Nashville Predators vs. Ottawa SenatorsDec 17, 2018

Final / OTMonday, Dec 17, 2018· Canadian Tire Centre

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

3

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

4

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
NSH	0	1	2	0	3		NSH	9	15	10	0	34
OTT	3	0	0	1	4		OTT	11	7	4	1	23

: NSH 61OTT 42
: NSH 1.89OTT 2.33
PP goals: NSH 2OTT 1
Hits: NSH 27OTT 23
Blocks: NSH 11OTT 19
PIM: NSH 7OTT 15
: NSH 53%OTT 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators edge Nashville Predators 4–3 (OT)

Ottawa Senators beat Nashville Predators 4–3 in overtime at home. Roman Josi (NSH) led the scoring with 2G 1A. NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, Ellis, Smith, Johansen and Sissons) scored 2 power-play goals on 8 attempts in 5:12 together.

Points
Roman Josi had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 6 shots in 23:54.Josi
Points
Ryan Johansen had 3 assists (3 points) in 16:55.Johansen
Points
Ryan Dzingel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 20:53.Dzingel
Points
Mark Stone had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 23:48.Stone
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, Ellis, Smith, Johansen and Sissons) scored 2 power-play goals on 8 attempts in 5:12 together.Josi Ellis Smith Johansen Sissons
Usage
Maxime Lajoie (OTT) played 13:31, −5:29 down on his 19:00 season average over 55 games.Lajoie
Usage
Drake Batherson (OTT) played 9:24, −4:14 down on his 13:38 season average over 19 games.Batherson
Usage
Mark Stone (OTT) played 23:48, +3:58 up on his 19:50 season average over 76 games.Stone

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 103 of 103 attempts · OTT 42 · NSH 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 40% of the game, OTT 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	OTT
	59	43
	1.68	2.49
	1.67	2.47
	6	10
	6	4
	22	18
	+0.015	−0.015
	40%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Bonino – Watson – Sissons
9:3557% CF
L2Johansen – Hartman – Fiala
8:2253% CF
L3Grimaldi – Salomaki – Gaudreau
7:5758% CF
L4Turris – Smith – Jarnkrok
7:0770% CF
D1Hamhuis – Ekholm
18:1350% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
13:5358% CF
D3Weber – Irwin
10:0370% CF

PP1Josi – Ellis – Smith – Johansen – Sissons
5:12100% CF
PP2Turris – Ekholm – Jarnkrok – Hartman – Fiala
2:3050% CF
PK1FWatson – Sissons
2:18
PK2FBonino – Jarnkrok
1:57
PK1DJosi – Ellis
2:26
PK2DHamhuis – Ekholm
2:19

Current NSH line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Stone – White – Tkachuk
10:5450% CF
L2Smith – Paajarvi – Dzingel
9:2636% CF
L3Ryan – Boedker – Tierney
5:3050% CF
D1Harpur – Chabot
10:1135% CF
D2Borowiecki – Jaros
9:1039% CF
D3Ceci – Lajoie
8:1131% CF

PP1Ryan – Stone – Dzingel – White – Chabot
2:5250% CF
PP2Boedker – Tierney – Lajoie – Batherson – Tkachuk
1:5567% CF
PK1FSmith – Paajarvi
3:57
PK2FStone – Tierney
3:14
PK1DCeci – Harpur
5:16
PK2DFalk – Lajoie
1:50

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:25
OTTMaxime LajoiePP (Mikkel Boedker, Drake Batherson)wrist0.13 xG
NSH: Ellis, Irwin, Watson, SissonsOTT: Boedker, Tierney, Lajoie, Batherson, Tkachuk
NSH 0 – 1 OTT
5:22
OTTBrady Tkachuk (Mark Stone, Colin White)wrist0.17 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Hartman, FialaOTT: Stone, Harpur, White, Chabot, Tkachuk
NSH 0 – 2 OTT
19:48
OTTRyan Dzingel (Mark Stone)wrist0.11 xG
NSH: Turris, Josi, Ellis, Smith, FialaOTT: Falk, Stone, Dzingel, Harpur, Tkachuk
NSH 0 – 3 OTT

2nd period

5:37
NSHRoman JosiPP (Ryan Ellis, Ryan Johansen)wrist0.13 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Smith, Johansen, SissonsOTT: Stone, Ceci, Tierney, Harpur
NSH 1 – 3 OTT

3rd period

0:46
NSHCraig SmithPP (Roman Josi, Ryan Johansen)wrist0.08 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Smith, Johansen, SissonsOTT: Stone, Ceci, Tierney, Harpur
NSH 2 – 3 OTT
6:56
NSHRoman Josi (Kevin Fiala, Ryan Johansen)wrist0.01 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Hartman, FialaOTT: Paajarvi, Dzingel, Tierney, Harpur, Chabot
NSH 3 – 3 OTT

OT period

0:21
OTTThomas Chabot (Ryan Dzingel)snap0.11 xG
NSH: Josi, Johansen, HartmanOTT: Dzingel, Tierney, Chabot
NSH 3 – 4 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Colton Sissons C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.37	0	1	0	20:03	—	—	52	42
Austin Watson L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.36	7	2	0	15:55	—	—	54	43
Nick Bonino C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	1	0	14:18	—	—	50	71
Ryan Johansen C	L2	0	3	3	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:55	—	—	47	2
Kevin Fiala L	L2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:14	—	—	55	9
Ryan Hartman R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	0	0	15:58	—	—	58	8
Miikka Salomaki R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	9:49	—	—	58	28
Frederick Gaudreau C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:47	—	—	62	31
Rocco Grimaldi R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	8:33	—	—	62	31
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	0	0	0	18:34	—	—	63	69
Craig Smith C	L4	1	0	1	-1	7	0.29	0	0	0	16:39	—	—	65	57
Kyle Turris C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	5	16:07	—	—	68	65
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	3	0	24:54	—	—	54	29
Dan Hamhuis D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	1	0	0	21:58	—	—	47	21
Roman Josi D	D2	2	1	3	-2	6	0.37	1	2	2	23:54	—	—	56	66
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.12	0	1	0	23:07	—	—	58	66
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	2	1	0	11:55	—	—	73	62
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	4	0	0	11:19	—	—	67	34

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros	O	12	11	1	.917	1.46	40:21
Pekka Rinne(start)	—	11	8	3	.727	0.88	19:42

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Stone R	L1	0	2	2	+2	1	0.02	0	1	2	23:48	—	—	49	45
Colin White C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.28	0	0	0	17:24	—	—	54	40
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	1	0	1	+2	1	0.17	2	0	0	15:36	—	—	52	34
Ryan Dzingel C	L2	1	1	2	+1	1	0.11	1	0	2	20:53	—	—	40	82
Zack Smith C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	1	1	0	16:23	—	—	37	66
Magnus Paajarvi L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	0	0	0	14:26	—	—	35	54
Chris Tierney C	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.96	0	0	0	21:35	—	—	39	73
Mikkel Boedker L	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	16:24	—	—	42	68
Bobby Ryan R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	5	11:31	—	—	39	10
Thomas Chabot D	D1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.12	0	1	0	24:37	—	—	44	54
Ben Harpur D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	3	3	0	18:18	—	—	44	86
Christian Jaros D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	11:04	—	—	39	65
Mark Borowiecki D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	2	0	10:47	—	—	44	65
Cody Ceci D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	4	1	0	25:10	—	—	47	55
Maxime Lajoie D	D3	1	0	1	0	2	0.15	1	5	2	13:31	—	—	32	32
Justin Falk D	—	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	4	12:16	—	—	41	46
Tom Pyatt L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	10:09	—	—	33	83
Drake Batherson R	—	0	1	1	0	2	0.16	0	1	0	9:24	—	—	39	67

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	34	31	3	.912	1.89	60:10

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.