Nashville Predators vs. Ottawa SenatorsDec 19, 2019

Final / OTThursday, Dec 19, 2019· Canadian Tire Centre

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

4

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

5

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
NSH	1	0	3	0	4		NSH	17	3	17	0	37
OTT	0	3	1	1	5		OTT	10	10	3	1	24

: NSH 69OTT 65
: NSH 2.83OTT 2.72
PP goals: NSH 1OTT 2
Hits: NSH 18OTT 26
Blocks: NSH 23OTT 21
PIM: NSH 8OTT 4
: NSH 55%OTT 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators edge Nashville Predators 5–4 (OT)

Ottawa Senators beat Nashville Predators 5–4 in overtime at home. Brady Tkachuk (OTT) led the scoring with 1G 1A. OTT's first power-play unit (Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Brown and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:35 together.

Points
Anthony Duclair had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:18.Duclair
Points
Brady Tkachuk had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:46.Tkachuk
Points
Jean-Gabriel Pageau had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 22:32.Pageau
Points
Matt Duchene had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:35.Duchene
Points
Ryan Ellis had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 27:35.Ellis
PP1
OTT's first power-play unit (Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Brown and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:35 together.Pageau Duclair Chabot Brown Tkachuk
Usage
Thomas Chabot (OTT) played 33:49, +7:55 up on his 25:54 season average over 70 games.Chabot
Usage
Tyler Ennis (OTT) played 8:21, −6:27 down on his 14:48 season average over 69 games.Ennis

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 134 of 134 attempts · OTT 65 · NSH 69

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 33% of the game, OTT 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	OTT
	78	64
	3.19	2.38
	3.05	2.33
	16	12
	4	5
	24	23
	+0.054	−0.054
	33%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Turris – Smith – Blackwell
12:1168% CF
L2Jarnkrok – Johansen – Trenin
10:4543% CF
L3Duchene – Grimaldi – Forsberg
10:3656% CF
L4Bonino – Watson – Sissons
9:4135% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
22:4159% CF
D2Ekholm – Fabbro
18:5659% CF
D3Hamhuis – Irwin
9:5755% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Ellis – Jarnkrok – Johansen
0:28100% CF
PP2Ekholm – Jarnkrok – Johansen – Trenin – Fabbro
0:20
PK1FBonino – Sissons
1:57
PK2FWatson – Johansen
0:33
PK1DEllis – Ekholm
0:59
PK2DHamhuis – Fabbro
0:57

Current NSH line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Pageau – Brown – Tkachuk
15:4865% CF
L2Tierney – Duclair – Paul
13:1243% CF
L3White – Beaudin – Brown
7:2842% CF
L4Anisimov – Ennis – Namestnikov
5:3923% CF
D1Hainsey – Chabot
21:3148% CF
D2Borowiecki – Brannstrom
14:2242% CF
D3Goloubef – Englund
6:5631% CF

PP1Pageau – Duclair – Chabot – Brown – Tkachuk
1:35100% CF
PP2Anisimov – Ennis – Namestnikov – White – Brannstrom
1:34100% CF
PK1FTierney – Brown
0:47
PK1DHainsey – Goloubef
0:27

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

11:16
NSHCraig Smith (Kyle Turris)backhand0.24 xG
NSH: Hamhuis, Turris, Smith, Irwin, BlackwellOTT: Anisimov, Ennis, Borowiecki, Namestnikov, Brannstrom
NSH 1 – 0 OTT

2nd period

3:02
OTTColin White (Chris Tierney, Mark Borowiecki)snap0.14 xG
NSH: Turris, Ekholm, Smith, FabbroOTT: Goloubef, Borowiecki, Tierney, White
NSH 1 – 1 OTT
3:52
OTTVladislav NamestnikovSH (Jean-Gabriel Pageau)backhand0.10 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Jarnkrok, SissonsOTT: Hainsey, Borowiecki, Pageau, Namestnikov
NSH 1 – 2 OTT
18:41
OTTArtem Anisimov (Tyler Ennis, Ron Hainsey)wrist0.15 xG
NSH: Bonino, Ekholm, Watson, Sissons, FabbroOTT: Hainsey, Anisimov, Ennis, Chabot, Brown
NSH 1 – 3 OTT

3rd period

1:20
OTTBrady TkachukPP (Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Anthony Duclair)snap0.09 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Watson, JohansenOTT: Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Brown, Tkachuk
NSH 1 – 4 OTT
1:35
NSHRocco Grimaldi (Matt Duchene, Ryan Ellis)wrist0.13 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Grimaldi, ForsbergOTT: Hainsey, Pageau, Brown, Chabot, Tkachuk
NSH 2 – 4 OTT
9:39
NSHRyan JohansenPP (Ryan Ellis, Matt Duchene)deflected0.11 xG
NSH: Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Jarnkrok, JohansenOTT: Hainsey, Goloubef, Tierney, Brown
NSH 3 – 4 OTT
13:07
NSHRoman Josibackhand0.07 xG
NSH: Turris, Josi, Ellis, Smith, BlackwellOTT: Anisimov, Ennis, Goloubef, Namestnikov, Englund
NSH 4 – 4 OTT

OT period

2:40
OTTAnthony DuclairPP (Thomas Chabot, Brady Tkachuk)slap0.18 xG
NSH: Bonino, Josi, EllisOTT: Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Tkachuk
NSH 4 – 5 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Turris C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.16	1	0	0	16:06	—	—	71	80
Craig Smith C	L1	1	0	1	+1	7	0.85	0	0	0	15:46	—	—	73	83
Colin Blackwell C	L1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.19	3	0	2	14:14	—	—	65	74
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.11	0	1	2	15:46	—	—	52	51
Ryan Johansen C	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.11	0	1	0	15:23	—	—	45	40
Yakov Trenin C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	5	0	0	13:24	—	—	41	46
Matt Duchene C	L3	0	2	2	0	1	0.09	0	1	0	15:35	—	—	52	47
Filip Forsberg L	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	0	1	0	14:49	—	—	64	51
Rocco Grimaldi R	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.23	1	1	0	13:36	—	—	46	36
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.02	1	3	2	16:13	—	—	48	43
Nick Bonino C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	0	0	0	16:01	—	—	48	45
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	2	0	0	12:37	—	—	40	33
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	2	2	+1	2	0.14	1	5	0	27:35	—	—	58	58
Roman Josi D	D1	1	0	1	+1	6	0.21	1	3	2	27:18	—	—	56	59
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.04	1	2	0	24:02	—	—	51	54
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	1	1	0	21:21	—	—	60	56
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	3	0	12:42	—	—	50	57
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	1	1	0	10:37	—	—	55	61

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	O	24	19	5	.792	2.72	62:40

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	0	2	2	0	1	0.22	1	0	0	22:32	—	—	59	64
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	1	1	2	-1	2	0.32	6	0	0	21:46	—	—	68	70
Connor Brown R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.40	0	0	0	21:28	—	—	65	71
Anthony Duclair L	L2	1	1	2	0	2	0.37	2	2	0	19:18	—	—	39	39
Chris Tierney C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.31	0	0	0	19:04	—	—	36	41
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.23	2	2	0	18:09	—	—	38	43
Colin White C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.22	0	0	0	13:45	—	—	42	16
J.C. Beaudin C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	4	1	0	12:00	—	—	48	21
Logan Brown C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	11:59	—	—	44	32
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L4	1	0	1	-1	1	0.11	1	0	0	9:52	—	—	29	13
Artem Anisimov C	L4	1	0	1	-1	2	0.33	0	2	0	8:46	—	—	30	26
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	1	1	-1	1	0.03	0	1	0	8:21	—	—	31	23
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.07	1	3	2	33:49	—	—	49	42
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.03	0	2	0	25:03	—	—	45	39
Erik Brannstrom D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	3	0	21:48	—	—	49	43
Mark Borowiecki D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	6	2	2	20:01	—	—	42	42
Cody Goloubef D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:52	—	—	42	50
Andreas Englund D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	2	0	7:17	—	—	29	47

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Marcus Hogberg(start)	W	37	33	4	.892	2.83	61:47

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.