Nashville Predators vs. Edmonton OilersOct 20, 2018

FinalSaturday, Oct 20, 2018· Rogers Place

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	2	1	3		NSH	7	11	10	28
EDM	0	0	0	0		EDM	4	9	18	31

: NSH 54EDM 53
: NSH 3.04EDM 3.41
PP goals: NSH 0EDM 0
Hits: NSH 10EDM 20
Blocks: NSH 12EDM 18
PIM: NSH 8EDM 8
: NSH 51%EDM 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Edmonton Oilers 3–0

Nashville Predators beat Edmonton Oilers 3–0 at EDM. Mattias Ekholm (NSH) led the scoring with 0G 2A. New look for EDM: Nugent-Hopkins–McDavid–Yamamoto skated 9:20 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (47.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Mattias Ekholm had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 22:25.Ekholm
New line
New look for EDM: Nugent-Hopkins–McDavid–Yamamoto skated 9:20 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (47.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nugent-Hopkins McDavid Yamamoto
Luck
EDM scored 0 goals on 3.41 expected goals (53 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Alex Chiasson (EDM) played 7:28, −9:38 down on his 17:06 season average over 72 games.Chiasson
New line
New look for EDM: Lucic–Chiasson–Strome skated 5:55 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (25% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lucic Chiasson Strome
Usage
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM) played 27:02, +7:01 up on his 20:01 season average over 81 games.Nugent-Hopkins
Usage
Oscar Klefbom (EDM) played 30:09, +6:16 up on his 23:53 season average over 60 games.Klefbom
Usage
Zack Kassian (EDM) played 9:05, −5:48 down on his 14:53 season average over 78 games.Kassian

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)EDM attacks right (top on phones) →

EDM
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · EDM 53 · NSH 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

EDM
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

EDM pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 30% of the game, EDM 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

EDM

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	EDM
	47	46
	1.96	2.42
	1.85	2.36
	6	4
	4	7
	14	12
	+0.004	−0.004
	30%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
9:4742% CF
L2Turris – Smith – Fiala
9:2174% CF
L3Bonino – Jarnkrok – Hartman
5:4629% CF
L4Rinaldo – Sissons – Gaudreau
4:2733% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
15:3551% CF
D2Subban – Ekholm
11:5152% CF
D3Hamhuis – Weber
8:4650% CF

PP1Subban – Smith – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
4:3775% CF
PP2Bonino – Turris – Josi – Ellis – Fiala
2:50100% CF
PK1FBonino – Jarnkrok
2:05
PK2FJohansen – Forsberg
1:23
PK1DJosi – Ellis
3:12
PK2DSubban – Ekholm
3:07

Current NSH line combinations →

Edmonton Oilers

L1Nugent-Hopkins – McDavid – Yamamoto
9:2047% CF
L2Rieder – Draisaitl – Puljujarvi
8:0630% CF
L3Lucic – Chiasson – Strome
5:5525% CF
L4Brodziak – Kassian – Khaira
3:2150% CF
D1Larsson – Klefbom
15:1450% CF
D2Russell – Nurse
13:1250% CF
D3Garrison – Bouchard
5:5967% CF

PP1Lucic – Nugent-Hopkins – Klefbom – Draisaitl – McDavid
5:3675% CF
PP2Strome – Khaira – Puljujarvi – Yamamoto – Bouchard
1:2250% CF
PK1FStrome – Khaira
1:39
PK2FBrodziak – Kassian
1:30
PK1DLarsson – Klefbom
2:50
PK2DRussell – Nurse
1:18

Current EDM line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

13:14
NSHP.K. SubbanSH (Colton Sissons, Mattias Ekholm)wrist0.15 xG
NSH: Subban, Ekholm, Sissons, HartmanEDM: Strome, Khaira, Puljujarvi, Yamamoto, Bouchard
NSH 1 – 0 EDM
14:42
NSHViktor Arvidsson (Nick Bonino, Mattias Ekholm)wrist0.10 xG
NSH: Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, ArvidssonEDM: Klefbom, Khaira, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid
NSH 2 – 0 EDM

3rd period

19:07
NSHRoman JosiENwrist0.43 xG
NSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Forsberg, SissonsEDM: Lucic, Nugent-Hopkins, Klefbom, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard
NSH 3 – 0 EDM

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.30	1	0	4	20:05	—	—	48	65
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.52	0	0	0	20:04	—	—	36	60
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.36	1	0	0	20:00	—	—	48	63
Kyle Turris C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	0	0	0	16:06	—	—	68	62
Craig Smith C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	0	0	14:34	—	—	68	61
Kevin Fiala L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	0	0	0	14:21	—	—	75	64
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	2	0	15:05	—	—	31	16
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:53	—	—	41	19
Ryan Hartman R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.05	0	0	0	10:48	—	—	43	16
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	3	2	0	14:31	—	—	50	18
Zac Rinaldo C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	7:56	—	—	46	13
Frederick Gaudreau C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	6:35	—	—	22	0
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.13	1	1	0	26:27	—	—	50	54
Roman Josi D	D1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.64	0	1	0	25:47	—	—	50	53
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.15	1	3	0	22:25	—	—	52	42
P.K. Subban D	D2	1	0	1	+2	5	0.25	0	3	2	21:35	—	—	52	41
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:36	—	—	44	14
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	1	0	0	10:12	—	—	50	24

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	W	31	31	0	.1000	3.41	60:00

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	L1	-1	5	0.48	0	1	0	27:02	—	—	47	45
Connor McDavid C	L1	-2	2	0.17	0	1	0	24:20	—	—	52	48
Kailer Yamamoto R	L1	-1	2	0.33	2	2	0	15:21	—	—	53	48
Leon Draisaitl C	L2	-2	0	0.23	0	1	0	23:18	—	—	32	35
Jesse Puljujarvi R	L2	-1	1	0.30	0	1	2	14:20	—	—	55	69
Tobias Rieder L	L2	0	3	0.24	0	0	0	12:48	—	—	56	84
Milan Lucic L	L3	-1	1	0.59	3	0	2	16:02	—	—	47	43
Ryan Strome C	L3	-1	2	0.25	1	1	0	14:38	—	—	50	51
Alex Chiasson R	L3	0	0	0.01	0	1	0	7:28	—	—	39	59
Zack Kassian R	L4	0	1	0.01	4	0	0	9:05	—	—	58	96
Jujhar Khaira L	L4	-2	0	0.09	0	1	0	8:38	—	—	43	73
Kyle Brodziak C	L4	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	8:32	—	—	67	97
Oscar Klefbom D	D1	-2	5	0.10	2	0	0	30:09	—	—	50	43
Adam Larsson D	D1	0	2	0.06	3	4	0	20:59	—	—	43	41
Darnell Nurse D	D2	-1	2	0.22	1	0	0	20:30	—	—	44	57
Kris Russell D	D2	0	1	0.04	1	2	2	18:21	—	—	52	74
Evan Bouchard D	D3	-2	3	0.13	1	1	0	14:36	—	—	60	79
Jason Garrison D	D3	0	1	0.17	0	1	2	8:32	—	—	58	79

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Talbot(start)	L	27	25	2	.926	2.62	57:21

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.