Nashville Predators vs. Tampa Bay LightningMar 13, 2021

FinalSaturday, Mar 13, 2021· Amalie Arena

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

3

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	1	2	3		NSH	9	7	15	31
TBL	2	2	2	6		TBL	11	10	7	28

: NSH 50TBL 46
: NSH 3.10TBL 3.61
PP goals: NSH 1TBL 1
Hits: NSH 17TBL 21
Blocks: NSH 11TBL 5
PIM: NSH 2TBL 4
: NSH 50%TBL 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Nashville Predators 6–3

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Nashville Predators 6–3 at home. Yakov Trenin (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 1:06 together.

Points
Blake Coleman had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 13:56.Coleman
Points
Tyler Johnson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:53.Johnson
Points
Yakov Trenin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 13:04.Trenin
Points
Erik Cernak had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:15.Cernak
Points
Ondrej Palat had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 14:38.Palat
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 1:06 together.Killorn Stamkos Hedman Palat Point
New line
New look for NSH: Jarnkrok–Granlund–Tolvanen skated 12:44 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (41.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jarnkrok Granlund Tolvanen
New line
New look for NSH: Haula–Cousins–Grimaldi skated 12:19 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (80% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Haula Cousins Grimaldi

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 96 of 96 attempts · TBL 46 · NSH 50

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 41% of the game, TBL 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	TBL
	54	44
	3.35	2.03
	3.19	1.96
	11	8
	0	1
	5	1
	+0.012	−0.012
	41%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Jarnkrok – Granlund – Tolvanen
12:4441% CF
L2Haula – Cousins – Grimaldi
12:1980% CF
L3Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
12:1542% CF
L4Sissons – Trenin – Olivier
10:3956% CF
D1Ekholm – Carrier
17:2858% CF
D2Harpur – Allard
16:1750% CF
D3Benning – Davies
15:1948% CF

PP1Ekholm – Johansen – Granlund – Forsberg – Tolvanen
2:070% CF
PP2Ekholm – Haula – Jarnkrok – Cousins – Arvidsson
1:18100% CF
PK1FHaula – Sissons
1:06
PK1DEkholm – Carrier
1:06

Current NSH line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Stamkos – Gourde
11:2859% CF
L2Palat – Point – Cirelli
11:2036% CF
L3Johnson – Coleman – Goodrow
10:3275% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
13:0250% CF
D2Sergachev – Foote
7:3245% CF
D3Hedman – Rutta
7:2936% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Point
1:06100% CF
PK1FColeman – Goodrow
1:23
PK2FKillorn – Cirelli
1:16
PK1DHedman – Rutta
1:00
PK2DMcDonagh – Sergachev
0:52

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:55
TBLTyler Johnson (Erik Cernak, Blake Coleman)tip-in0.07 xG
NSH: Johansen, Forsberg, Harpur, Arvidsson, AllardTBL: McDonagh, Johnson, Coleman, Goodrow, Cernak
NSH 0 – 1 TBL
18:35
TBLMathieu Joseph (Erik Cernak, Steven Stamkos)slap0.05 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson, CarrierTBL: Maroon, McDonagh, Stamkos, Cernak, Joseph
NSH 0 – 2 TBL

2nd period

2:24
TBLAlex KillornPP (Ondrej Palat, Victor Hedman)tip-in0.34 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Haula, Sissons, CarrierTBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point
NSH 0 – 3 TBL
12:02
NSHYakov Trenin (Viktor Arvidsson)wrist0.10 xG
NSH: Johansen, Benning, Arvidsson, Trenin, DaviesTBL: McDonagh, Johnson, Coleman, Goodrow, Cernak
NSH 1 – 3 TBL
18:48
TBLBrayden Point (Mikhail Sergachev)wrist0.07 xG
NSH: Haula, Cousins, Grimaldi, Harpur, AllardTBL: Hedman, Palat, Point, Joseph, Rutta
NSH 1 – 4 TBL

3rd period

3:17
NSHAlexandre Carrier (Yakov Trenin, Mathieu Olivier)wrist0.09 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, OlivierTBL: Maroon, McDonagh, Joseph, Cirelli, Foote
NSH 2 – 4 TBL
5:03
NSHErik HaulaPP (Calle Jarnkrok, Nick Cousins)wrist0.02 xG
NSH: Haula, Jarnkrok, Cousins, Arvidsson, CarrierTBL: Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli, Sergachev
NSH 3 – 4 TBL
10:02
TBLBlake Coleman (Barclay Goodrow, Tyler Johnson)backhand0.10 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson, CarrierTBL: McDonagh, Johnson, Coleman, Goodrow, Cernak
NSH 3 – 5 TBL
18:26
TBLAnthony CirelliEN (Ryan McDonagh, Ondrej Palat)wrist0.45 xG
NSH: Jarnkrok, Johansen, Granlund, Sissons, Carrier, DaviesTBL: McDonagh, Palat, Point, Cernak, Cirelli
NSH 3 – 6 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	1	1	0	17:55	—	—	44	60
Eeli Tolvanen R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	0	2	17:25	—	—	44	60
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.08	1	1	0	16:05	—	—	44	51
Erik Haula L	L2	1	0	1	-1	1	0.02	3	1	0	16:24	—	—	75	77
Nick Cousins C	L2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.17	1	0	0	16:06	—	—	82	79
Rocco Grimaldi R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.44	0	0	0	13:49	—	—	76	75
Ryan Johansen C	L3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.17	0	0	0	17:28	—	—	43	49
Viktor Arvidsson L	L3	0	1	1	-2	2	0.29	0	0	0	16:06	—	—	50	56
Filip Forsberg L	L3	0	0	0	-3	3	0.17	1	0	0	15:39	—	—	42	51
Yakov Trenin C	L4	1	1	2	+2	4	0.52	1	0	0	13:04	—	—	50	68
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	0	0	12:59	—	—	53	71
Mathieu Olivier R	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	12:01	—	—	48	61
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	1	0	24:23	—	—	65	67
Alexandre Carrier D	D1	1	0	1	-2	5	0.51	1	1	0	21:42	—	—	58	65
Ben Harpur D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.13	1	2	0	17:36	—	—	50	67
Frederic Allard D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:59	—	—	52	72
Jeremy Davies D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.30	3	1	0	18:42	—	—	53	53
Matt Benning D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	1	0	0	16:05	—	—	48	52

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	L	27	22	5	.815	2.52	58:26

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Yanni Gourde C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.79	1	1	0	20:02	—	—	44	43
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.24	0	0	0	19:23	—	—	55	59
Alex Killorn L	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.42	1	0	0	19:09	—	—	50	47
Brayden Point C	L2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.25	0	0	0	17:23	—	—	35	20
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.45	0	0	0	16:12	—	—	25	18
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	2	2	+2	3	0.17	2	1	0	14:38	—	—	43	33
Tyler Johnson C	L3	1	1	2	+1	2	0.23	1	1	2	14:53	—	—	64	56
Blake Coleman L	L3	1	1	2	+1	2	0.33	1	0	0	13:56	—	—	67	60
Barclay Goodrow C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.10	2	0	0	13:15	—	—	71	60
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	0	0	0	19:05	—	—	43	35
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	2	2	+3	3	0.24	2	0	2	17:15	—	—	46	38
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	1	1	0	3	0.17	2	0	0	21:46	—	—	45	39
Cal Foote D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	2	1	0	14:17	—	—	44	31
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.05	1	0	0	21:10	—	—	50	45
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	0	0	0	16:18	—	—	33	25
Patrick Maroon L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	14:22	—	—	24	10
Mathieu Joseph R	—	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	2	1	0	13:57	—	—	20	10
Luke Schenn D	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	9:34	—	—	50	48

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	31	28	3	.903	3.10	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.