Nashville Predators vs. Buffalo SabresMar 19, 2018

FinalMonday, Mar 19, 2018· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	2	2	4		NSH	10	11	11	32
BUF	0	0	0	0		BUF	13	14	8	35

: NSH 58BUF 66
: NSH 2.64BUF 2.03
PP goals: NSH 0BUF 0
Hits: NSH 22BUF 25
Blocks: NSH 19BUF 12
PIM: NSH 4BUF 0
: NSH 53%BUF 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators rout Buffalo Sabres 4–0

Nashville Predators beat Buffalo Sabres 4–0 at BUF. Filip Forsberg (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. BUF scored 0 goals on 2.03 expected goals (66 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Filip Forsberg had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 14:24.Forsberg
Points
Viktor Arvidsson had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 14:59.Arvidsson
Luck
BUF scored 0 goals on 2.03 expected goals (66 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Nolan–Larsson skated 10:23 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (47.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Nolan Larsson
New line
New look for NSH: Fisher–Hartnell–Salomaki skated 10:10 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Fisher Hartnell Salomaki
Goalie
Pekka Rinne (NSH) faced 35 shots and stopped 35 (.1000), +4 against a season average of 31.2; the win.Rinne
Usage
Filip Forsberg (NSH) played 14:24, −3:07 down on his 17:31 season average over 66 games.Forsberg
Usage
Scott Wilson (BUF) played 15:57, +3:48 up on his 12:09 season average over 68 games.Wilson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 124 of 124 attempts · BUF 66 · NSH 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 35% of the game, BUF 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	BUF
	70	70
	3.17	2.10
	3.02	2.05
	14	12
	10	5
	20	13
	−0.030	+0.030
	35%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Bonino – Sissons – Hartman
12:0159% CF
L2Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
11:5943% CF
L3Turris – Smith – Fiala
11:5650% CF
L4Fisher – Hartnell – Salomaki
10:1050% CF
D1Ellis – Ekholm
19:3562% CF
D2Emelin – Subban
15:3042% CF
D3Josi – Bitetto
13:4248% CF

PK1FFisher – Sissons
1:18
PK2FJohansen – Forsberg
0:39
PK1DJosi – Ellis
2:35
PK2DEmelin – Subban
0:44

Current NSH line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1O'Reilly – Wilson – Reinhart
13:5560% CF
L2Pominville – Pouliot – Eichel
11:2946% CF
L3Okposo – Nolan – Larsson
10:2347% CF
L4Bailey – Baptiste – Rodrigues
8:4641% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
19:2151% CF
D2Beaulieu – Nelson
14:3638% CF
D3Falk – Guhle
13:1250% CF

PP1Okposo – O'Reilly – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel
3:18100% CF
PP2Pominville – Scandella – Baptiste – Guhle – Rodrigues
0:29100% CF

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

12:29
NSHMike Fisher (Scott Hartnell, Miikka Salomaki)tip-in0.04 xG
NSH: Fisher, Hartnell, Subban, Josi, SalomakiBUF: Okposo, Falk, Nolan, Larsson, Guhle
NSH 1 – 0 BUF
17:03
NSHRyan Johansen (Filip Forsberg, Viktor Arvidsson)wrist0.28 xG
NSH: Emelin, Subban, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonBUF: O'Reilly, Wilson, Beaulieu, Reinhart, Nelson
NSH 2 – 0 BUF

3rd period

16:09
NSHFilip Forsberg (Viktor Arvidsson, Kyle Turris)wrist0.41 xG
NSH: Subban, Turris, Josi, Forsberg, ArvidssonBUF: Pominville, Wilson, Eichel, Guhle, Nelson
NSH 3 – 0 BUF
19:36
NSHRyan Hartman (Alexei Emelin, Colton Sissons)wrist0.02 xG
NSH: Emelin, Bonino, Ekholm, Sissons, HartmanBUF: Scandella, Larsson, Wilson, Reinhart, Guhle
NSH 4 – 0 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Colton Sissons C	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.08	2	2	0	18:05	—	—	60	61
Nick Bonino C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.13	0	1	0	16:07	—	—	58	54
Ryan Hartman R	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.06	2	0	0	15:37	—	—	54	55
Ryan Johansen C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.28	3	0	0	16:56	—	—	40	56
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	0	2	2	+2	5	0.29	2	0	0	14:59	—	—	50	74
Filip Forsberg L	L2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.55	0	2	0	14:24	—	—	49	73
Kyle Turris C	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.17	0	0	0	14:20	—	—	55	66
Kevin Fiala L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	1	2	0	14:17	—	—	49	51
Craig Smith C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.31	1	0	0	13:15	—	—	49	51
Mike Fisher C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.14	5	1	0	13:17	—	—	45	49
Miikka Salomaki R	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	12:21	—	—	56	77
Scott Hartnell L	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.03	1	0	0	11:47	—	—	42	49
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	3	2	0	23:29	—	—	58	62
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.26	0	1	2	22:11	—	—	63	69
P.K. Subban D	D2	0	0	0	+3	1	0.01	0	2	0	20:54	—	—	46	62
Alexei Emelin D	D2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	1	2	18:48	—	—	40	44
Roman Josi D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.03	0	4	0	20:58	—	—	46	60
Anthony Bitetto D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	14:15	—	—	47	55

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	35	35	0	.1000	2.03	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	-1	1	0.00	1	0	20:51	—	—	60	43
Sam Reinhart C	L1	-2	3	0.46	1	1	18:17	—	—	58	42
Scott Wilson C	L1	-3	1	0.01	2	0	15:57	—	—	57	32
Jack Eichel C	L2	-1	5	0.43	0	0	19:26	—	—	48	43
Jason Pominville R	L2	-1	1	0.11	0	0	15:41	—	—	53	41
Benoit Pouliot L	L2	0	0	0.00	1	0	13:43	—	—	44	49
Kyle Okposo R	L3	-1	3	0.12	1	0	17:14	—	—	41	27
Jordan Nolan C	L3	-1	0	0.00	4	0	12:48	—	—	46	31
Johan Larsson L	L3	-2	2	0.04	0	0	12:18	—	—	42	23
Evan Rodrigues C	L4	0	1	0.02	0	0	13:46	—	—	45	44
Justin Bailey R	L4	0	2	0.13	2	0	12:17	—	—	46	42
Nick Baptiste R	L4	0	3	0.15	0	0	11:39	—	—	52	48
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	4	0.07	5	4	24:43	—	—	51	33
Marco Scandella D	D1	-1	0	0.05	0	1	22:10	—	—	53	37
Casey Nelson D	D2	-2	2	0.10	2	2	18:50	—	—	44	30
Nathan Beaulieu D	D2	-1	2	0.04	3	1	16:28	—	—	42	45
Brendan Guhle D	D3	-3	4	0.17	1	1	18:46	—	—	54	44
Justin Falk D	D3	-1	1	0.12	2	2	15:30	—	—	53	55

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	L	32	28	4	.875	2.64	59:36

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.