Nashville Predators vs. Dallas StarsNov 10, 2018

Final / OTSaturday, Nov 10, 2018· American Airlines Center

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

5

@

home

Dallas StarsDAL

4

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
NSH	0	1	3	1	5		NSH	14	8	10	2	34
DAL	1	2	1	0	4		DAL	4	8	9	3	24

: NSH 61DAL 40
: NSH 2.58DAL 2.46
PP goals: NSH 0DAL 1
Hits: NSH 13DAL 19
Blocks: NSH 9DAL 11
PIM: NSH 6DAL 10
: NSH 43%DAL 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Dallas Stars 5–4 (OT)

Nashville Predators beat Dallas Stars 5–4 in overtime at DAL. Roman Josi (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. NSH scored 5 goals on 2.58 expected goals (61 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Roman Josi had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 27:16.Josi
Points
Ryan Johansen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 21:03.Johansen
Luck
NSH scored 5 goals on 2.58 expected goals (61 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Julius Honka (DAL) played 17:49, +4:15 up on his 13:34 season average over 28 games.Honka
Luck
DAL scored 4 goals on 2.46 expected goals (40 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Miro Heiskanen (DAL) played 29:26, +6:24 up on his 23:02 season average over 81 games.Heiskanen
Usage
Anthony Bitetto (NSH) played 8:17, −3:45 down on his 12:02 season average over 35 games.Bitetto
Usage
Jason Spezza (DAL) played 16:17, +3:03 up on his 13:14 season average over 75 games.Spezza

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)DAL attacks right (top on phones) →

DAL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 101 of 101 attempts · DAL 40 · NSH 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DAL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DAL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 32% of the game, DAL 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DAL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	DAL
	54	36
	1.61	1.81
	1.54	1.81
	7	4
	4	5
	17	17
	−0.062	+0.062
	32%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
12:2665% CF
L2Turris – Smith – Fiala
10:0363% CF
L3Bonino – Sissons – Hartman
9:4457% CF
L4Grimaldi – Salomaki – Gaudreau
5:3989% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
18:2765% CF
D2Subban – Ekholm
18:2456% CF
D3Weber – Bitetto
7:3354% CF

PP1Turris – Josi – Ellis – Sissons – Fiala
3:26100% CF
PP2Subban – Smith – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
2:47100% CF
PK1FBonino – Hartman
0:29
PK2FJohansen – Forsberg
0:22
PK1DJosi – Ellis
1:25
PK2DWeber – Ekholm
0:32

Current NSH line combinations →

Dallas Stars

L1Comeau – Pitlick – Faksa
10:5938% CF
L2Spezza – Benn – Gurianov
7:5136% CF
L3Seguin – Shore – Nichushkin
5:3356% CF
L4Smith – Janmark – Dickinson
3:3614% CF
D1Lindell – Gleason
14:1042% CF
D2Hanley – Heiskanen
13:4739% CF
D3Heatherington – Honka
8:1143% CF

PP1Spezza – Benn – Seguin – Shore – Heiskanen
1:22
PP2Spezza – Seguin – Lindell – Nichushkin – Gurianov
0:19100% CF
PK1FComeau – Seguin
1:22
PK2FPitlick – Faksa
1:12
PK1DLindell – Honka
2:47
PK2DHanley – Heiskanen
1:23

Current DAL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

13:05
DALTyler Pitlick (Radek Faksa)wrist0.06 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonDAL: Comeau, Pitlick, Faksa, Heatherington, Honka
NSH 0 – 1 DAL

2nd period

0:12
NSHRyan Hartmanwrist0.04 xG
NSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Sissons, HartmanDAL: Spezza, Benn, Lindell, Honka, Gurianov
NSH 1 – 1 DAL
6:47
DALTyler Seguin (Julius Honka, Valeri Nichushkin)wrist0.03 xG
NSH: Turris, Josi, Ellis, Grimaldi, GaudreauDAL: Seguin, Smith, Heatherington, Nichushkin, Honka
NSH 1 – 2 DAL
14:32
DALJason SpezzaPPslap0.06 xG
NSH: Weber, Ekholm, Salomaki, SissonsDAL: Spezza, Seguin, Lindell, Nichushkin, Gurianov
NSH 1 – 3 DAL

3rd period

0:17
NSHRyan Johansen (Roman Josi, Viktor Arvidsson)tip-in0.05 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonDAL: Comeau, Pitlick, Faksa, Lindell, Honka
NSH 2 – 3 DAL
1:54
NSHYannick Weber (Kevin Fiala, Anthony Bitetto)wrist0.02 xG
NSH: Turris, Weber, Smith, Bitetto, FialaDAL: Lindell, Smith, Janmark, Dickinson, Gleason
NSH 3 – 3 DAL
8:58
DALDenis Gurianov (Ben Gleason, Jamie Benn)deflected0.08 xG
NSH: Subban, Turris, Ekholm, Smith, FialaDAL: Spezza, Benn, Lindell, Gurianov, Gleason
NSH 3 – 4 DAL
19:17
NSHRoman Josi (Ryan Johansen, Filip Forsberg)wrist0.03 xG
NSH: Subban, Josi, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg, SissonsDAL: Seguin, Faksa, Hanley, Heiskanen
NSH 4 – 4 DAL

OT period

2:27
NSHMattias Ekholm (Kyle Turris, P.K. Subban)wrist0.07 xG
NSH: Subban, Turris, Ekholm, JohansenDAL: Pitlick, Dickinson, Gleason, Heiskanen
NSH 5 – 4 DAL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Johansen C	L1	1	1	2	+1	1	0.05	0	0	0	21:03	—	—	70	46
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	19:00	—	—	63	38
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.38	0	0	2	18:32	—	—	56	38
Kyle Turris C	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.12	1	0	0	18:04	—	—	58	32
Kevin Fiala L	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.48	0	0	0	17:09	—	—	68	41
Craig Smith C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	1	0	0	15:18	—	—	58	32
Colton Sissons C	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.38	0	1	0	20:18	—	—	52	50
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	0	0	0	14:40	—	—	56	42
Ryan Hartman R	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.05	0	0	0	14:31	—	—	50	34
Miikka Salomaki R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	2	1	0	9:16	—	—	75	100
Rocco Grimaldi R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	0	1	0	7:46	—	—	67	86
Frederick Gaudreau C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.28	0	1	0	7:32	—	—	57	61
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	1	0	27:55	—	—	65	45
Roman Josi D	D1	1	1	2	0	3	0.09	4	1	0	27:16	—	—	65	45
P.K. Subban D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.02	0	1	2	25:43	—	—	61	44
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	1	0	1	0	1	0.07	2	1	2	23:12	—	—	54	43
Yannick Weber D	D3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.02	2	0	0	10:16	—	—	57	65
Anthony Bitetto D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	1	1	0	8:17	—	—	50	62

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	W	24	20	4	.833	2.46	61:00

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Blake Comeau L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	0	0	17:31	—	—	42	46
Radek Faksa C	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	16:36	—	—	32	43
Tyler Pitlick C	L1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.06	3	0	0	16:09	—	—	39	45
Jamie Benn L	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.28	4	0	2	18:18	—	—	44	36
Jason Spezza C	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.18	1	0	0	16:17	—	—	40	34
Denis Gurianov R	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.13	1	0	0	11:56	—	—	40	31
Tyler Seguin C	L3	1	0	1	+1	5	0.59	1	1	0	22:33	—	—	54	78
Devin Shore C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	16:26	—	—	35	73
Valeri Nichushkin R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.13	1	0	0	13:29	—	—	58	86
Jason Dickinson C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	3	2	14:21	—	—	26	30
Mattias Janmark C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	0	2	10:29	—	—	29	24
Gemel Smith C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	5:11	—	—	25	22
Esa Lindell D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.06	2	2	2	26:42	—	—	37	32
Ben Gleason D	D1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.10	1	0	0	18:13	—	—	44	35
Miro Heiskanen D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	0	2	2	29:26	—	—	33	75
Joel Hanley D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	0	18:56	—	—	39	65
Julius Honka D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	17:49	—	—	40	44
Dillon Heatherington D	D3	0	0	0	+2	2	0.48	0	0	0	10:30	—	—	50	62

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ben Bishop(start)	O	34	29	5	.853	2.58	62:27

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.