Nashville Predators vs. Tampa Bay LightningJan 30, 2021

FinalSaturday, Jan 30, 2021· Amalie Arena

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

3

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	1	0	2	3		NSH	6	11	9	26
TBL	0	4	0	4		TBL	8	15	10	33

: NSH 39TBL 54
: NSH 2.49TBL 2.77
PP goals: NSH 2TBL 2
Hits: NSH 17TBL 21
Blocks: NSH 11TBL 11
PIM: NSH 34TBL 30
: NSH 38%TBL 62%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Nashville Predators 4–3

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Nashville Predators 4–3 at home. Victor Hedman (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Cousins and Forsberg) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:20 together.

Points
Victor Hedman had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 28:39.Hedman
Points
Anthony Cirelli had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:17.Cirelli
Points
Brayden Point had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:01.Point
Points
Filip Forsberg had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 17:45.Forsberg
Points
Mikhail Sergachev had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:11.Sergachev
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Cousins and Forsberg) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:20 together.Josi Ellis Johansen Cousins Forsberg
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 14 attempts in 6:35 together.Killorn Stamkos Hedman Palat Point
Usage
Alex Killorn (TBL) played 22:24, +4:35 up on his 17:49 season average over 55 games.Killorn

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 93 of 93 attempts · TBL 54 · NSH 39

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 24% of the game, TBL 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	TBL
	25	31
	1.75	1.18
	1.71	1.16
	7	4
	1	0
	2	0
	−0.096	+0.096
	24%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Haula – Sissons – Kunin
7:3175% CF
L2Duchene – Granlund – Cousins
6:4963% CF
L3Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
4:260% CF
L4Richardson – Trenin – Olivier
3:060% CF
D1Ekholm – Fabbro
12:1040% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
10:3318% CF
D3Borowiecki – Benning
6:0956% CF

PP1Josi – Ellis – Johansen – Cousins – Forsberg
2:2080% CF
PP2Duchene – Granlund – Arvidsson – Kunin – Fabbro
2:0750% CF
PK1FRichardson – Granlund
4:01
PK2FHaula – Olivier
1:33
PK1DEllis – Ekholm
6:25
PK2DBorowiecki – Benning
1:43

Current NSH line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Palat – Point
10:0343% CF
L2Killorn – Johnson – Cirelli
9:5175% CF
L3Coleman – Goodrow – Gourde
8:3278% CF
L4Maroon – Joseph – Volkov
6:0540% CF
D1Hedman – Rutta
10:5983% CF
D2McDonagh – Schenn
8:2857% CF
D3Sergachev – Foote
5:4658% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Point
6:3593% CF
PP2Maroon – Johnson – Gourde – Cirelli – Sergachev
2:46100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
1:51
PK2FColeman – Gourde
1:07
PK1DMcDonagh – Sergachev
1:42
PK2DSchenn – Hedman
1:11

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

17:55
NSHRyan EllisPP (Nick Cousins, Filip Forsberg)wrist0.28 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Cousins, ForsbergTBL: Schenn, Coleman, Goodrow, Sergachev
NSH 1 – 0 TBL

2nd period

3:33
TBLTyler JohnsonPP (Anthony Cirelli, Mikhail Sergachev)wrist0.25 xG
NSH: Josi, Haula, Sissons, BenningTBL: Maroon, Johnson, Gourde, Cirelli, Sergachev
NSH 1 – 1 TBL
6:41
TBLCal Foote (Mikhail Sergachev, Brayden Point)slap0.03 xG
NSH: Josi, Haula, Trenin, Fabbro, OlivierTBL: Stamkos, Palat, Point, Sergachev, Foote
NSH 1 – 2 TBL
8:05
TBLVictor Hedman (Anthony Cirelli, Alex Killorn)wrist0.03 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Cousins, BenningTBL: Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Cirelli, Rutta
NSH 1 – 3 TBL
17:27
TBLSteven StamkosPP (Victor Hedman, Brayden Point)slap0.08 xG
NSH: Richardson, Ellis, Ekholm, GranlundTBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point
NSH 1 – 4 TBL

3rd period

7:00
NSHMathieu OlivierPP (Ryan Johansen, Roman Josi)backhand0.02 xG
NSH: Josi, Ekholm, Johansen, Cousins, OlivierTBL: Killorn, McDonagh, Cirelli, Sergachev
NSH 2 – 4 TBL
18:26
NSHViktor Arvidsson (Mikael Granlund, Filip Forsberg)wrist0.11 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg, ArvidssonTBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Point, Sergachev
NSH 3 – 4 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Erik Haula L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	17:56	—	—	53	49
Luke Kunin C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	2	0	0	16:09	—	—	46	54
Colton Sissons C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	2	16:00	—	—	50	40
Mikael Granlund C	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.17	0	1	0	20:08	—	—	67	91
Nick Cousins C	L2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	14:51	—	—	50	82
Matt Duchene C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.19	0	0	0	14:30	—	—	54	86
Filip Forsberg L	L3	0	2	2	+1	6	0.51	2	0	0	17:45	—	—	29	54
Ryan Johansen C	L3	0	1	1	+1	4	0.46	0	0	0	16:00	—	—	33	68
Viktor Arvidsson L	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.11	0	2	2	13:04	—	—	23	14
Yakov Trenin C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	2	0	0	10:59	—	—	57	59
Mathieu Olivier R	L4	1	0	1	-1	3	0.03	2	1	2	10:08	—	—	39	38
Brad Richardson R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:13	—	—	25	13
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	0	0	0	24:14	—	—	56	49
Dante Fabbro D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	1	0	7	19:33	—	—	44	21
Ryan Ellis D	D2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.29	0	1	0	24:57	—	—	29	46
Roman Josi D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	2	1	0	23:09	—	—	33	52
Matt Benning D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	1	2	13:50	—	—	50	87
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	0	19	9:34	—	—	67	90

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	L	33	29	4	.879	2.77	58:16

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	0	2	2	0	3	0.26	0	1	0	21:01	—	—	37	17
Steven Stamkos C	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.33	0	1	2	20:55	—	—	42	22
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	1	0	0	19:45	—	—	44	18
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.22	1	0	0	22:24	—	—	80	100
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	2	2	+1	1	0.07	2	1	2	16:17	—	—	75	100
Tyler Johnson C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.26	1	0	0	14:06	—	—	67	41
Barclay Goodrow C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	1	0	2	14:39	—	—	77	62
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	1	0	5	14:35	—	—	73	59
Blake Coleman L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	2	1	0	14:24	—	—	67	54
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	0	15	9:32	—	—	57	89
Mathieu Joseph R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	7:23	—	—	43	57
Alexander Volkov R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:04	—	—	30	37
Victor Hedman D	D1	1	1	2	+1	5	0.39	3	2	0	28:39	—	—	50	33
Jan Rutta D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:59	—	—	78	82
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.05	4	0	2	21:04	—	—	61	51
Luke Schenn D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	2	0	13:15	—	—	50	34
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	2	2	0	3	0.14	0	2	2	21:11	—	—	50	46
Cal Foote D	D3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.04	0	1	0	8:44	—	—	53	32

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	26	23	3	.885	2.49	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.