Nashville Predators vs. Detroit Red WingsFeb 20, 2018

FinalTuesday, Feb 20, 2018· Little Caesars Arena

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

3

@

home

Detroit Red WingsDET

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	2	0	1	3		NSH	15	7	7	29
DET	0	1	1	2		DET	8	14	14	36

: NSH 54DET 65
: NSH 3.21DET 3.97
PP goals: NSH 0DET 0
Hits: NSH 25DET 20
Blocks: NSH 18DET 17
PIM: NSH 16DET 2
: NSH 56%DET 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Detroit Red Wings 3–2

Nashville Predators beat Detroit Red Wings 3–2 at DET. Andreas Athanasiou (DET) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Juuse Saros (NSH) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +5 against a season average of 31.2; the win.

Points
Andreas Athanasiou had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:53.Athanasiou
Points
Roman Josi had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 23:56.Josi
Points
Ryan Ellis had 2 assists (2 points) in 23:01.Ellis
Goalie
Juuse Saros (NSH) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +5 against a season average of 31.2; the win.Saros
Luck
DET scored 2 goals on 3.97 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Andreas Athanasiou (DET) played 19:53, +4:38 up on his 15:15 season average over 70 games.Athanasiou
Usage
Tyler Bertuzzi (DET) played 7:51, −6:41 down on his 14:32 season average over 47 games.Bertuzzi
Usage
Luke Witkowski (DET) played 12:46, +6:05 up on his 6:41 season average over 30 games.Witkowski

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · DET 65 · NSH 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 26% of the game, DET 36%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	DET
	64	68
	3.85	3.92
	3.72	3.79
	19	14
	2	5
	13	12
	+0.037	−0.037
	26%	36%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
12:0862% CF
L2Watson – Salomaki – Sissons
10:3460% CF
L3Hartnell – Bonino – Jarnkrok
8:2862% CF
L4Turris – Smith – Fiala
8:1948% CF
D1Subban – Ekholm
17:4741% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
16:1856% CF
D3Emelin – Weber
10:3353% CF

PP1Turris – Josi – Ellis – Sissons – Fiala
1:32100% CF
PP2Subban – Smith – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
0:28
PK1FBonino – Jarnkrok
1:53
PK2FSissons – Arvidsson
1:04
PK1DSubban – Ekholm
1:53
PK2DJosi – Ellis
1:47

Current NSH line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Zetterberg – Nyquist – Mantha
9:5364% CF
L2Tatar – Athanasiou – Larkin
7:3272% CF
L3Nielsen – Abdelkader – Helm
7:2936% CF
D1Daley – Ericsson
15:4547% CF
D2Jensen – DeKeyser
13:5161% CF

PP1Zetterberg – Kronwall – Nyquist – Frk – Mantha
2:01100% CF
PP2Daley – Abdelkader – Tatar – Athanasiou – Larkin
1:54100% CF
PK1FNielsen – Helm
0:55
PK2FGlendening – Larkin
0:30
PK1DDaley – Ericsson
1:03
PK2DJensen – DeKeyser
0:50

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:18
NSHScott Hartnell (Roman Josi, Ryan Ellis)tip-in0.05 xG
NSH: Hartnell, Bonino, Josi, Ellis, JarnkrokDET: Kronwall, Witkowski, Glendening, Frk, Bertuzzi
NSH 1 – 0 DET
9:35
NSHKyle Turris (Roman Josi, Craig Smith)wrist0.13 xG
NSH: Turris, Josi, Ellis, Fiala, ArvidssonDET: Kronwall, Witkowski, Tatar, Athanasiou, Larkin
NSH 2 – 0 DET

2nd period

10:12
DETAndreas Athanasiou (Dylan Larkin)wrist0.15 xG
NSH: Subban, Turris, Ekholm, Fiala, ArvidssonDET: Daley, Tatar, Jensen, Athanasiou, Larkin
NSH 2 – 1 DET

3rd period

4:50
NSHViktor Arvidsson (P.K. Subban, Ryan Ellis)wrist0.15 xG
NSH: Subban, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonDET: Ericsson, Abdelkader, Glendening, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi
NSH 3 – 1 DET
7:54
DETTomas Tatar (Andreas Athanasiou, Justin Abdelkader)wrist0.16 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Watson, Sissons, ArvidssonDET: Daley, Abdelkader, Tatar, Athanasiou, Larkin
NSH 3 – 2 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.26	2	1	0	16:51	—	—	49	35
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.16	2	0	0	16:44	—	—	53	56
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	3	0	0	16:01	—	—	53	65
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.22	3	2	0	17:12	—	—	47	36
Austin Watson L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.24	1	3	2	15:17	—	—	50	37
Miikka Salomaki R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	13:02	—	—	57	57
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.32	0	0	0	15:00	—	—	50	52
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	1	0	14:37	—	—	53	62
Scott Hartnell L	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.26	0	0	0	11:31	—	—	55	61
Kyle Turris C	L4	1	0	1	0	5	0.83	0	1	0	14:36	—	—	38	53
Kevin Fiala L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	1	0	0	12:56	—	—	41	53
Craig Smith C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.35	1	0	0	12:33	—	—	42	61
P.K. Subban D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	1	3	12	25:14	—	—	44	56
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	23:13	—	—	38	52
Roman Josi D	D2	0	2	2	+1	4	0.04	2	0	0	23:56	—	—	56	43
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	2	2	+2	0	0.01	1	3	0	23:01	—	—	52	38
Alexei Emelin D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.25	3	0	2	12:20	—	—	42	52
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	11:38	—	—	56	71

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	W	36	34	2	.944	3.97	59:50

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Henrik Zetterberg C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.45	0	0	0	20:11	—	—	61	67
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.47	1	0	2	19:30	—	—	63	66
Anthony Mantha R	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.54	1	0	0	17:49	—	—	58	65
Andreas Athanasiou C	L2	1	1	2	+1	4	0.45	0	0	0	19:53	—	—	66	74
Dylan Larkin C	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.32	1	0	0	19:18	—	—	58	55
Tomas Tatar L	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.27	0	0	0	17:37	—	—	57	55
Justin Abdelkader L	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.74	7	1	0	17:21	—	—	45	61
Frans Nielsen C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	1	3	0	15:11	—	—	43	40
Darren Helm C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:09	—	—	36	24
Trevor Daley D	D1	0	0	0	+2	5	0.15	0	2	0	22:59	—	—	59	65
Jonathan Ericsson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	2	0	18:32	—	—	44	35
Nick Jensen D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	0	1	0	19:58	—	—	61	52
Danny DeKeyser D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	1	1	0	19:21	—	—	54	51
Niklas Kronwall D	—	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	3	0	20:13	—	—	49	40
Luke Witkowski D	—	0	0	0	-2	2	0.13	5	2	0	12:46	—	—	32	25
Luke Glendening C	—	0	0	0	-2	2	0.09	1	2	0	11:02	—	—	33	15
Tyler Bertuzzi L	—	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:51	—	—	25	23
Martin Frk R	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	6:27	—	—	20	20

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	L	29	26	3	.897	3.21	57:52

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.