Nashville Predators vs. Buffalo SabresApr 1, 2022

FinalFriday, Apr 1, 2022· KeyBank Center

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	3	0	0	3		NSH	10	5	10	25
BUF	3	1	0	4		BUF	14	9	12	35

: NSH 44BUF 51
: NSH 1.90BUF 3.65
PP goals: NSH 0BUF 1
Hits: NSH 12BUF 20
Blocks: NSH 7BUF 11
PIM: NSH 2BUF 2
: NSH 44%BUF 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Nashville Predators 4–3

Buffalo Sabres beat Nashville Predators 4–3 at home. Tage Thompson (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 0A. BUF's first power-play unit (Okposo, Olofsson, Jokiharju, Krebs and Cozens) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:06 together.

Points
Tage Thompson had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 15:23.Thompson
Points
Peyton Krebs had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 14:05.Krebs
Points
Victor Olofsson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 13:48.Olofsson
Points
Alex Tuch had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 14:28.Tuch
Points
Dylan Cozens had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:35.Cozens
Points
Matt Duchene had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:36.Duchene
Points
Ryan Johansen had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:11.Johansen
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Okposo, Olofsson, Jokiharju, Krebs and Cozens) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:06 together.Okposo Olofsson Jokiharju Krebs Cozens

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 95 of 95 attempts · BUF 51 · NSH 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 21% of the game, BUF 43%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	BUF
	44	52
	1.55	3.17
	1.52	3.05
	7	8
	1	5
	11	13
	+0.008	−0.008
	21%	43%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Johansen – Forsberg
12:3354% CF
L2Sissons – Trenin – Jeannot
6:4833% CF
L3Granlund – Kunin – Tolvanen
5:2463% CF
L4Cousins – McCarron – Tomasino
5:190% CF
D1Josi – Carrier
13:2558% CF
D2Ekholm – Lauzon
12:4130% CF
D3Benning – Davies
9:4056% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Johansen – Granlund – Forsberg
0:59100% CF
PP2Ekholm – Cousins – Jeannot – Tolvanen – Tomasino
0:43
PK1FSissons – Jeannot
1:43
PK2FGranlund – McCarron
1:39
PK1DJosi – Lauzon
1:06
PK2DEkholm – Benning
0:57

Current NSH line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – Eakin – Girgensons
11:1040% CF
L2Hinostroza – Krebs – Cozens
10:5771% CF
L3Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
5:5975% CF
L4Olofsson – Asplund – Mittelstadt
5:3025% CF
D1Fitzgerald – Samuelsson
15:2946% CF
D2Jokiharju – Dahlin
14:3059% CF
D3Pysyk – Bryson
12:4361% CF

PP1Okposo – Olofsson – Jokiharju – Krebs – Cozens
2:06100% CF
PP2Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
1:2167% CF
PK1FOkposo – Eakin
0:40
PK2FGirgensons – Tuch
0:34
PK1DJokiharju – Samuelsson
1:05
PK2DFitzgerald – Dahlin
0:44

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:14
BUFPeyton Krebs (Dylan Cozens, Victor Olofsson)wrist0.03 xG
NSH: Granlund, Cousins, Benning, Davies, TomasinoBUF: Pysyk, Hinostroza, Bryson, Krebs, Cozens
NSH 0 – 1 BUF
4:32
NSHFilip Forsberg (Matt Duchene, Ryan Johansen)slap0.13 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg, CarrierBUF: Okposo, Eakin, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Dahlin
NSH 1 – 1 BUF
6:58
BUFTage Thompson (Jeff Skinner, Alex Tuch)wrist0.19 xG
NSH: Cousins, Sissons, Carrier, Davies, TomasinoBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin
NSH 1 – 2 BUF
13:22
BUFTage Thompson (Alex Tuch)wrist0.07 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, JeannotBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin
NSH 1 – 3 BUF
17:23
NSHMichael McCarron (Matt Benning, Eeli Tolvanen)tip-in0.08 xG
NSH: Benning, McCarron, Davies, Tolvanen, TomasinoBUF: Okposo, Pysyk, Girgensons, Bryson, Cozens
NSH 2 – 3 BUF
19:01
NSHJeremy Lauzon (Matt Duchene, Ryan Johansen)wrist0.08 xG
NSH: Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, LauzonBUF: Skinner, Pysyk, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson
NSH 3 – 3 BUF

2nd period

14:25
BUFVictor OlofssonPP (Dylan Cozens, Peyton Krebs)snap0.06 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Sissons, Benning, JeannotBUF: Okposo, Olofsson, Jokiharju, Krebs, Cozens
NSH 3 – 4 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.31	0	0	0	20:36	—	—	52	53
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	0	1	+2	3	0.27	1	1	0	19:03	—	—	50	52
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.05	0	1	0	17:11	—	—	56	55
Tanner Jeannot L	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.44	1	0	0	16:25	—	—	50	20
Yakov Trenin C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	0	2	14:25	—	—	35	9
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:25	—	—	44	15
Mikael Granlund C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:46	—	—	44	37
Luke Kunin C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	0	0	0	13:14	—	—	50	23
Eeli Tolvanen R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	0	0	0	10:50	—	—	65	54
Michael McCarron C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.08	1	1	0	15:52	—	—	35	17
Nick Cousins C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:28	—	—	29	11
Philip Tomasino R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	1	1	0	10:57	—	—	39	23
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	0	0	26:56	—	—	58	32
Alexandre Carrier D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	20:11	—	—	44	38
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	0	1	0	23:26	—	—	42	33
Jeremy Lauzon D	D2	1	0	1	0	1	0.10	1	2	0	19:35	—	—	30	17
Matt Benning D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.01	4	0	0	14:18	—	—	56	52
Jeremy Davies D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.13	0	0	0	11:55	—	—	50	33

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	35	31	4	.886	2.96	57:55

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.12	3	1	0	18:12	—	—	46	53
Cody Eakin C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	0	0	0	15:06	—	—	46	60
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.22	3	0	0	14:40	—	—	41	51
Dylan Cozens C	L2	0	2	2	0	3	0.33	0	0	0	16:35	—	—	59	50
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	1	0	0	15:28	—	—	62	57
Peyton Krebs C	L2	1	1	2	+1	4	0.31	0	0	0	14:05	—	—	71	61
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	1	1	+1	5	0.33	2	0	0	18:31	—	—	46	70
Tage Thompson C	L3	2	0	2	+1	4	0.42	0	0	2	15:23	—	—	50	77
Alex Tuch R	L3	0	2	2	+1	3	1.33	0	0	0	14:28	—	—	83	94
Victor Olofsson L	L4	1	1	2	0	2	0.10	0	1	0	13:48	—	—	17	44
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	13:37	—	—	64	91
Rasmus Asplund C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	0	0	0	11:18	—	—	67	91
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	4	0	23:45	—	—	48	63
Casey Fitzgerald D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	1	0	19:54	—	—	45	57
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	1	0	0	24:03	—	—	61	76
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	2	2	0	20:35	—	—	56	74
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:57	—	—	55	57
Mark Pysyk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	1	1	0	13:35	—	—	61	60

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	25	22	3	.880	1.90	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.