Detroit Red Wings vs. Colorado AvalancheMar 18, 2018

FinalSunday, Mar 18, 2018· Pepsi Center

away

Detroit Red WingsDET

1

@

home

Colorado AvalancheCOL

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
DET	0	1	0	1		DET	5	16	17	38
COL	2	1	2	5		COL	12	8	11	31

: DET 65COL 55
: DET 3.28COL 2.60
PP goals: DET 0COL 1
Hits: DET 19COL 19
Blocks: DET 14COL 17
PIM: DET 18COL 6
: DET 59%COL 41%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche rout Detroit Red Wings 5–1

Colorado Avalanche beat Detroit Red Wings 5–1 at home. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Semyon Varlamov (COL) faced 38 shots and stopped 37 (.974), +7 against a season average of 31.3; the win.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 11 shots in 18:05.MacKinnon
Points
Gabriel Landeskog had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 18:21.Landeskog
Points
Blake Comeau had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:31.Comeau
Points
Mikko Rantanen had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:54.Rantanen
Goalie
Semyon Varlamov (COL) faced 38 shots and stopped 37 (.974), +7 against a season average of 31.3; the win.Varlamov
Luck
COL scored 5 goals on 2.60 expected goals (55 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Luck
DET scored 1 goal on 3.28 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for COL: Bourque–Kerfoot–Kamenev skated 6:24 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (12.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bourque Kerfoot Kamenev

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DET attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
DET
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · COL 55 · DET 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
DET
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
DET pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DET 31% of the game, COL 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

DET

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DET	COL
	61	54
	2.57	2.22
	2.40	2.21
	8	13
	5	6
	12	8
	+0.053	−0.053
	31%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Detroit Red Wings

L1Zetterberg – Nyquist – Bertuzzi
9:5248% CF
L2Helm – Mantha – Larkin
7:3963% CF
L3Frk – Athanasiou – Svechnikov
2:5160% CF
L4Nielsen – Abdelkader – Glendening
2:430% CF
D1Green – DeKeyser
15:3853% CF
D2Kronwall – Daley
7:3325% CF
D3Ericsson – Jensen
6:1367% CF

PP1Zetterberg – Kronwall – Abdelkader – Nyquist – Bertuzzi
1:59100% CF
PP2Nielsen – Green – Frk – Mantha – Larkin
1:53100% CF
PK1FGlendening – Larkin
1:50
PK2FNielsen – Helm
1:28
PK1DDaley – DeKeyser
2:31
PK2DEricsson – Jensen
2:30

Current DET line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
11:5763% CF
L2Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
10:1253% CF
L3Andrighetto – Compher – Jost
9:4863% CF
L4Bourque – Kerfoot – Kamenev
6:2413% CF
D1Barrie – Zadorov
14:0531% CF
D2Warsofsky – Nemeth
5:5150% CF
D3Johnson – Girard
5:1463% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Jost
3:0767% CF
PP2Soderberg – Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Compher – Girard
2:1750% CF
PK1FComeau – Soderberg
2:33
PK2FBourque – Nieto
1:27
PK1DJohnson – Nemeth
1:36
PK2DWarsofsky – Barrie
0:55

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:58
COLGabriel Landeskog (Nathan MacKinnon, Nikita Zadorov)tip-in0.05 xG
DET: Zetterberg, Daley, Ericsson, Nyquist, BertuzziCOL: Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen
DET 0 – 1 COL
14:38
COLBlake Comeau (Carl Soderberg, Matt Nieto)tip-in0.06 xG
DET: Zetterberg, Daley, Ericsson, Helm, NyquistCOL: Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Nieto, Zadorov
DET 0 – 2 COL

2nd period

11:14
COLNathan MacKinnon (Gabriel Landeskog, Mikko Rantanen)backhand0.08 xG
DET: Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, DeKeyser, BertuzziCOL: Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen
DET 0 – 3 COL
12:38
DETJustin Abdelkader (Martin Frk, Luke Glendening)wrist0.11 xG
DET: Kronwall, Daley, Abdelkader, Glendening, FrkCOL: Bourque, Nemeth, Kerfoot, Kamenev, Girard
DET 1 – 3 COL

3rd period

7:09
COLNathan MacKinnon (Blake Comeau, Gabriel Landeskog)wrap-around0.04 xG
DET: Zetterberg, Ericsson, Nyquist, Jensen, BertuzziCOL: Comeau, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov
DET 1 – 4 COL
16:26
COLTyson BarriePP (Samuel Girard, Mikko Rantanen)slap0.14 xG
DET: Nielsen, Ericsson, JensenCOL: Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard
DET 1 – 5 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	0	0	0	-4	2	0.21	0	0	0	14:50	—	—	53	56
Henrik Zetterberg C	L1	0	0	0	-4	3	0.51	1	1	0	14:32	—	—	48	54
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L1	0	0	0	-3	1	0.19	0	2	0	14:01	—	—	52	58
Dylan Larkin C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	2	0	0	22:19	—	—	56	65
Darren Helm C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	1	1	2	18:56	—	—	52	34
Anthony Mantha R	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.29	2	0	2	17:36	—	—	58	68
Martin Frk R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	1	0	0	11:55	—	—	68	62
Andreas Athanasiou C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	0	0	10:23	—	—	50	33
Evgeny Svechnikov L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.44	0	0	0	8:43	—	—	46	71
Luke Glendening C	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.30	0	2	0	15:05	—	—	52	41
Frans Nielsen C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.29	1	0	0	14:35	—	—	55	31
Justin Abdelkader L	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.35	2	0	12	13:34	—	—	43	35
Danny DeKeyser D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	2	0	22:39	—	—	49	51
Mike Green D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	3	2	2	21:50	—	—	62	55
Niklas Kronwall D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	0	1	0	20:15	—	—	56	64
Trevor Daley D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.03	0	0	0	18:37	—	—	33	31
Nick Jensen D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	1	3	0	18:11	—	—	54	59
Jonathan Ericsson D	D3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.00	1	0	0	15:09	—	—	59	56

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jared Coreau(start)	L	31	26	5	.839	2.60	60:00

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	1	2	3	+3	2	0.15	2	0	0	18:21	—	—	58	66
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	2	1	3	+3	11	0.94	0	0	0	18:05	—	—	55	59
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.26	1	1	0	17:54	—	—	55	66
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.12	0	2	0	19:22	—	—	43	48
Blake Comeau L	L2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.07	0	0	0	17:31	—	—	42	32
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.17	1	1	0	14:29	—	—	45	39
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	0	0	15:47	—	—	45	35
Sven Andrighetto R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	1	1	2	14:47	—	—	63	82
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	2	0	0	13:57	—	—	59	74
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:18	—	—	20	18
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	0	0	0	10:17	—	—	20	18
Vladislav Kamenev C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:03	—	—	15	2
Tyson Barrie D	D1	1	0	1	+3	3	0.24	0	2	0	25:29	—	—	49	42
Nikita Zadorov D	D1	0	1	1	+4	0	0.07	7	2	2	21:49	—	—	32	25
Patrik Nemeth D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	4	2	19:08	—	—	45	48
David Warsofsky D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	0	13:29	—	—	41	52
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.07	2	0	0	19:52	—	—	70	67
Samuel Girard D	D3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.03	0	2	0	15:14	—	—	48	51

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	W	38	37	1	.974	3.28	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.