Nashville Predators vs. Buffalo SabresDec 12, 2019

FinalThursday, Dec 12, 2019· KeyBank Center

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

3

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	2	1	0	3		NSH	12	12	15	39
BUF	1	2	1	4		BUF	15	9	8	32

: NSH 62BUF 50
: NSH 2.52BUF 2.68
PP goals: NSH 0BUF 0
Hits: NSH 12BUF 16
Blocks: NSH 8BUF 13
PIM: NSH 2BUF 4
: NSH 53%BUF 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Nashville Predators 4–3

Buffalo Sabres beat Nashville Predators 4–3 at home. Jack Eichel (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Linus Ullmark (BUF) faced 39 shots and stopped 36 (.923), +8 against a season average of 31.4; the win.

Points
Jack Eichel had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 22:56.Eichel
Points
Sam Reinhart had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:41.Reinhart
Goalie
Linus Ullmark (BUF) faced 39 shots and stopped 36 (.923), +8 against a season average of 31.4; the win.Ullmark
Usage
Colin Miller (BUF) played 11:46, −5:28 down on his 17:14 season average over 50 games.Miller
New line
New look for BUF: Johansson–Skinner–Vesey skated 9:05 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Johansson Skinner Vesey
Usage
Brandon Montour (BUF) played 15:30, −4:04 down on his 19:34 season average over 53 games.Montour
Usage
Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) played 15:20, −4:02 down on his 19:22 season average over 58 games.Dahlin
Usage
Rasmus Asplund (BUF) played 5:28, −5:34 down on his 11:02 season average over 28 games.Asplund

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · BUF 50 · NSH 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 38% of the game, BUF 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	BUF
	62	59
	2.56	3.15
	2.42	3.08
	13	16
	0	4
	12	13
	+0.051	−0.051
	38%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Turris – Duchene – Granlund
13:4352% CF
L2Jarnkrok – Johansen – Forsberg
13:1246% CF
L3Bonino – Smith – Grimaldi
10:5361% CF
L4Watson – Sissons – Carr
6:5233% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
16:2355% CF
D2Ekholm – Fabbro
14:2844% CF
D3Hamhuis – Weber
11:0959% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Jarnkrok – Johansen – Forsberg
2:10100% CF
PP2Bonino – Turris – Ellis – Smith – Granlund
1:08
PK1FBonino – Sissons
0:55
PK2FJarnkrok – Watson
0:36
PK1DJosi – Ellis
0:55
PK2DHamhuis – Ekholm
0:29

Current NSH line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
17:5241% CF
L2Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
11:2752% CF
L3Johansson – Skinner – Vesey
9:0550% CF
D1McCabe – Ristolainen
8:5448% CF
D2Scandella – Jokiharju
7:5833% CF
D3Montour – Dahlin
5:0457% CF

PP1Johansson – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
1:28
PP2Okposo – Larsson – Skinner – Miller – Ristolainen
0:32
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
2:01
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
1:18

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:57
NSHMatt Duchene (Kyle Turris)wrist0.07 xG
NSH: Turris, Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, FabbroBUF: Scandella, Johansson, Vesey, Asplund, Jokiharju
NSH 1 – 0 BUF
14:33
BUFJimmy Vesey (Rasmus Ristolainen)tip-in0.08 xG
NSH: Turris, Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, FabbroBUF: Johansson, Skinner, Vesey, McCabe, Ristolainen
NSH 1 – 1 BUF
15:32
NSHColton Sissons (Ryan Ellis)tip-in0.07 xG
NSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Watson, SissonsBUF: Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
NSH 2 – 1 BUF

2nd period

4:55
BUFJack Eichel (Sam Reinhart, Colin Miller)snap0.08 xG
NSH: Bonino, Ellis, Smith, Grimaldi, FabbroBUF: McCabe, Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel
NSH 2 – 2 BUF
14:21
BUFJack Eichel (Henri Jokiharju, Rasmus Dahlin)tip-in0.12 xG
NSH: Josi, Watson, Sissons, Carr, FabbroBUF: Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju, Dahlin
NSH 2 – 3 BUF
16:07
NSHRyan Johansen (Filip Forsberg, Calle Jarnkrok)wrist0.16 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Weber, Jarnkrok, Johansen, ForsbergBUF: Miller, Girgensons, Montour, Rodrigues, Asplund
NSH 3 – 3 BUF

3rd period

8:29
BUFVictor Olofsson (Brandon Montour, Sam Reinhart)wrist0.27 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Watson, Sissons, Carr, FabbroBUF: Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
NSH 3 – 4 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matt Duchene C	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.30	1	1	2	19:46	—	—	50	51
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	2	0	17:05	—	—	59	51
Kyle Turris C	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.11	0	0	0	17:02	—	—	55	48
Ryan Johansen C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.24	0	1	0	20:13	—	—	44	52
Filip Forsberg L	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.22	2	0	0	19:12	—	—	42	51
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.26	1	0	0	17:54	—	—	47	56
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	0	1	0	17:20	—	—	66	48
Craig Smith C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	0	0	13:00	—	—	62	39
Rocco Grimaldi R	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.23	0	0	0	12:19	—	—	68	47
Colton Sissons C	L4	1	0	1	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	11:26	—	—	40	27
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	10:16	—	—	40	27
Daniel Carr L	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.09	0	0	0	7:01	—	—	33	14
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	0	7	0.31	1	1	0	26:51	—	—	54	51
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	1	1	0	4	0.19	0	0	0	25:25	—	—	52	47
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	1	0	0	20:56	—	—	46	41
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	0	1	0	19:37	—	—	42	36
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	2	0	0	12:16	—	—	52	43
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	0	0	12:05	—	—	61	50

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	32	28	4	.875	2.68	58:16

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	2	0	2	+2	3	0.31	0	2	0	22:56	—	—	40	45
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	2	2	+2	3	0.01	0	0	0	20:41	—	—	44	43
Victor Olofsson L	L1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.40	0	0	0	20:33	—	—	39	41
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	0	1	0	19:57	—	—	52	68
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.34	2	2	0	18:13	—	—	52	59
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	0	6	0.46	0	2	0	15:18	—	—	50	64
Marcus Johansson L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	0	0	0	16:34	—	—	73	88
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:18	—	—	58	73
Jimmy Vesey L	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.08	1	1	0	14:38	—	—	61	73
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	2	0	0	23:49	—	—	51	58
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	3	1	0	20:34	—	—	48	57
Marco Scandella D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	1	1	2	16:50	—	—	50	61
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	15:09	—	—	41	48
Brandon Montour D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	2	2	2	15:30	—	—	48	56
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:20	—	—	40	47
Colin Miller D	—	0	1	1	-2	2	0.03	2	0	0	11:46	—	—	59	61
Evan Rodrigues C	—	0	0	0	-1	3	0.34	0	0	0	7:26	—	—	47	45
Rasmus Asplund C	—	0	0	0	-2	0	0.15	1	0	0	5:28	—	—	43	45

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	W	39	36	3	.923	2.52	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.