Nashville Predators vs. Florida PanthersApr 3, 2018

FinalTuesday, Apr 3, 2018· BB&T Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	0	1	1		NSH	18	10	18	46
FLA	1	0	1	2		FLA	14	12	7	33

: NSH 75FLA 62
: NSH 3.16FLA 3.18
PP goals: NSH 0FLA 0
Hits: NSH 11FLA 22
Blocks: NSH 13FLA 18
PIM: NSH 2FLA 0
: NSH 55%FLA 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Florida Panthers edge Nashville Predators 2–1

Florida Panthers beat Nashville Predators 2–1 at home. Roman Josi (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Roberto Luongo (FLA) faced 46 shots and stopped 45 (.978), +13 against a season average of 32.7; the win.

Goalie
Roberto Luongo (FLA) faced 46 shots and stopped 45 (.978), +13 against a season average of 32.7; the win.Luongo
New line
New look for NSH: Fisher–Watson–Sissons skated 10:06 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (36.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Fisher Watson Sissons
Luck
NSH scored 1 goal on 3.16 expected goals (75 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Jamie McGinn (FLA) played 18:13, +4:50 up on his 13:23 season average over 75 games.McGinn
New line
New look for FLA: Bjugstad–McCann–Vatrano skated 10:09 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (44% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bjugstad McCann Vatrano
New line
New look for FLA: MacKenzie–Haley–Mamin skated 7:43 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (63.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.MacKenzie Haley Mamin
New line
New look for NSH: Bonino–Arvidsson–Tolvanen skated 6:27 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (64.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bonino Arvidsson Tolvanen
Usage
Colton Sceviour (FLA) played 17:39, +4:16 up on his 13:23 season average over 75 games.Sceviour

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)FLA attacks right (top on phones) →

FLA
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 137 of 137 attempts · FLA 62 · NSH 75

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

FLA
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

FLA pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 41% of the game, FLA 22%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

FLA

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	FLA
	86	68
	3.57	2.50
	3.49	2.47
	8	11
	7	12
	25	26
	+0.013	−0.013
	41%	22%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Fisher – Watson – Sissons
10:0636% CF
L2Turris – Hartman – Fiala
7:1883% CF
L3Smith – Johansen – Forsberg
7:1253% CF
L4Bonino – Arvidsson – Tolvanen
6:2764% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
21:2653% CF
D2Subban – Ekholm
20:0664% CF
D3Emelin – Irwin
11:1745% CF

PK1FWatson – Johansen
0:36
PK2FFisher – Sissons
0:30
PK1DJosi – Ellis
0:56
PK2DSubban – Ekholm
0:36

Current NSH line combinations →

Florida Panthers

L1McGinn – Trocheck – Huberdeau
14:4929% CF
L2Sceviour – Dadonov – Barkov
13:4261% CF
L3Bjugstad – McCann – Vatrano
10:0944% CF
L4MacKenzie – Haley – Mamin
7:4364% CF
D1Yandle – Ekblad
19:5042% CF
D2Pysyk – Matheson
18:0039% CF
D3Petrovic – Weegar
15:2155% CF

PP1Yandle – McGinn – Dadonov – Trocheck – Barkov
1:23
PP2Bjugstad – Huberdeau – Matheson – Ekblad – Vatrano
0:37100% CF

Current FLA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

18:30
FLAJonathan Huberdeau (Jamie McGinn, Vincent Trocheck)tip-in0.06 xG
NSH: Emelin, Smith, Irwin, Johansen, ForsbergFLA: Yandle, McGinn, Trocheck, Huberdeau, Ekblad
NSH 0 – 1 FLA

3rd period

10:33
FLAColton Sceviour (Evgenii Dadonov, Aaron Ekblad)slap0.18 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonFLA: Yandle, Sceviour, Dadonov, Barkov, Ekblad
NSH 0 – 2 FLA
16:08
NSHRoman Josi (Ryan Ellis)backhand0.08 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonFLA: Yandle, McGinn, Trocheck, Huberdeau, Ekblad
NSH 1 – 2 FLA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Colton Sissons C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	4	2	0	14:26	—	—	31	28
Mike Fisher C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	11:46	—	—	33	24
Austin Watson L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	0	1	0	11:44	—	—	33	33
Kevin Fiala L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	0	0	0	17:50	—	—	66	70
Kyle Turris C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	16:31	—	—	66	72
Ryan Hartman R	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.35	0	1	0	14:22	—	—	56	68
Ryan Johansen C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.28	0	0	0	17:57	—	—	63	51
Filip Forsberg L	L3	0	0	0	-1	6	0.21	2	0	0	17:28	—	—	71	58
Craig Smith C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	0	0	15:37	—	—	55	46
Viktor Arvidsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	6	0.26	0	0	0	16:13	—	—	68	68
Nick Bonino C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	0	0	2	14:15	—	—	53	66
Eeli Tolvanen R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.68	0	0	0	11:39	—	—	44	61
Roman Josi D	D1	1	0	1	0	6	0.37	0	1	0	24:35	—	—	52	50
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.07	0	3	0	24:13	—	—	54	53
P.K. Subban D	D2	0	0	0	0	5	0.21	0	1	0	24:23	—	—	63	73
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	1	0	22:02	—	—	64	77
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	2	3	0	13:12	—	—	50	34
Alexei Emelin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:35	—	—	45	30

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	L	33	31	2	.939	2.31	58:12

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk		PP	SH
Vincent Trocheck C	L1	0	1	1	0	6	0.27	1	2	21:19	—	—	31	29
Jamie McGinn L	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	3	1	18:13	—	—	29	17
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.30	2	1	18:07	—	—	30	27
Aleksander Barkov C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.96	0	1	20:04	—	—	50	55
Colton Sceviour C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.31	1	0	17:39	—	—	55	63
Evgenii Dadonov L	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.51	0	1	17:32	—	—	58	67
Jared McCann L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	14:05	—	—	44	37
Nick Bjugstad C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	3	1	13:25	—	—	44	38
Frank Vatrano R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	2	0	11:51	—	—	46	29
Maxim Mamin C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	0	10:44	—	—	60	66
Derek MacKenzie C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	0	0	9:52	—	—	60	66
Micheal Haley L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	8:29	—	—	50	14
Keith Yandle D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	0	4	23:06	—	—	43	40
Aaron Ekblad D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	0	1	21:49	—	—	41	39
Mike Matheson D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	1	2	21:18	—	—	38	26
Mark Pysyk D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	19:51	—	—	43	30
MacKenzie Weegar D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	4	2	16:18	—	—	51	62
Alexander Petrovic D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	1	1	16:18	—	—	53	69

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Roberto Luongo(start)	W	46	45	1	.978	3.16	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.