Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 7, 2018

Final / SOWednesday, Feb 7, 2018· Air Canada Centre

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

2

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
NSH	0	1	1	0	0	2		NSH	8	19	16	3	46
TOR	1	1	0	0	1	3		TOR	11	11	6	4	32

: NSH 79TOR 54
: NSH 5.51TOR 3.37
PP goals: NSH 0TOR 0
Hits: NSH 23TOR 29
Blocks: NSH 11TOR 13
PIM: NSH 4TOR 4
: NSH 60%TOR 40%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Nashville Predators 3–2 (SO)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Nashville Predators 3–2 in a shootout at home. Viktor Arvidsson (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 46 shots and stopped 44 (.957), +13 against a season average of 33.5; the win.

Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 46 shots and stopped 44 (.957), +13 against a season average of 33.5; the win.Andersen
Luck
NSH scored 2 goals on 5.51 expected goals (79 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Auston Matthews (TOR) played 21:28, +3:24 up on his 18:04 season average over 61 games.Matthews
Cats
Nikita Zaitsev (TOR) threw 6 hits and blocked 2 shots, a night for hits leagues.Zaitsev

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 133 of 133 attempts · TOR 54 · NSH 79

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 44% of the game, TOR 14%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	TOR
	74	48
	4.79	1.83
	4.23	1.80
	18	13
	6	5
	24	13
	+0.154	−0.154
	44%	14%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Hartnell – Bonino – Jarnkrok
7:3564% CF
L2Johansen – Aberg – Arvidsson
6:4267% CF
L3Turris – Smith – Fiala
5:5663% CF
L4Watson – Salomaki – Sissons
5:4350% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
16:2963% CF
D2Subban – Ekholm
10:4847% CF
D3Emelin – Weber
5:38100% CF

PP1Subban – Ekholm – Smith – Johansen – Arvidsson
2:2280% CF
PP2Turris – Josi – Ellis – Sissons – Fiala
1:36100% CF
PK1FWatson – Sissons
1:47
PK2FBonino – Jarnkrok
0:37
PK1DSubban – Ekholm
2:14
PK2DJosi – Ellis
1:37

Current NSH line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marleau – Kadri – Marner
12:2644% CF
L2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Brown
11:2345% CF
L3Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
11:1124% CF
L4Moore – Komarov – Kapanen
7:0953% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
16:4319% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
16:0044% CF
D3Polak – Dermott
11:4952% CF

PP1Marleau – Gardiner – Brown – Nylander – Matthews
1:51100% CF
PP2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
1:38100% CF
PK1FKomarov – Hyman
2:35
PK2FMoore – Kapanen
0:43
PK1DHainsey – Polak
2:10
PK2DDermott – Zaitsev
0:00

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

16:06
TORJames van Riemsdyk (Connor Brown, Travis Dermott)slap0.05 xG
NSH: Hartnell, Emelin, Bonino, Subban, JarnkrokTOR: Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Brown, Dermott
NSH 0 – 1 TOR

2nd period

9:38
TORKasperi KapanenSH (Dominic Moore, Ron Hainsey)wrist0.21 xG
NSH: Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Johansen, ArvidssonTOR: Moore, Polak, Kapanen, Zaitsev
NSH 0 – 2 TOR
18:10
NSHColton Sissons (Pontus Aberg, Ryan Ellis)snap0.14 xG
NSH: Emelin, Josi, Salomaki, Aberg, SissonsTOR: van Riemsdyk, Kadri, Rielly, Dermott, Marner
NSH 1 – 2 TOR

3rd period

0:25
NSHViktor Arvidssonwrist0.07 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Smith, Johansen, ArvidssonTOR: Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev
NSH 2 – 2 TOR

Decided in the shootout: NSH 2 – 3 TOR.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Bonino C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.28	1	3	0	17:23	—	—	50	70
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.53	1	0	2	17:11	—	—	57	66
Scott Hartnell L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	2	0	0	12:34	—	—	74	72
Ryan Johansen C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	1	0	0	20:16	—	—	64	78
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	1	0	1	0	5	0.64	0	1	0	20:01	—	—	66	80
Pontus Aberg L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.08	1	0	0	9:20	—	—	63	78
Craig Smith C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.32	1	0	0	17:26	—	—	63	71
Kevin Fiala L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.41	0	0	0	16:46	—	—	57	73
Kyle Turris C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.52	1	0	0	14:35	—	—	72	76
Colton Sissons C	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.47	3	0	0	15:00	—	—	56	67
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	2	0	0	13:23	—	—	65	75
Miikka Salomaki R	L4	0	0	0	+1	4	0.25	0	1	2	10:42	—	—	54	67
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	+2	3	0.43	2	1	0	24:42	—	—	64	80
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.07	3	2	0	23:37	—	—	60	69
P.K. Subban D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.17	4	1	0	25:52	—	—	47	63
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	0	0	0	24:07	—	—	47	56
Alexei Emelin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	14:12	—	—	75	83
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	0	5	0.74	0	0	0	13:53	—	—	78	77

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	O	32	30	2	.938	3.37	65:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nazem Kadri C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.30	1	0	0	17:08	—	—	48	30
Patrick Marleau C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.49	2	1	0	17:07	—	—	43	30
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	1	0	0	16:51	—	—	48	33
James van Riemsdyk L	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.82	0	0	0	17:18	—	—	38	24
Connor Brown R	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	1	0	2	16:32	—	—	46	38
Tyler Bozak C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.32	0	1	0	15:42	—	—	50	41
Auston Matthews C	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.46	0	1	0	21:28	—	—	23	13
William Nylander R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	2	0	0	17:37	—	—	21	12
Zach Hyman L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	2	0	15:33	—	—	24	17
Leo Komarov R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	3	1	0	13:10	—	—	55	42
Kasperi Kapanen R	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.27	2	0	0	11:55	—	—	59	61
Dominic Moore C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.17	1	0	2	9:21	—	—	53	50
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	1	0	22:27	—	—	30	25
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	6	2	0	20:48	—	—	21	20
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.08	1	0	0	23:39	—	—	47	25
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.02	0	1	0	22:24	—	—	44	22
Roman Polak D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.06	5	2	0	16:47	—	—	44	46
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	2	1	0	15:13	—	—	52	51

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	46	44	2	.957	5.51	65:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.