	68	71
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	0	2	16:27	—	—	68	67
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.09	1	0	0	16:15	—	—	74	62
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	13:50	—	—	67	52
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.29	3	0	0	13:39	—	—	68	53
Adam Erne L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	2	2	0	11:59	—	—	25	42
Ryan Callahan R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	3	0	0	11:55	—	—	44	51
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	5	0	0	11:29	—	—	40	51
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	-2	7	0.31	0	1	0	21:51	—	—	62	60
Anton Stralman D	D1	0	0	0	-3	3	0.21	1	0	0	20:07	—	—	60	59
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.14	2	0	0	19:56	—	—	68	70
Braydon Coburn D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.15	2	1	0	19:33	—	—	61	53
Slater Koekkoek D	D3	1	0	1	0	3	0.23	0	0	0	17:21	—	—	52	57
Dan Girardi D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	17:00	—	—	60	58

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	23	20	3	.870	1.82	59:44

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.