Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay LightningFeb 3, 2021

FinalWednesday, Feb 3, 2021· Amalie Arena

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
DET	0	1	0	1		DET	7	7	2	16
TBL	3	2	0	5		TBL	9	10	8	27

: DET 37TBL 50
: DET 1.40TBL 2.33
PP goals: DET 0TBL 0
Hits: DET 15TBL 18
Blocks: DET 12TBL 10
PIM: DET 8TBL 8
: DET 54%TBL 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning rout Detroit Red Wings 5–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Detroit Red Wings 5–1 at home. Victor Hedman (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for DET: Ryan–Larkin–Fabbri skated 9:53 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Victor Hedman had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:32.Hedman
Points
Blake Coleman had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:28.Coleman
New line
New look for DET: Ryan–Larkin–Fabbri skated 9:53 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ryan Larkin Fabbri
Luck
TBL scored 5 goals on 2.33 expected goals (50 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for DET: Filppula–Nielsen–Gagner skated 7:56 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Filppula Nielsen Gagner
New line
New look for DET: Helm–Glendening–Erne skated 7:54 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (84.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Helm Glendening Erne
Usage
Anthony Mantha (DET) played 14:29, −3:42 down on his 18:11 season average over 55 games.Mantha
Usage
Victor Hedman (TBL) played 21:32, −3:35 down on his 25:07 season average over 53 games.Hedman

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DET attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
DET
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 87 of 87 attempts · TBL 50 · DET 37

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
DET
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
DET pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DET 23% of the game, TBL 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

DET

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DET	TBL
	40	50
	1.25	2.41
	1.22	2.29
	4	11
	2	5
	5	5
	+0.027	−0.027
	23%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Detroit Red Wings

L1Ryan – Larkin – Fabbri
9:5340% CF
L2Namestnikov – Mantha – Hirose
8:3945% CF
L3Filppula – Nielsen – Gagner
7:5657% CF
L4Helm – Glendening – Erne
7:5485% CF
D1Merrill – Djoos
13:0140% CF
D2Nemeth – Hronek
12:5337% CF
D3Staal – Stecher
12:2452% CF

PP1Ryan – Djoos – Mantha – Larkin – Hirose
2:59100% CF
PP2Gagner – Merrill – Namestnikov – Fabbri – Hronek
2:2750% CF
PK1FHelm – Glendening
3:41
PK2FNielsen – Namestnikov
1:48
PK1DStaal – Nemeth
2:45
PK2DMerrill – Stecher
1:20

Current DET line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Palat – Point
9:3750% CF
L2Killorn – Johnson – Cirelli
8:2064% CF
L3Coleman – Goodrow – Gourde
7:3678% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
10:5472% CF
D2Sergachev – Foote
7:3938% CF
D3Hedman – Rutta
7:1063% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Point
3:22100% CF
PP2Maroon – Johnson – Gourde – Cirelli – Sergachev
2:15
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
3:17
PK2FColeman – Goodrow
1:44
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
3:52
PK2DHedman – Rutta
2:11

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:34
TBLVictor Hedman (Tyler Johnson)wrist0.10 xG
DET: Ryan, Merrill, Djoos, Larkin, HiroseTBL: Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Cirelli, Rutta
DET 0 – 1 TBL
3:57
TBLAnthony Cirelli (Luke Schenn, Victor Hedman)wrist0.07 xG
DET: Djoos, Larkin, Fabbri, StecherTBL: Killorn, Schenn, Hedman, Cirelli
DET 0 – 2 TBL
4:54
TBLRyan McDonagh (Blake Coleman, Barclay Goodrow)wrist0.06 xG
DET: Nielsen, Ryan, Staal, Mantha, HronekTBL: McDonagh, Palat, Coleman, Goodrow, Foote
DET 0 – 3 TBL

2nd period

7:25
TBLBrayden Point (Steven Stamkos, Ondrej Palat)wrist0.34 xG
DET: Nielsen, Staal, Helm, Glendening, StecherTBL: Stamkos, Palat, Point, Sergachev, Foote
DET 0 – 4 TBL
9:49
DETAnthony Mantha (Christian Djoos)wrist0.04 xG
DET: Merrill, Namestnikov, Djoos, Mantha, HiroseTBL: Killorn, Schenn, Johnson, Cirelli, Sergachev
DET 1 – 4 TBL
11:32
TBLAlex Killorn (Mikhail Sergachev, Blake Coleman)tip-in0.06 xG
DET: Ryan, Nemeth, Larkin, Fabbri, HronekTBL: Killorn, Coleman, Gourde, Sergachev, Foote
DET 1 – 5 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:07	—	—	32	31
Bobby Ryan R	L1	0	0	0	-3	0	0.08	1	1	0	15:59	—	—	29	33
Robby Fabbri C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.19	1	2	0	15:12	—	—	33	40
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	1	0	16:01	—	—	29	34
Anthony Mantha R	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.10	0	0	4	14:29	—	—	33	20
Taro Hirose L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	13:40	—	—	40	23
Sam Gagner C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	0	1	2	16:16	—	—	50	46
Frans Nielsen C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.19	1	0	0	14:02	—	—	42	27
Valtteri Filppula C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	2	13:14	—	—	50	29
Luke Glendening C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	1	1	0	14:48	—	—	57	37
Darren Helm C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	3	0	0	14:12	—	—	71	47
Adam Erne L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	4	0	0	11:41	—	—	61	63
Jon Merrill D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	2	0	22:10	—	—	46	32
Christian Djoos D	D1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.06	1	1	0	16:57	—	—	43	26
Filip Hronek D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.07	1	0	0	22:12	—	—	32	34
Patrik Nemeth D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	1	0	20:13	—	—	40	48
Marc Staal D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	1	0	0	19:15	—	—	46	32
Troy Stecher D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	0	2	0	16:13	—	—	55	36

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Calvin Pickard	—	21	19	2	.905	1.80	54:08
Thomas Greiss(start)	L	6	3	3	.500	0.53	5:36

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	1	0	0	18:36	—	—	43	68
Brayden Point C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.43	0	1	0	16:22	—	—	47	74
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.04	1	1	2	15:28	—	—	43	70
Alex Killorn L	L2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.14	0	1	0	18:47	—	—	65	61
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.11	0	1	0	17:36	—	—	52	56
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	1	1	0	5	0.44	0	0	0	15:21	—	—	56	60
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	1	0	0	16:13	—	—	74	81
Blake Coleman L	L3	0	2	2	+2	2	0.17	1	0	2	15:28	—	—	83	74
Barclay Goodrow C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.22	2	1	0	14:12	—	—	68	72
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.07	0	1	0	20:11	—	—	63	70
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	16:37	—	—	72	78
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.22	3	1	0	19:37	—	—	44	64
Cal Foote D	D2	0	0	0	+3	0	0.02	2	1	0	12:28	—	—	42	60
Victor Hedman D	D3	1	1	2	+2	2	0.11	1	1	0	21:32	—	—	60	64
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.12	0	0	0	13:28	—	—	65	77
Mathieu Joseph R	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	15:56	—	—	54	62
Patrick Maroon L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	13:49	—	—	37	36
Luke Schenn D	—	0	1	1	0	2	0.10	3	1	2	10:19	—	—	42	47

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	16	15	1	.938	1.40	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.