Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple LeafsDec 21, 2019

FinalSaturday, Dec 21, 2019· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
DET	0	0	1	1		DET	10	13	7	30
TOR	0	1	3	4		TOR	10	6	7	23

: DET 52TOR 51
: DET 2.40TOR 3.06
PP goals: DET 1TOR 1
Hits: DET 26TOR 14
Blocks: DET 12TOR 7
PIM: DET 17TOR 23
: DET 45%TOR 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 4–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 4–1 at home. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:00 together.

Points
Auston Matthews had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 17:50.Matthews
Points
Zach Hyman had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 2 shots in 16:35.Hyman
Points
Mitch Marner had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 20:02.Marner
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:00 together.Tavares Barrie Nylander Marner Matthews
New line
New look for DET: Mantha–Larkin–Zadina skated 7:08 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (44.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Mantha Larkin Zadina
New line
New look for TOR: Gauthier–Timashov–Moore skated 7:53 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (46.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Gauthier Timashov Moore
New line
New look for DET: Filppula–Bertuzzi–Fabbri skated 5:47 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (64.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Filppula Bertuzzi Fabbri
New line
New look for DET: Erne–Perlini–Ehn skated 4:03 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Erne Perlini Ehn

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DET attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
DET
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 103 of 103 attempts · TOR 51 · DET 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
DET
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
DET pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DET 26% of the game, TOR 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

DET

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DET	TOR
	53	54
	2.52	3.22
	2.44	3.05
	11	8
	7	7
	19	25
	−0.005	+0.005
	26%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Detroit Red Wings

L1Mantha – Larkin – Zadina
7:0844% CF
L2Filppula – Bertuzzi – Fabbri
5:4764% CF
L3Helm – Glendening – Athanasiou
5:4180% CF
L4Erne – Perlini – Ehn
4:0350% CF
D1Green – Nemeth
16:2855% CF
D2Daley – Hronek
15:2939% CF
D3Lashoff – Bowey
13:0037% CF

PP1Filppula – Green – Athanasiou – Erne – Zadina
1:03100% CF
PP2Bertuzzi – Mantha – Larkin – Fabbri – Hronek
0:59100% CF
PK1FHelm – Glendening
1:01
PK2FFilppula – Ehn
0:40
PK1DNemeth – Hronek
2:28
PK2DLashoff – Bowey
0:40

Current DET line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Gauthier – Timashov – Moore
7:5346% CF
L2Tavares – Hyman – Marner
6:4960% CF
L3Nylander – Kapanen – Matthews
6:3933% CF
L4Kerfoot – Engvall – Mikheyev
6:3336% CF
D1Barrie – Rielly
16:5145% CF
D2Ceci – Dermott
15:0253% CF
D3Muzzin – Holl
13:5962% CF

PP1Tavares – Barrie – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
2:00100% CF
PP2Hyman – Rielly – Kerfoot – Kapanen – Timashov
0:39
PK1FHyman – Marner
1:36
PK2FGauthier – Engvall
0:00
PK1DRielly – Ceci
2:01

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

17:10
TORZach Hyman (Morgan Rielly)wrist0.36 xG
DET: Green, Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, AthanasiouTOR: Barrie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews
DET 0 – 1 TOR

3rd period

2:18
TORAuston MatthewsPP (John Tavares, Mitch Marner)wrist0.12 xG
DET: Filppula, Helm, Nemeth, HronekTOR: Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
DET 0 – 2 TOR
8:51
TORZach Hyman (Auston Matthews)backhand0.03 xG
DET: Daley, Green, Mantha, Larkin, ZadinaTOR: Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Marner, Matthews
DET 0 – 3 TOR
13:39
TORAuston Matthews (Mitch Marner, Zach Hyman)snap0.23 xG
DET: Daley, Erne, Perlini, Larkin, HronekTOR: Hyman, Ceci, Dermott, Marner, Matthews
DET 0 – 4 TOR
18:16
DETTyler BertuzziPP (Andreas Athanasiou, Robby Fabbri)wrist0.03 xG
DET: Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, HronekTOR: Hyman, Rielly, Ceci, Marner
DET 1 – 4 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.44	0	2	0	20:21	—	—	46	45
Anthony Mantha R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	1	4	16:19	—	—	33	29
Filip Zadina R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	2	13:17	—	—	38	30
Valtteri Filppula C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	1	1	0	18:06	—	—	50	48
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.07	1	0	0	16:15	—	—	62	62
Robby Fabbri C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.10	1	0	2	14:24	—	—	54	55
Andreas Athanasiou C	L3	0	1	1	-1	5	0.49	1	0	9	17:14	—	—	82	64
Luke Glendening C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	3	0	0	14:22	—	—	54	49
Darren Helm C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:06	—	—	74	53
Adam Erne L	L4	0	0	0	-1	4	0.15	4	1	0	14:04	—	—	41	18
Brendan Perlini L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	1	1	0	10:49	—	—	36	25
Christoffer Ehn C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:32	—	—	29	24
Patrik Nemeth D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	1	2	0	24:11	—	—	61	56
Mike Green D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.10	0	0	0	20:25	—	—	56	49
Filip Hronek D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	2	0	23:44	—	—	44	33
Trevor Daley D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.17	0	1	0	17:24	—	—	42	31
Madison Bowey D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	4	0	0	17:24	—	—	48	53
Brian Lashoff D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	1	0	14:50	—	—	41	42

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Calvin Pickard	L	20	16	4	.800	2.58	53:08
Jonathan Bernier(start)	—	3	3	0	.1000	0.47	6:52

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dmytro Timashov L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	12:02	—	—	55	64
Frederik Gauthier C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.13	2	0	0	10:05	—	—	50	59
Trevor Moore L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.17	2	0	0	9:45	—	—	46	70
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	2	2	+3	1	0.05	0	0	0	20:02	—	—	63	74
John Tavares C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.46	1	0	0	18:19	—	—	57	64
Zach Hyman L	L2	2	1	3	+3	2	0.48	0	0	0	16:35	—	—	69	71
Auston Matthews C	L3	2	1	3	+3	4	0.45	0	0	0	17:50	—	—	44	55
William Nylander R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	0	1	0	14:41	—	—	40	40
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	0	0	13:07	—	—	40	44
Ilya Mikheyev R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	0	0	0	16:21	—	—	48	45
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	15:44	—	—	48	45
Pierre Engvall L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.25	2	0	0	14:34	—	—	47	51
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.10	0	1	0	22:49	—	—	48	51
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.28	0	2	0	21:43	—	—	43	50
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	1	1	0	20:06	—	—	50	68
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	10	17:42	—	—	47	62
Jake Muzzin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	1	6	17:39	—	—	58	55
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	0	0	5	17:08	—	—	64	67

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Michael Hutchinson(start)	W	30	29	1	.967	2.40	59:37

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.