Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsDec 4, 2024

FinalWednesday, Dec 4, 2024· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	1	0	1	2		NSH	9	3	12	24
TOR	0	0	3	3		TOR	11	7	10	28

: NSH 62TOR 53
: NSH 3.23TOR 3.04
PP goals: NSH 0TOR 1
Hits: NSH 15TOR 32
Blocks: NSH 13TOR 18
PIM: NSH 6TOR 4
: NSH 59%TOR 41%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Nashville Predators 3–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Nashville Predators 3–2 at home. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 3A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews and Knies) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:34 together.

Points
Mitch Marner had 3 assists (3 points) in 22:34.Marner
Points
Auston Matthews had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 20:11.Matthews
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews and Knies) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:34 together.Tavares Nylander Marner Matthews Knies
New line
New look for NSH: Novak–Evangelista–Svechkov skated 6:36 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Novak Evangelista Svechkov
New line
New look for TOR: Reaves–Dewar–Grebenkin skated 6:44 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (36.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Reaves Dewar Grebenkin
Usage
Nick Blankenburg (NSH) played 15:54, −3:43 down on his 19:37 season average over 59 games.Blankenburg
Usage
Oliver Ekman-Larsson (TOR) played 24:13, +3:11 up on his 21:02 season average over 76 games.Ekman-Larsson
Shots
Auston Matthews (TOR) led everyone with 7 shot on goals, scoring 2 times.Matthews

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · TOR 53 · NSH 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 37% of the game, TOR 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	TOR
	58	55
	2.90	1.88
	2.64	1.82
	11	6
	7	7
	31	22
	+0.030	−0.030
	37%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Nyquist – O'Reilly – Forsberg
10:4652% CF
L2Sissons – Smith – L'Heureux
7:5269% CF
L3Novak – Evangelista – Svechkov
6:3650% CF
L4Stamkos – Marchessault – Jankowski
3:2425% CF
D1Josi – Carrier
15:2550% CF
D2Schenn – Wilsby
12:3140% CF
D3Skjei – Blankenburg
11:0057% CF

PP1Stamkos – Josi – O'Reilly – Marchessault – Forsberg
2:05100% CF
PP2Nyquist – Skjei – Novak – Evangelista – Blankenburg
0:17
PK1FSissons – Smith
0:53
PK2FJankowski – L'Heureux
0:22
PK1DSkjei – Carrier
1:21
PK2DSchenn – Wilsby
0:41

Current NSH line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Marner – Holmberg
7:3755% CF
L2Nylander – Matthews – Knies
7:1350% CF
L3Reaves – Dewar – Grebenkin
6:4436% CF
L4Lorentz – Robertson – Minten
5:3360% CF
D1Ekman-Larsson – Tanev
12:0629% CF
D2Rielly – Myers
10:1162% CF
D3Timmins – Benoit
7:2967% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Marner – Matthews – Knies
2:3467% CF
PP2Ekman-Larsson – Rielly – Nylander – Robertson – Minten
1:05100% CF
PK1FDewar – Knies
1:14
PK2FMarner – Matthews
0:44
PK1DEkman-Larsson – Myers
1:14
PK2DTanev – Benoit
0:20

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:26
NSHJonathan Marchessault (Roman Josi)other0.54 xG
NSH: Schenn, Marchessault, Jankowski, Wilsby, SvechkovTOR: Rielly, Nylander, Myers, Matthews, Knies
NSH 1 – 0 TOR

3rd period

0:31
TORAuston Matthews (Mitch Marner, Morgan Rielly)snap0.28 xG
NSH: Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, CarrierTOR: Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Timmins, Knies
NSH 1 – 1 TOR
2:29
TORAuston Matthews (Mitch Marner)backhand0.18 xG
NSH: Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, CarrierTOR: Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Marner, Matthews, Minten
NSH 1 – 2 TOR
5:06
TORWilliam NylanderPP (Matthew Knies, Mitch Marner)wrist0.19 xG
NSH: Skjei, Sissons, CarrierTOR: Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies
NSH 1 – 3 TOR
16:38
NSHMark Jankowski (Alexandre Carrier, Cole Smith)backhand0.24 xG
NSH: Skjei, Jankowski, Sissons, Carrier, SmithTOR: Ekman-Larsson, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, Knies
NSH 2 – 3 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	-2	5	0.81	0	0	0	19:57	—	—	40	45
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.11	0	2	0	18:35	—	—	48	46
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:50	—	—	54	44
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.18	0	0	0	14:11	—	—	69	66
Cole Smith R	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.32	1	0	0	13:28	—	—	68	82
Zachary L'Heureux L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	4	0	0	13:09	—	—	67	63
Tommy Novak C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	3	0	13:32	—	—	33	46
Fedor Svechkov C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:10	—	—	40	95
Luke Evangelista R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	1	0	12:41	—	—	39	92
Jonathan Marchessault R	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.65	0	0	2	15:51	—	—	55	75
Steven Stamkos C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	4	15:24	—	—	50	35
Mark Jankowski L	L4	1	0	1	+2	3	0.50	0	0	0	12:37	—	—	48	72
Roman Josi D	D1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.27	1	2	0	26:27	—	—	54	51
Alexandre Carrier D	D1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	21:23	—	—	50	44
Adam Wilsby D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	18:00	—	—	44	72
Luke Schenn D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	5	1	0	15:00	—	—	48	80
Brady Skjei D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	1	0	19:29	—	—	53	58
Nick Blankenburg D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	1	0	15:54	—	—	56	73

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	28	25	3	.893	2.43	58:26

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	3	3	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	22:34	—	—	49	38
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	3	2	2	21:11	—	—	46	31
Pontus Holmberg R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:35	—	—	57	37
Auston Matthews C	L2	2	0	2	0	7	1.60	0	4	0	20:11	—	—	54	41
William Nylander R	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.27	0	0	0	19:30	—	—	52	48
Matthew Knies L	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.00	4	2	0	17:45	—	—	44	24
Connor Dewar C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	3	0	0	12:08	—	—	36	4
Ryan Reaves R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	0	0	9:21	—	—	33	5
Nikita Grebenkin R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:31	—	—	36	5
Fraser Minten C	L4	0	0	0	+1	5	0.52	7	0	0	13:23	—	—	48	61
Nick Robertson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	1	0	12:23	—	—	60	63
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	0	0	10:50	—	—	56	23
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	1	0	24:13	—	—	43	42
Chris Tanev D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	0	2	0	19:05	—	—	33	35
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.18	0	0	0	20:39	—	—	60	50
Philippe Myers D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	3	1	0	18:05	—	—	53	14
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	1	2	16:51	—	—	48	27
Conor Timmins D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	3	3	0	15:45	—	—	55	53

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	W	24	22	2	.917	3.23	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Jonathan Marchessault (NSH) 1st 5:26 · assists Roman Josi · Point shot · 23.7 mph shot.

Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 5:26 · NSH

Play: point-shot
Passes: 1
Shot: 23.7 mph
Distance: 90 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 3rd 0:31 · TOR

Play: rebound
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 26.0 mph
Distance: 6 ft
Type: one-timer, rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 3rd 2:29 · TOR

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 16.0 mph
Distance: 11 ft
Entry to goal: 4.1 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

William Nylander · 3rd 5:06 · TOR PP

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 57.5 mph
Distance: 17 ft
Type: one-timer, rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mark Jankowski · 3rd 16:38 · NSH

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 12.9 mph
Distance: 12 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.