Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 18, 2017

FinalWednesday, Oct 18, 2017· Air Canada Centre

away

Detroit Red WingsDET

3

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
DET	1	2	0	3		DET	11	7	15	33
TOR	4	1	1	6		TOR	5	13	8	26

: DET 56TOR 38
: DET 2.19TOR 2.54
PP goals: DET 0TOR 1
Hits: DET 30TOR 21
Blocks: DET 4TOR 12
PIM: DET 6TOR 6
: DET 40%TOR 60%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 6–3

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 6–3 at home. Nick Jensen (DET) led the scoring with 0G 3A. TOR scored 6 goals on 2.54 expected goals (38 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Nick Jensen had 3 assists (3 points) in 18:05.Jensen
Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:58.Matthews
Points
Morgan Rielly had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:29.Rielly
Points
Nazem Kadri had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:24.Kadri
Points
William Nylander had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:16.Nylander
Points
Zach Hyman had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:40.Hyman
Points
Dylan Larkin had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:48.Larkin
Luck
TOR scored 6 goals on 2.54 expected goals (38 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DET attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
DET
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 94 of 94 attempts · TOR 38 · DET 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
DET
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
DET pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DET 37% of the game, TOR 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

DET

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DET	TOR
	55	35
	2.37	1.43
	2.29	1.40
	8	10
	4	1
	19	20
	−0.065	+0.065
	37%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Detroit Red Wings

L1Zetterberg – Nyquist – Mantha
9:2840% CF
L2Abdelkader – Tatar – Larkin
9:1386% CF
L3Nielsen – Helm – Frk
6:0486% CF
D1Daley – Ericsson
14:5765% CF
D2Kronwall – Green
14:5656% CF
D3Jensen – Ouellet
13:3161% CF

PP1Zetterberg – Kronwall – Abdelkader – Nyquist – Tatar
2:44100% CF
PP2Green – Sheahan – Frk – Mantha – Larkin
1:55100% CF
PK1FNielsen – Helm
0:38
PK2FMantha – Larkin
0:34
PK1DDaley – Ericsson
0:38
PK2DGreen – Ouellet
0:34

Current DET line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
12:4946% CF
L2Marleau – Komarov – Kadri
12:2242% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Brown
8:3840% CF
L4Fehr – Martin – Marner
5:2825% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
15:1544% CF
D2Gardiner – Zaitsev
13:4256% CF
D3Carrick – Borgman
11:2930% CF

PP1van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
0:51100% CF
PP2Marleau – van Riemsdyk – Rielly – Brown – Marner
0:21100% CF
PK1FKomarov – Hyman
2:59
PK2FFehr – Brown
1:23
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
4:12

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:56
TORNazem Kadri (Ron Hainsey)wrist0.07 xG
DET: Zetterberg, Kronwall, Green, Nyquist, ManthaTOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly
DET 0 – 1 TOR
6:39
TORZach Hyman (Morgan Rielly, William Nylander)tip-in0.09 xG
DET: Zetterberg, Daley, Ericsson, Abdelkader, ManthaTOR: Gardiner, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews
DET 0 – 2 TOR
12:10
DETHenrik Zetterberg (Nick Jensen)wrap-around0.04 xG
DET: Zetterberg, Nyquist, Jensen, Ouellet, ManthaTOR: van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Carrick, Brown, Borgman
DET 1 – 2 TOR
15:46
TORAuston Matthews (Zach Hyman)wrist0.07 xG
DET: Daley, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Tatar, LarkinTOR: Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev
DET 1 – 3 TOR
16:26
TORConnor Brown (James van Riemsdyk, Andreas Borgman)wrist0.01 xG
DET: Nielsen, Green, Nyquist, Ouellet, ManthaTOR: van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown, Zaitsev
DET 1 – 4 TOR

2nd period

7:02
DETTomas Tatar (Dylan Larkin, Nick Jensen)snap0.03 xG
DET: Daley, Green, Tatar, LarkinTOR: Hainsey, Gardiner, Bozak, Nylander
DET 2 – 4 TOR
8:36
DETJonathan Ericsson (Nick Jensen, Dylan Larkin)slap0.01 xG
DET: Ericsson, Abdelkader, Helm, Jensen, LarkinTOR: Fehr, Gardiner, Martin, Marner, Zaitsev
DET 3 – 4 TOR
12:57
TORMorgan RiellyPP (Tyler Bozak, Nazem Kadri)wrist0.06 xG
DET: Daley, Nielsen, Ericsson, HelmTOR: van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner
DET 3 – 5 TOR

3rd period

16:52
TORWilliam NylanderEN (Auston Matthews, Jake Gardiner)wrist0.70 xG
DET: Daley, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Frk, Mantha, LarkinTOR: Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev
DET 3 – 6 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Henrik Zetterberg C	L1	1	0	1	-1	5	0.11	1	0	0	20:07	—	—	53	66
Anthony Mantha R	L1	0	0	0	-3	1	0.20	1	0	0	18:04	—	—	36	45
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.49	0	0	0	17:49	—	—	50	66
Tomas Tatar L	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.34	1	0	0	18:21	—	—	88	90
Justin Abdelkader L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	4	0	2	17:52	—	—	67	61
Dylan Larkin C	L2	0	2	2	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	17:48	—	—	79	68
Frans Nielsen C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.01	2	0	0	16:20	—	—	77	65
Darren Helm C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.16	1	0	0	15:00	—	—	81	83
Martin Frk R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	3	0	0	12:26	—	—	77	56
Jonathan Ericsson D	D1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.07	2	0	2	18:08	—	—	65	59
Trevor Daley D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.10	1	0	0	17:49	—	—	65	60
Mike Green D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	2	2	0	22:49	—	—	57	63
Niklas Kronwall D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	1	0	2	19:29	—	—	58	62
Xavier Ouellet D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	2	0	0	18:47	—	—	58	66
Nick Jensen D	D3	0	3	3	+2	0	0.00	2	1	0	18:05	—	—	68	70
Luke Glendening C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	2	1	0	10:17	—	—	62	50
Riley Sheahan C	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	0	0	9:47	—	—	60	37
Luke Witkowski D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	7:05	—	—	55	46

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek	L	21	19	2	.905	1.41	43:53
Jimmy Howard(start)	—	4	1	3	.250	0.42	15:46

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Hyman L	L1	1	1	2	+3	2	0.10	1	2	2	20:40	—	—	33	34
William Nylander R	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.90	1	0	2	18:16	—	—	29	32
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	+3	1	0.07	0	1	0	17:58	—	—	50	48
Leo Komarov R	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	6	0	0	18:24	—	—	48	39
Nazem Kadri C	L2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.27	1	0	0	17:24	—	—	32	27
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.15	1	0	0	16:54	—	—	52	41
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.14	0	0	2	12:19	—	—	41	49
Connor Brown R	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.20	0	0	0	12:14	—	—	38	48
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.12	0	0	0	12:13	—	—	35	47
Mitch Marner R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.24	1	0	0	11:21	—	—	33	24
Eric Fehr C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	8:51	—	—	33	27
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	1	0	0	6:56	—	—	33	28
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	1	1	0	23:21	—	—	41	32
Morgan Rielly D	D1	1	1	2	+2	2	0.14	0	0	0	22:29	—	—	39	32
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	3	4	0	23:30	—	—	46	50
Jake Gardiner D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	0	2	0	20:28	—	—	48	55
Andreas Borgman D	D3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.00	5	1	0	15:23	—	—	27	31
Connor Carrick D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	1	0	13:19	—	—	30	39

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	W	33	30	3	.909	2.19	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.