Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 24, 2018

FinalSaturday, Mar 24, 2018· Air Canada Centre

away

Detroit Red WingsDET

3

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
DET	0	2	1	3		DET	11	19	11	41
TOR	1	1	2	4		TOR	15	8	6	29

: DET 65TOR 65
: DET 3.72TOR 3.79
PP goals: DET 0TOR 0
Hits: DET 19TOR 13
Blocks: DET 19TOR 11
PIM: DET 13TOR 7
: DET 47%TOR 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Detroit Red Wings 4–3

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 4–3 at home. Frans Nielsen (DET) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 41 shots and stopped 38 (.927), +8 against a season average of 33.5; the win.

Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 41 shots and stopped 38 (.927), +8 against a season average of 33.5; the win.Andersen
Usage
Luke Witkowski (DET) played 13:33, +6:53 up on his 6:40 season average over 30 games.Witkowski
Usage
Nick Jensen (DET) played 20:39, +4:27 up on his 16:12 season average over 80 games.Jensen
Usage
Tomas Plekanec (TOR) played 10:29, −4:43 down on his 15:12 season average over 76 games.Plekanec
Usage
Jonathan Ericsson (DET) played 22:47, +3:31 up on his 19:16 season average over 80 games.Ericsson
PP1
TOR's PP1 (van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri and Marner) went scoreless in 3:32 of 5v4 time with 6 attempts.van Riemsdyk Gardiner Bozak Kadri Marner
Cats
Niklas Kronwall (DET) blocked 6 shots in 19:28.Kronwall

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DET attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
DET
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 130 of 130 attempts · TOR 65 · DET 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
DET
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
DET pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DET 31% of the game, TOR 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

DET

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DET	TOR
	70	54
	3.63	2.90
	3.48	2.79
	17	12
	11	5
	19	23
	−0.037	+0.037
	31%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Detroit Red Wings

L1Helm – Mantha – Larkin
10:3439% CF
L2Zetterberg – Nyquist – Bertuzzi
10:0267% CF
L3Nielsen – Abdelkader – Athanasiou
4:01100% CF
L4Glendening – Frk – Svechnikov
3:0460% CF
D1Daley – Ericsson
14:1756% CF
D2Jensen – DeKeyser
12:4968% CF

PP1Daley – Nielsen – Frk – Mantha – Larkin
1:20100% CF
PP2Zetterberg – Kronwall – Abdelkader – Nyquist – Bertuzzi
0:280% CF
PK1FGlendening – Larkin
1:51
PK2FNielsen – Helm
1:44
PK1DJensen – DeKeyser
2:01
PK2DDaley – Ericsson
1:19

Current DET line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
12:5358% CF
L2Marleau – Kadri – Marner
11:2722% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Brown
10:5224% CF
L4Plekanec – Johnsson – Kapanen
8:0165% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
16:3247% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
13:3635% CF
D3Polak – Dermott
10:4733% CF

PP1van Riemsdyk – Gardiner – Bozak – Kadri – Marner
3:3286% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
1:51100% CF
PK1FMarleau – Kapanen
0:37
PK2FPlekanec – Johnsson
0:30
PK1DHainsey – Polak
1:18

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

14:30
TORKasperi Kapanen (Tyler Bozak, James van Riemsdyk)wrist0.13 xG
DET: Ericsson, Jensen, Frk, Athanasiou, SvechnikovTOR: van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Kapanen, Dermott
DET 0 – 1 TOR

2nd period

4:32
DETDylan Larkin (Anthony Mantha)snap0.06 xG
DET: Daley, Ericsson, Helm, Mantha, LarkinTOR: Polak, Hyman, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews
DET 1 – 1 TOR
9:37
DETTyler Bertuzzi (Danny DeKeyser, Henrik Zetterberg)snap0.14 xG
DET: Zetterberg, Nyquist, Jensen, DeKeyser, BertuzziTOR: Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen
DET 2 – 1 TOR
14:19
TORConnor Brown (Travis Dermott, Morgan Rielly)tip-in0.05 xG
DET: Zetterberg, Daley, Ericsson, Nyquist, BertuzziTOR: van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Brown, Dermott
DET 2 – 2 TOR

3rd period

4:58
DETFrans Nielsen (Luke Witkowski, Niklas Kronwall)wrist0.09 xG
DET: Kronwall, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Witkowski, AthanasiouTOR: Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Brown, Dermott
DET 3 – 2 TOR
7:27
TORWilliam Nylander (Auston Matthews)wrist0.17 xG
DET: Helm, Jensen, DeKeyser, Mantha, LarkinTOR: Hainsey, Hyman, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews
DET 3 – 3 TOR
12:34
TORNazem Kadri (Patrick Marleau, Mitch Marner)wrist0.15 xG
DET: Zetterberg, Kronwall, Nyquist, Witkowski, BertuzziTOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev
DET 3 – 4 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.53	2	0	0	19:54	—	—	57	55
Anthony Mantha R	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.21	0	1	0	17:06	—	—	49	42
Darren Helm C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.32	0	0	7	14:37	—	—	52	52
Henrik Zetterberg C	L2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.32	0	1	2	18:36	—	—	68	66
Gustav Nyquist R	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.25	0	0	0	17:14	—	—	65	71
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.34	2	1	2	14:54	—	—	60	60
Frans Nielsen C	L3	1	0	1	+1	6	0.59	1	1	0	17:27	—	—	61	69
Justin Abdelkader L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.16	0	1	0	16:33	—	—	64	70
Andreas Athanasiou C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	0	0	14:09	—	—	50	46
Luke Glendening C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	2	0	12:00	—	—	38	35
Martin Frk R	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.57	0	0	0	7:49	—	—	60	59
Evgeny Svechnikov L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	6:35	—	—	44	28
Jonathan Ericsson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.06	3	1	0	22:47	—	—	57	58
Trevor Daley D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	2	19:47	—	—	56	63
Nick Jensen D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.09	3	0	0	20:39	—	—	66	52
Danny DeKeyser D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.02	3	4	0	20:18	—	—	58	59
Niklas Kronwall D	—	0	1	1	0	2	0.04	1	6	0	19:28	—	—	54	54
Luke Witkowski D	—	0	1	1	0	1	0.14	1	0	0	13:33	—	—	47	50

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	L	29	25	4	.862	3.79	58:34

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.26	0	0	0	20:30	—	—	59	60
William Nylander R	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.70	0	0	0	17:25	—	—	58	60
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	5	15:32	—	—	59	59
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.25	0	2	0	18:46	—	—	25	25
Nazem Kadri C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.26	0	1	0	17:29	—	—	24	21
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.24	1	1	0	14:43	—	—	22	23
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.21	0	1	0	17:47	—	—	28	32
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.33	0	1	0	16:05	—	—	30	33
Connor Brown R	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.20	0	0	2	12:25	—	—	24	23
Andreas Johnsson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	0	1	0	13:00	—	—	61	55
Kasperi Kapanen R	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.36	4	0	0	10:49	—	—	58	57
Tomas Plekanec C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	1	0	0	10:29	—	—	59	59
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	0	1	0	22:23	—	—	51	51
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.13	2	0	0	20:06	—	—	47	45
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	2	1	0	21:36	—	—	42	35
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	19:48	—	—	38	29
Roman Polak D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	2	0	0	15:51	—	—	35	51
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.20	0	2	0	13:36	—	—	45	72

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	41	38	3	.927	3.72	59:40

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.