Nashville Predators vs. Tampa Bay LightningMar 29, 2026

FinalSunday, Mar 29, 2026· Benchmark International Arena

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

: NSH —TBL —
PP goals: NSH —TBL —
Hits: NSH 19TBL 18
Blocks: NSH 12TBL 13
PIM: NSH 8TBL 18
: NSH 54%TBL 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Nashville Predators 3–2

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Nashville Predators 3–2 at home. Jake Guentzel (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. Oliver Bjorkstrand (TBL) played 8:19, −5:23 down on his 13:42 season average over 79 games.

Points
Jake Guentzel had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 18:46.Guentzel
Points
Filip Forsberg had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:37.Forsberg
Usage
Oliver Bjorkstrand (TBL) played 8:19, −5:23 down on his 13:42 season average over 79 games.Bjorkstrand
Usage
Nick Perbix (NSH) played 14:48, −4:22 down on his 19:10 season average over 78 games.Perbix
Usage
Tyson Jost (NSH) played 16:39, +4:18 up on his 12:21 season average over 68 games.Jost
Usage
Gage Goncalves (TBL) played 17:08, +4:06 up on his 13:02 season average over 73 games.Goncalves
Usage
Ryan O'Reilly (NSH) played 24:29, +4:08 up on his 20:21 season average over 80 games.O'Reilly
Usage
Anthony Cirelli (TBL) played 20:59, +3:43 up on his 17:16 season average over 70 games.Cirelli

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 25% of the game, TBL 39%.

Head-to-head matchups

TBL skaters (rows) against NSH skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the TBL side.

Matchup matrix

TBL xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	TBL
	55	59
	2.36	4.12
	2.28	3.62
	8	13
	5	5
	16	20
	+0.033	−0.033
	25%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Marchessault – Forsberg – Svechkov
5:1210% CF
L2Stamkos – O'Reilly – L'Heureux
5:1278% CF
L3Haula – Jost – Evangelista
4:5836% CF
L4Kemell – Schaefer – Wood
2:0040% CF
D1Josi – Skjei
13:0335% CF
D2Barron – Wilsby
12:1852% CF
D3Hague – Perbix
9:2267% CF

PP1Stamkos – Josi – O'Reilly – Marchessault – Forsberg
5:1067% CF
PP2Haula – Skjei – Evangelista – L'Heureux – Wood
2:0267% CF
PK1FO'Reilly – Jost
5:13
PK2FHaula – L'Heureux
1:32
PK1DSkjei – Perbix
3:56
PK2DJosi – Hague
3:43

Current NSH line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Gourde – Girgensons – Holmberg
7:5047% CF
L2Cirelli – Hagel – Goncalves
7:2450% CF
L3Perry – Guentzel – Point
6:2472% CF
L4Sabourin – Bjorkstrand – Paul
3:0740% CF
D1Raddysh – Moser
14:4653% CF
D2D'Astous – Lilleberg
9:4767% CF
D3McDonagh – Cernak
9:4629% CF

PP1Guentzel – Bjorkstrand – Point – Raddysh – Goncalves
3:07100% CF
PP2Guentzel – Point – Raddysh – Cirelli – Hagel
2:2075% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
2:44
PK2FGourde – Girgensons
2:06
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
3:48
PK2DMoser – Lilleberg
1:50

Current TBL line combinations →

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-		Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	1	1	0	19:37	—	—	44
Jonathan Marchessault R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	17:16	—	—	32
Fedor Svechkov C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	1	0	0	14:55	—	—	52
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0	2	0	24:29	—	—	67
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0	1	2	17:17	—	—	77
Zachary L'Heureux L	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	1	0	0	14:24	—	—	59
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0	0	0	16:39	—	—	46
Luke Evangelista R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0	0	2	14:57	—	—	48
Erik Haula L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	3	0	2	14:05	—	—	32
Matthew Wood R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	1	0	2	13:42	—	—	24
Joakim Kemell R	L4	1	0	1	+2	2	1	0	0	8:16	—	—	59
Reid Schaefer L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6:26	—	—	50
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	-3	4	0	2	0	27:05	—	—	40
Brady Skjei D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	3	2	0	22:46	—	—	33
Adam Wilsby D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	1	0	0	14:57	—	—	51
Justin Barron D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	1	2	0	14:22	—	—	50
Nicolas Hague D	D3	0	0	0	-2	3	1	1	0	17:05	—	—	56
Nick Perbix D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	14:48	—	—	65

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA		TOI
Justus Annunen(start)	L	28	25	3	.893	58:54

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-		Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	3	0	0	16:08	—	—	48
Yanni Gourde C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	2	0	0	15:29	—	—	37
Pontus Holmberg R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	1	0	0	11:54	—	—	44
Brandon Hagel L	L2	1	0	1	+1	5	0	1	0	22:20	—	—	44
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	20:59	—	—	48
Gage Goncalves C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	17:08	—	—	55
Jake Guentzel C	L3	1	2	3	+3	3	0	0	2	18:46	—	—	65
Brayden Point C	L3	0	0	0	+1	4	0	1	0	18:06	—	—	65
Corey Perry R	L3	1	0	1	+2	2	0	1	0	12:59	—	—	62
Nick Paul L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	11:36	—	—	41
Oliver Bjorkstrand R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	8:19	—	—	50
Scott Sabourin R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	5:54	—	—	50
Darren Raddysh D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0	1	2	23:51	—	—	60
J.J. Moser D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	1	0	0	20:10	—	—	54
Emil Lilleberg D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	3	2	0	17:34	—	—	68
Charle-Edouard D'Astous D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	1	1	0	15:52	—	—	57
Ryan McDonagh D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0	3	0	19:06	—	—	38
Erik Cernak D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	2	1	12	15:49	—	—	23

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA		TOI
Jonas Johansson(start)	W	31	29	2	.935	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Joakim Kemell () · unassisted · Deflection · carried in · 2-on-1 at the blue line · 5.5 mph shot · 3.5 s from entry to goal.

Joakim Kemell

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 5.5 mph
Distance: 11 ft
Entry to goal: 3.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jake Guentzel

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 59.0 mph
Distance: 8 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brandon Hagel

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 47.8 mph
Distance: 15 ft
Type: one-timer, rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Filip Forsberg

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 2
Shot: 30.2 mph
Distance: 38 ft
Entry to goal: 6.3 s
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Corey Perry

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 14.1 mph
Distance: 3 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.