Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsDec 9, 2023

FinalSaturday, Dec 9, 2023· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	0	0	0		NSH	7	6	5	18
TOR	0	2	2	4		TOR	9	13	15	37

: NSH 46TOR 64
: NSH 1.84TOR 4.88
PP goals: NSH 0TOR 1
Hits: NSH 36TOR 31
Blocks: NSH 16TOR 15
PIM: NSH 15TOR 11
: NSH 44%TOR 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs rout Nashville Predators 4–0

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Nashville Predators 4–0 at home. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for NSH: Novak–Sherwood–Evangelista skated 6:29 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (20% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Auston Matthews had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:41.Matthews
Points
William Nylander had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:32.Nylander
New line
New look for NSH: Novak–Sherwood–Evangelista skated 6:29 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (20% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Novak Sherwood Evangelista
Goalie
Kevin Lankinen (NSH) faced 36 shots and stopped 33 (.917), +11 against a season average of 25.4; the loss.Lankinen
New line
New look for NSH: Glass–Tomasino–Parssinen skated 6:07 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Glass Tomasino Parssinen
Luck
NSH scored 0 goals on 1.84 expected goals (46 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Conor Timmins (TOR) played 19:11, +3:18 up on his 15:53 season average over 24 games.Timmins
Usage
Jake McCabe (TOR) played 16:15, −4:28 down on his 20:43 season average over 72 games.McCabe

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 110 of 110 attempts · TOR 64 · NSH 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 12% of the game, TOR 56%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	TOR
	41	54
	1.42	3.25
	1.31	3.17
	6	13
	10	5
	22	32
	+0.002	−0.002
	12%	56%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Nyquist – O'Reilly – Forsberg
9:2745% CF
L2Novak – Sherwood – Evangelista
6:2920% CF
L3Glass – Tomasino – Parssinen
6:0733% CF
L4Sissons – Trenin – Smith
5:4263% CF
D1McDonagh – Josi
13:2350% CF
D2Lauzon – Carrier
9:5946% CF
D3Schenn – Barrie
9:2342% CF

PP1Josi – Nyquist – O'Reilly – Forsberg – Sissons
2:0171% CF
PP2Barrie – Novak – Tomasino – Parssinen – Evangelista
1:54
PK1FO'Reilly – Trenin
3:37
PK2FSissons – Smith
2:51
PK1DMcDonagh – Schenn
3:23
PK2DLauzon – Carrier
2:03

Current NSH line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Nylander – Matthews – Knies
11:4857% CF
L2Tavares – Bertuzzi – Marner
8:4447% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Domi – Robertson
6:1542% CF
L4Reaves – Gregor – Kampf
6:0178% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
13:4937% CF
D2McCabe – Benoit
11:0368% CF
D3Lajoie – Timmins
11:0177% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
6:16100% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Bertuzzi – Domi – Timmins – Knies
1:56100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
2:23
PK2FJarnkrok – Gregor
1:07
PK1DBrodie – McCabe
1:10
PK2DLajoie – Timmins
0:46

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

14:15
TORDavid Kampf (Conor Timmins)wrist0.18 xG
NSH: McDonagh, Josi, Glass, Tomasino, ParssinenTOR: Lajoie, Gregor, Timmins, Kampf, Robertson
NSH 0 – 1 TOR
17:57
TORAuston Matthews (William Nylander, Morgan Rielly)backhand0.47 xG
NSH: McDonagh, Josi, Glass, Tomasino, ParssinenTOR: Rielly, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Knies
NSH 0 – 2 TOR

3rd period

16:49
TORAuston MatthewsPP (William Nylander, John Tavares)wrist0.13 xG
NSH: Josi, Sissons, Carrier, SmithTOR: Jarnkrok, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Matthews, Timmins
NSH 0 – 3 TOR
18:29
TORNoah GregorEN (Calle Jarnkrok)wrist0.61 xG
NSH: Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg, NovakTOR: Brodie, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Gregor
NSH 0 – 4 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	-1	5	0.33	2	0	0	20:22	—	—	44	70
Filip Forsberg L	L1	-1	1	0.14	1	0	2	16:47	—	—	48	64
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	-1	1	0.18	1	0	0	15:39	—	—	52	61
Tommy Novak C	L2	-1	0	0.11	0	0	0	14:20	—	—	38	25
Luke Evangelista R	L2	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	12:18	—	—	29	8
Kiefer Sherwood L	L2	0	0	0.00	3	0	5	11:11	—	—	33	7
Juuso Parssinen C	L3	-2	2	0.05	2	0	0	13:58	—	—	42	8
Philip Tomasino R	L3	-2	0	0.00	1	2	0	12:33	—	—	40	7
Cody Glass C	L3	-2	1	0.05	1	0	0	12:17	—	—	40	12
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	2	0.52	3	0	0	17:12	—	—	47	11
Cole Smith R	L4	0	1	0.00	8	1	0	15:16	—	—	47	20
Yakov Trenin C	L4	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	15:08	—	—	50	15
Roman Josi D	D1	-3	0	0.00	1	2	0	25:49	—	—	46	27
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	-2	1	0.18	1	2	2	21:42	—	—	48	31
Jeremy Lauzon D	D2	0	0	0.00	5	1	2	16:17	—	—	37	12
Alexandre Carrier D	D2	0	2	0.05	0	4	2	16:00	—	—	50	41
Tyson Barrie D	D3	-1	1	0.23	0	1	0	18:57	—	—	37	33
Luke Schenn D	D3	0	0	0.00	4	3	2	16:28	—	—	38	40

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Kevin Lankinen(start)	L	36	33	3	.917	4.28	58:35

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	2	0	2	+1	4	0.77	2	1	0	21:41	—	—	57	71
William Nylander R	L1	0	2	2	+1	3	0.38	0	0	0	21:32	—	—	54	69
Matthew Knies L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.35	4	0	0	15:12	—	—	58	71
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	0	1	0	20:58	—	—	45	49
John Tavares C	L2	0	1	1	0	6	0.64	1	1	2	17:59	—	—	50	58
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.38	1	1	0	14:27	—	—	52	53
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	1	1	+1	4	0.64	2	0	0	14:07	—	—	50	91
Max Domi C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	12:38	—	—	50	88
Nick Robertson L	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	0	1	0	8:35	—	—	56	93
David Kampf C	L4	1	0	1	+1	5	0.38	0	0	0	14:21	—	—	80	73
Noah Gregor L	L4	1	0	1	+2	3	0.89	5	0	0	11:25	—	—	81	96
Ryan Reaves R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	3	0	0	8:58	—	—	67	61
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.05	1	2	0	26:08	—	—	42	48
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	3	0	19:29	—	—	41	39
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	1	7	16:15	—	—	67	94
Simon Benoit D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	5	2	2	16:07	—	—	69	89
Conor Timmins D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	2	2	0	19:11	—	—	57	81
Maxime Lajoie D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:57	—	—	75	97

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	18	18	0	.1000	1.84	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Noah Gregor (TOR EN) 3rd 18:29 · assists Calle Jarnkrok · Rush · loose puck · 70.9 mph shot · 2.6 s from entry to goal.

Noah Gregor · 3rd 18:29 · TOR EN

Play: rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 70.9 mph
Distance: 40 ft
Entry to goal: 2.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

David Kampf · 2nd 14:15 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-2
Passes: 2
Shot: 25.2 mph
Distance: 10 ft
Entry to goal: 2.2 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 2nd 17:57 · TOR

Play: rebound
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 19.2 mph
Distance: 3 ft
Entry to goal: 2.6 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 3rd 16:49 · TOR PP

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 69.6 mph
Distance: 28 ft
Entry to goal: 1.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.