Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 7, 2019

FinalMonday, Jan 7, 2019· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	2	2	4		NSH	9	12	11	32
TOR	0	0	0	0		TOR	7	7	4	18

: NSH 59TOR 61
: NSH 2.34TOR 2.79
PP goals: NSH 1TOR 0
Hits: NSH 31TOR 18
Blocks: NSH 23TOR 15
PIM: NSH 6TOR 4
: NSH 54%TOR 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators rout Toronto Maple Leafs 4–0

Nashville Predators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–0 at TOR. Mattias Ekholm (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. NSH's first power-play unit (Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Smith and Fiala) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:11 together.

Points
Colton Sissons had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:33.Sissons
Points
Kevin Fiala had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:51.Fiala
Points
Mattias Ekholm had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 24:25.Ekholm
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Smith and Fiala) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:11 together.Bonino Subban Ekholm Smith Fiala
New line
New look for TOR: Marleau–Tavares–Marner skated 11:06 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (36.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Marleau Tavares Marner
Luck
TOR scored 0 goals on 2.79 expected goals (61 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for NSH: Grimaldi–Forsberg–Gaudreau skated 5:07 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Grimaldi Forsberg Gaudreau
New line
New look for TOR: Kadri–Brown–Kapanen skated 8:07 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kadri Brown Kapanen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · TOR 61 · NSH 59

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 31% of the game, TOR 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	TOR
	67	62
	2.59	2.44
	2.50	2.25
	10	16
	8	6
	24	12
	+0.020	−0.020
	31%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Smith – Sissons – Fiala
9:4834% CF
L2Jarnkrok – Johansen – Arvidsson
5:4867% CF
L3Bonino – Watson – Hartman
5:1770% CF
L4Grimaldi – Forsberg – Gaudreau
5:0750% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
15:2857% CF
D2Subban – Ekholm
9:3952% CF
D3Hamhuis – Irwin
6:2367% CF

PP1Bonino – Subban – Ekholm – Smith – Fiala
2:1167% CF
PP2Josi – Ellis – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
0:23100% CF
PK1FWatson – Sissons
2:23
PK2FBonino – Jarnkrok
2:12
PK1DJosi – Ellis
2:17
PK2DHamhuis – Ekholm
1:39

Current NSH line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marleau – Tavares – Marner
11:0636% CF
L2Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
10:4248% CF
L3Kadri – Brown – Kapanen
8:0760% CF
L4Gauthier – Moore – Lindholm
5:4863% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
13:2364% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
11:4922% CF
D3Dermott – Ozhiganov
10:0571% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
3:21100% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Johnsson – Nylander – Moore
2:15100% CF
PK1FGauthier – Marner
0:52
PK2FBrown – Kapanen
0:49
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
1:04
PK2DRielly – Dermott
0:47

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

4:08
NSHMattias EkholmPP (Craig Smith, Kevin Fiala)slap0.05 xG
NSH: Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Smith, FialaTOR: Hainsey, Rielly, Brown, Marner
NSH 1 – 0 TOR
13:11
NSHP.K. Subban (Matt Irwin, Nick Bonino)slap0.06 xG
NSH: Bonino, Subban, Irwin, Jarnkrok, WatsonTOR: Johnsson, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews, Ozhiganov
NSH 2 – 0 TOR

3rd period

17:23
NSHColton Sissons (Calle Jarnkrok, Ryan Ellis)backhand0.01 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Smith, Jarnkrok, SissonsTOR: Gardiner, Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner
NSH 3 – 0 TOR
19:22
NSHKevin Fiala (Colton Sissons, Mattias Ekholm)wrist0.12 xG
NSH: Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Sissons, FialaTOR: Marleau, Kapanen, Dermott, Matthews, Ozhiganov
NSH 4 – 0 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Craig Smith C	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.25	1	3	0	15:41	—	—	37	32
Colton Sissons C	L1	1	1	2	+2	2	0.06	4	1	0	15:33	—	—	39	29
Kevin Fiala L	L1	1	1	2	+1	1	0.12	2	0	0	13:51	—	—	37	34
Ryan Johansen C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	2	0	2	16:40	—	—	79	58
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.23	0	0	0	16:09	—	—	80	60
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.16	1	0	0	15:11	—	—	50	53
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	4	0	16:52	—	—	44	52
Austin Watson L	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.17	4	0	0	14:12	—	—	44	53
Ryan Hartman R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	2	0	0	12:32	—	—	50	51
Filip Forsberg L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	2	1	0	13:54	—	—	74	85
Rocco Grimaldi R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	0	1	0	11:34	—	—	44	70
Frederick Gaudreau C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	0	2	0	10:49	—	—	44	74
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.02	2	3	0	23:41	—	—	52	34
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	+1	6	0.30	0	1	2	21:55	—	—	60	50
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	1	1	2	+1	2	0.07	5	2	0	24:25	—	—	43	49
P.K. Subban D	D2	1	0	1	+2	4	0.12	3	2	0	19:42	—	—	54	68
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	17:40	—	—	36	42
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	3	2	2	13:39	—	—	61	60

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	18	18	0	.1000	2.79	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	-1	2	0.13	1	2	0	20:44	—	—	41	22
John Tavares C	L1	-1	3	0.39	0	2	0	19:44	—	—	45	41
Patrick Marleau C	L1	-1	1	0.03	0	0	0	16:39	—	—	30	17
Auston Matthews C	L2	-2	1	0.41	0	3	0	18:51	—	—	38	36
William Nylander R	L2	-1	2	0.28	0	1	0	18:12	—	—	56	60
Andreas Johnsson L	L2	-2	1	0.22	2	1	0	17:11	—	—	49	61
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	2	0.36	1	0	0	15:29	—	—	64	62
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	-1	1	0.12	2	0	0	15:12	—	—	42	40
Connor Brown R	L3	0	1	0.23	0	0	0	14:35	—	—	63	62
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	1	0.30	3	0	0	9:10	—	—	54	57
Trevor Moore L	L4	0	0	0.02	0	0	0	8:33	—	—	64	81
Par Lindholm C	L4	0	0	0.15	1	0	2	8:33	—	—	60	64
Jake Gardiner D	D1	-1	1	0.07	2	1	0	21:29	—	—	55	66
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	1	0.00	1	0	2	19:04	—	—	61	63
Morgan Rielly D	D2	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	22:48	—	—	18	25
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	1	0.01	1	2	0	19:01	—	—	32	26
Travis Dermott D	D3	-2	0	0.04	3	1	0	19:39	—	—	56	52
Igor Ozhiganov D	D3	-2	0	0.02	0	0	0	12:12	—	—	69	54

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Michael Hutchinson(start)	L	32	28	4	.875	2.34	59:57

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.