Nashville Predators vs. Detroit Red WingsNov 4, 2019

FinalMonday, Nov 4, 2019· Little Caesars Arena

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

6

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Detroit Red WingsDET

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	5	1	6		NSH	7	15	4	26
DET	1	0	0	1		DET	5	10	9	24

: NSH 54DET 42
: NSH 2.87DET 2.59
PP goals: NSH 2DET 0
Hits: NSH 17DET 17
Blocks: NSH 10DET 13
PIM: NSH 11DET 13
: NSH 45%DET 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators rout Detroit Red Wings 6–1

Nashville Predators beat Detroit Red Wings 6–1 at DET. Matt Duchene (NSH) led the scoring with 2G 0A. NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg and Arvidsson) scored 2 power-play goals on 10 attempts in 4:07 together.

Points
Matt Duchene had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 16:10.Duchene
Points
Filip Forsberg had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:10.Forsberg
Points
Roman Josi had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:22.Josi
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg and Arvidsson) scored 2 power-play goals on 10 attempts in 4:07 together.Josi Duchene Johansen Forsberg Arvidsson
Luck
NSH scored 6 goals on 2.87 expected goals (54 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for NSH: Turris–Duchene–Jarnkrok skated 9:10 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Turris Duchene Jarnkrok
New line
New look for NSH: Watson–Granlund–Sissons skated 8:19 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Watson Granlund Sissons
Luck
DET scored 1 goal on 2.59 expected goals (42 attempts), well short of its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 96 of 96 attempts · DET 42 · NSH 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 39% of the game, DET 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	DET
	50	40
	1.96	2.01
	1.90	1.93
	8	8
	5	2
	14	10
	−0.014	+0.014
	39%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
11:1867% CF
L2Bonino – Smith – Grimaldi
10:1145% CF
L3Turris – Duchene – Jarnkrok
9:1050% CF
L4Watson – Granlund – Sissons
8:1960% CF
D1Ekholm – Fabbro
15:5377% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
13:5242% CF
D3Hamhuis – Weber
11:0138% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
4:07100% CF
PP2Bonino – Turris – Ellis – Smith – Granlund
2:03100% CF
PK1FBonino – Sissons
2:52
PK2FJarnkrok – Watson
1:42
PK1DHamhuis – Ekholm
2:15
PK2DJosi – Ellis
1:28

Current NSH line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Nielsen – Perlini – Hirose
10:1531% CF
L2Bertuzzi – Mantha – Larkin
10:1150% CF
L3Filppula – Athanasiou – Erne
8:3143% CF
L4Abdelkader – Helm – de la Rose
7:2227% CF
D1Bowey – Hicketts
14:3317% CF
D2Nemeth – Hronek
14:0444% CF
D3Biega – Cholowski
11:3952% CF

PP1Bertuzzi – Mantha – Larkin – Cholowski – Hirose
4:05100% CF
PP2Filppula – Athanasiou – Erne – Perlini – Hronek
1:25100% CF
PK1FFilppula – Nielsen
2:42
PK2FAbdelkader – de la Rose
2:16
PK1DBiega – Hronek
2:16
PK2DNemeth – Bowey
2:10

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:35
DETAndreas Athanasiou (Filip Hronek, Valtteri Filppula)snap0.16 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Watson, Granlund, SissonsDET: Filppula, Nemeth, Athanasiou, Erne, Hronek
NSH 0 – 1 DET

2nd period

2:00
NSHNick Bonino (Dan Hamhuis)tip-in0.02 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Bonino, Weber, Smith, GrimaldiDET: Filppula, Biega, Athanasiou, Erne, Cholowski
NSH 1 – 1 DET
5:32
NSHKyle Turriswrist0.07 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Turris, Weber, Duchene, GrimaldiDET: Filppula, Abdelkader, Erne, Bowey, Hicketts
NSH 2 – 1 DET
6:34
NSHColton Sissons (Ryan Ellis, Pekka Rinne)snap0.06 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Watson, Granlund, SissonsDET: Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek
NSH 3 – 1 DET
7:36
NSHMatt Duchene (Mattias Ekholm)wrist0.01 xG
NSH: Turris, Duchene, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, FabbroDET: Nielsen, Bowey, Perlini, Hicketts, Hirose
NSH 4 – 1 DET
18:30
NSHMatt DuchenePP (Filip Forsberg, Roman Josi)backhand0.02 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonDET: Filppula, Nielsen, Nemeth, Bowey
NSH 5 – 1 DET

3rd period

6:52
NSHFilip ForsbergPP (Roman Josi, Ryan Johansen)snap0.07 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonDET: Filppula, Nemeth, Bowey, Larkin
NSH 6 – 1 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.31	0	0	0	18:24	—	—	62	62
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.24	1	0	2	17:46	—	—	64	63
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	1	2	0	2	0.33	2	1	0	17:10	—	—	68	61
Nick Bonino C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.02	0	1	0	17:49	—	—	40	15
Craig Smith C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	2	12:33	—	—	50	18
Rocco Grimaldi R	L2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:10	—	—	43	29
Matt Duchene C	L3	2	0	2	+2	6	0.47	0	0	0	16:10	—	—	52	56
Kyle Turris C	L3	1	0	1	+2	2	0.10	1	0	0	13:58	—	—	55	57
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.54	1	0	0	12:43	—	—	52	65
Mikael Granlund C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.36	0	1	0	14:10	—	—	58	41
Colton Sissons C	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.10	1	0	0	13:54	—	—	60	47
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	7	0	0	12:24	—	—	65	51
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.07	0	2	0	21:17	—	—	67	47
Dante Fabbro D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	1	0	21:16	—	—	78	60
Roman Josi D	D2	0	2	2	0	2	0.15	1	0	2	22:22	—	—	49	42
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.10	1	2	5	21:10	—	—	42	39
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:24	—	—	39	64
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.06	0	1	0	13:44	—	—	50	64

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	24	23	1	.958	2.59	59:36

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Taro Hirose L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:46	—	—	42	51
Brendan Perlini L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	1	1	2	15:04	—	—	33	41
Frans Nielsen C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.29	0	2	0	14:55	—	—	42	60
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.25	1	0	0	20:46	—	—	59	63
Anthony Mantha R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.26	1	0	0	19:17	—	—	64	66
Dylan Larkin C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.75	1	1	11	16:26	—	—	50	46
Valtteri Filppula C	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.13	1	0	0	17:57	—	—	42	54
Andreas Athanasiou C	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.20	0	0	0	13:04	—	—	47	53
Adam Erne L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	2	0	0	10:10	—	—	38	46
Jacob de la Rose L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	3	0	0	14:29	—	—	35	33
Justin Abdelkader L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:28	—	—	21	27
Darren Helm C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:33	—	—	23	28
Joe Hicketts D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	3	0	19:19	—	—	25	35
Madison Bowey D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.01	0	1	0	19:18	—	—	23	21
Patrik Nemeth D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	20:54	—	—	50	54
Filip Hronek D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.05	1	0	0	20:39	—	—	48	66
Dennis Cholowski D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.15	0	1	0	18:27	—	—	54	60
Alex Biega D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	2	2	0	15:18	—	—	54	57

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Bernier	—	11	9	2	.818	1.42	32:24
Jimmy Howard(start)	L	15	11	4	.733	1.44	27:36

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.