Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsNov 16, 2021

FinalTuesday, Nov 16, 2021· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	0	0	0		NSH	8	8	8	24
TOR	1	0	2	3		TOR	13	12	9	34

: NSH 45TOR 71
: NSH 2.12TOR 5.73
PP goals: NSH 0TOR 1
Hits: NSH 31TOR 22
Blocks: NSH 17TOR 9
PIM: NSH 15TOR 9
: NSH 45%TOR 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Nashville Predators 3–0

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Nashville Predators 3–0 at home. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 3:46 together.

Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:59.Matthews
Points
David Kampf had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 14:58.Kampf
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 3:46 together.Tavares Rielly Nylander Marner Matthews
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander skated 9:55 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (84.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Kerfoot Nylander
New line
New look for TOR: Ritchie–Marner–Matthews skated 8:42 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (80% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ritchie Marner Matthews
Luck
TOR scored 3 goals on 5.73 expected goals (71 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
NSH scored 0 goals on 2.12 expected goals (45 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for TOR: Spezza–Simmonds–Bunting skated 5:49 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Spezza Simmonds Bunting

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · TOR 71 · NSH 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 15% of the game, TOR 49%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	TOR
	40	62
	2.03	3.35
	2.01	3.10
	6	14
	5	2
	32	29
	−0.042	+0.042
	15%	49%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Granlund – Kunin
12:4324% CF
L2Johansen – Jeannot – Tomasino
8:2429% CF
L3Sissons – Trenin – Olivier
6:1246% CF
L4McCarron – Novak – Tolvanen
6:0963% CF
D1Ekholm – Benning
13:1848% CF
D2Josi – Fabbro
12:1220% CF
D3Borowiecki – Myers
7:1047% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Johansen – Granlund – Tolvanen
1:3960% CF
PP2Ekholm – Novak – Trenin – Kunin – Tomasino
0:21
PK1FSissons – Jeannot
2:41
PK2FGranlund – Trenin
0:58
PK1DEkholm – Benning
3:44
PK2DBorowiecki – Fabbro
1:45

Current NSH line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
9:5585% CF
L2Ritchie – Marner – Matthews
8:4280% CF
L3Engvall – Kase – Kampf
7:0062% CF
L4Spezza – Simmonds – Bunting
5:4933% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
16:5469% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
14:4950% CF
D3Dermott – Sandin
12:0459% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
3:4686% CF
PP2Spezza – Ritchie – Bunting – Engvall – Sandin
2:12100% CF
PK1FKase – Kampf
0:49
PK2FEngvall – Marner
0:21
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
1:05
PK2DBrodie – Rielly
0:55

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:37
TORAuston MatthewsPP (William Nylander, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.08 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Granlund, Benning, JeannotTOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
NSH 0 – 1 TOR

3rd period

16:04
TORDavid Kampf (Ondrej Kase, Alexander Kerfoot)wrist0.16 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, KuninTOR: Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Kase, Kampf
NSH 0 – 2 TOR
19:37
TORMitch MarnerEN (David Kampf, Auston Matthews)backhand0.74 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Granlund, TolvanenTOR: Muzzin, Holl, Marner, Matthews, Kampf
NSH 0 – 3 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Granlund C	L1	-2	1	0.13	0	0	0	22:44	—	—	32	32
Matt Duchene C	L1	-2	3	0.25	0	0	0	22:01	—	—	44	43
Luke Kunin C	L1	-1	0	0.19	3	1	2	16:47	—	—	27	30
Ryan Johansen C	L2	-1	4	0.21	2	1	2	18:33	—	—	35	48
Tanner Jeannot L	L2	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	18:29	—	—	35	31
Philip Tomasino R	L2	0	1	0.42	0	1	4	12:10	—	—	39	48
Colton Sissons C	L3	0	0	0.04	3	0	0	12:43	—	—	48	17
Yakov Trenin C	L3	0	2	0.04	4	1	0	12:35	—	—	39	16
Mathieu Olivier R	L3	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:24	—	—	33	13
Eeli Tolvanen R	L4	-1	2	0.14	2	0	0	13:31	—	—	57	68
Tommy Novak C	L4	0	2	0.33	0	0	0	9:15	—	—	54	66
Michael McCarron C	L4	0	0	0.00	2	0	5	8:33	—	—	42	50
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	-2	3	0.09	1	1	0	23:43	—	—	52	61
Matt Benning D	D1	0	0	0.00	4	2	0	19:34	—	—	42	64
Roman Josi D	D2	-2	3	0.19	2	3	0	26:36	—	—	28	20
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	1	0.03	2	5	0	19:18	—	—	28	26
Philippe Myers D	D3	0	1	0.08	4	0	0	16:16	—	—	44	38
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0.00	1	2	2	12:13	—	—	43	33

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	33	31	2	.939	4.24	57:44

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	3	0	0	19:03	—	—	65	47
William Nylander R	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.29	1	0	0	18:49	—	—	76	73
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	3	0	0	14:39	—	—	65	45
Mitch Marner R	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	1.11	0	1	0	20:41	—	—	68	68
Auston Matthews C	L2	1	1	2	+1	4	1.04	1	1	0	19:59	—	—	73	74
Nick Ritchie L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	2	0	7	12:45	—	—	82	61
David Kampf C	L3	1	1	2	+2	3	1.28	2	0	0	14:58	—	—	57	63
Ondrej Kase R	L3	0	1	1	+1	5	0.39	1	1	0	14:01	—	—	59	63
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.47	1	0	0	13:44	—	—	58	65
Michael Bunting L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.42	0	1	0	12:30	—	—	47	63
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	11:04	—	—	35	37
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	9:41	—	—	36	17
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	0	5	0.25	0	0	0	24:21	—	—	74	72
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	19:19	—	—	67	66
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.03	3	3	0	20:28	—	—	55	64
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	3	0	0	20:02	—	—	50	56
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	16:41	—	—	62	51
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	1	0	12:35	—	—	61	55

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	W	24	24	0	.1000	2.12	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.