Nashville Predators vs. Minnesota WildMar 24, 2018

FinalSaturday, Mar 24, 2018· Xcel Energy Center

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

1

@

home

Minnesota WildMIN

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	1	0	0	1		NSH	9	5	6	20
MIN	0	2	2	4		MIN	6	14	10	30

: NSH 51MIN 48
: NSH 2.04MIN 2.24
PP goals: NSH 0MIN 0
Hits: NSH 18MIN 17
Blocks: NSH 12MIN 18
PIM: NSH 8MIN 6
: NSH 53%MIN 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Minnesota Wild beat Nashville Predators 4–1

Minnesota Wild beat Nashville Predators 4–1 at home. Jason Zucker (MIN) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Yannick Weber (NSH) played 1:40, −10:37 down on his 12:17 season average over 46 games.

Points
Jason Zucker had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 15:55.Zucker
Usage
Yannick Weber (NSH) played 1:40, −10:37 down on his 12:17 season average over 46 games.Weber
New line
New look for NSH: Hartnell–Bonino–Hartman skated 8:28 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (22.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hartnell Bonino Hartman
Luck
MIN scored 4 goals on 2.24 expected goals (48 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Austin Watson (NSH) played 8:23, −4:00 down on his 12:23 season average over 75 games.Watson
Usage
Mathew Dumba (MIN) played 27:30, +3:44 up on his 23:46 season average over 81 games.Dumba
Usage
Nick Seeler (MIN) played 11:31, −3:10 down on his 14:41 season average over 21 games.Seeler
PP1
MIN's PP1 (Koivu, Suter, Parise, Granlund and Dumba) went scoreless in 4:22 of 5v4 time with 2 attempts.Koivu Suter Parise Granlund Dumba

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)MIN attacks right (top on phones) →

MIN
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 99 of 99 attempts · MIN 48 · NSH 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

MIN
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

MIN pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 33% of the game, MIN 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

MIN

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	MIN
	52	42
	2.22	1.47
	2.19	1.36
	11	7
	1	8
	11	7
	+0.035	−0.035
	33%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Turris – Smith – Fiala
10:4268% CF
L2Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
9:4456% CF
L3Hartnell – Bonino – Hartman
8:2822% CF
L4Watson – Salomaki – Sissons
4:4760% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
11:5350% CF
D2Subban – Ekholm
10:5661% CF

PP1Subban – Smith – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
2:13100% CF
PP2Turris – Josi – Ellis – Sissons – Fiala
1:2750% CF
PK1FBonino – Hartman
2:07
PK2FWatson – Sissons
2:04
PK1DSubban – Ekholm
3:05
PK2DJosi – Ellis
2:55

Current NSH line combinations →

Minnesota Wild

L1Winnik – Foligno – Eriksson Ek
9:3467% CF
L2Koivu – Parise – Coyle
9:2340% CF
L3Staal – Zucker – Granlund
7:5327% CF
L4Cullen – Ennis – Niederreiter
6:5844% CF
D1Suter – Dumba
15:5141% CF
D2Brodin – Murphy
15:2647% CF
D3Prosser – Seeler
10:4847% CF

PP1Koivu – Suter – Parise – Granlund – Dumba
4:22100% CF
PP2Staal – Suter – Zucker – Niederreiter – Dumba
2:2980% CF
PK1FWinnik – Eriksson Ek
1:52
PK2FKoivu – Granlund
1:37
PK1DSuter – Dumba
2:15
PK2DProsser – Brodin
1:37

Current MIN line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

8:37
NSHRyan Johansen (P.K. Subban, Filip Forsberg)wrist0.08 xG
NSH: Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonMIN: Staal, Zucker, Granlund, Brodin, Murphy
NSH 1 – 0 MIN

2nd period

2:50
MINJoel Eriksson Ek (Marcus Foligno, Daniel Winnik)wrist0.15 xG
NSH: Hartnell, Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, HartmanMIN: Winnik, Foligno, Prosser, Seeler, Eriksson Ek
NSH 1 – 1 MIN
13:45
MINNino Niederreiter (Jason Zucker, Ryan Murphy)wrist0.22 xG
NSH: Josi, Ellis, Watson, Johansen, SissonsMIN: Staal, Zucker, Niederreiter, Brodin, Murphy
NSH 1 – 2 MIN

3rd period

1:29
MINJason Zucker (Eric Staal)wrist0.02 xG
NSH: Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, ArvidssonMIN: Staal, Zucker, Coyle, Brodin, Murphy
NSH 1 – 3 MIN
18:19
MINZach PariseEN (Mikael Granlund)backhand0.59 xG
NSH: Bonino, Turris, Josi, Ellis, Smith, SissonsMIN: Koivu, Parise, Prosser, Granlund, Seeler
NSH 1 – 4 MIN

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Turris C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	2	0	0	17:04	—	—	67	57
Craig Smith C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	0	1	0	15:48	—	—	70	60
Kevin Fiala L	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.14	2	0	0	14:07	—	—	71	66
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.57	0	0	0	20:24	—	—	55	86
Ryan Johansen C	L2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.13	0	3	2	19:21	—	—	46	58
Filip Forsberg L	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.12	0	1	2	15:57	—	—	50	86
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.15	0	0	0	13:37	—	—	36	40
Ryan Hartman R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.06	1	0	0	12:34	—	—	39	29
Scott Hartnell L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	11:19	—	—	39	41
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.16	1	1	0	14:22	—	—	53	50
Miikka Salomaki R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	2	1	0	9:19	—	—	60	78
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.34	5	0	0	8:23	—	—	47	52
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.11	0	1	0	25:55	—	—	59	65
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.03	1	1	2	25:51	—	—	50	32
P.K. Subban D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.00	0	0	0	26:10	—	—	62	62
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	3	0	25:04	—	—	54	72
Anthony Bitetto D	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	13:45	—	—	44	27
Yannick Weber D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	1:40	—	—	—	—

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	L	29	26	3	.897	1.65	59:20

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Daniel Winnik L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	0	1	0	13:45	—	—	69	83
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.25	1	1	0	13:28	—	—	64	81
Marcus Foligno L	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:32	—	—	71	87
Mikko Koivu C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	2	0	0	19:33	—	—	41	41
Zach Parise L	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.61	2	3	0	16:47	—	—	38	39
Charlie Coyle C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	0	0	2	15:45	—	—	46	68
Eric Staal C	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.23	0	0	0	17:46	—	—	39	32
Mikael Granlund C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.08	0	2	0	17:23	—	—	26	7
Jason Zucker L	L3	1	1	2	+1	4	0.33	0	0	0	15:55	—	—	40	32
Nino Niederreiter R	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.23	1	0	0	12:48	—	—	50	68
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	9:58	—	—	39	32
Matt Cullen C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	9:13	—	—	46	36
Mathew Dumba D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	4	1	0	27:30	—	—	42	6
Ryan Suter D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	4	0	26:35	—	—	41	5
Jonas Brodin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	2	0	20:54	—	—	44	48
Ryan Murphy D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.13	0	1	0	19:00	—	—	49	51
Nate Prosser D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.01	1	1	0	14:37	—	—	44	62
Nick Seeler D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.02	2	1	2	11:31	—	—	47	75

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devan Dubnyk(start)	W	20	19	1	.950	2.04	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.