Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 30, 2021

FinalSaturday, Oct 30, 2021· Scotiabank Arena

away

Detroit Red WingsDET

4

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
DET	0	1	3	4		DET	10	8	13	31
TOR	1	1	3	5		TOR	14	16	8	38

: DET 54TOR 65
: DET 2.41TOR 3.03
PP goals: DET 1TOR 1
Hits: DET 21TOR 23
Blocks: DET 15TOR 14
PIM: DET 4TOR 4
: DET 36%TOR 64%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Detroit Red Wings 5–4

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 5–4 at home. John Tavares (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. DET's first power-play unit (Gagner, Larkin, Zadina, Seider and Raymond) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:10 together.

Points
John Tavares had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 17:05.Tavares
Points
Alexander Kerfoot had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:30.Kerfoot
Points
Filip Zadina had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:33.Zadina
Points
Jake Muzzin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 24:24.Muzzin
Points
Joseph Veleno had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 12:28.Veleno
PP1
DET's first power-play unit (Gagner, Larkin, Zadina, Seider and Raymond) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:10 together.Gagner Larkin Zadina Seider Raymond
New line
New look for DET: Namestnikov–Rasmussen–Veleno skated 7:02 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Namestnikov Rasmussen Veleno
Goalie
Thomas Greiss (DET) faced 38 shots and stopped 33 (.868), +11 against a season average of 27.2; the loss.Greiss

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DET attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
DET
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · TOR 65 · DET 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
DET
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
DET pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DET 20% of the game, TOR 36%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

DET

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DET	TOR
	50	74
	2.17	3.03
	2.11	2.90
	7	24
	8	5
	26	20
	−0.069	+0.069
	20%	36%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Detroit Red Wings

L1Larkin – Fabbri – Raymond
12:5670% CF
L2Namestnikov – Rasmussen – Veleno
7:0250% CF
L3Gagner – Rowney – Stephens
4:3222% CF
L4Smith – Suter – Zadina
2:0550% CF
D1Leddy – Hronek
16:1933% CF
D2DeKeyser – Seider
13:4448% CF
D3Staal – Oesterle
13:1243% CF

PP1Gagner – Larkin – Zadina – Seider – Raymond
2:1067% CF
PP2Leddy – Fabbri – Hronek – Rasmussen – Suter
1:20100% CF
PK1FGagner – Stephens
1:26
PK2FNamestnikov – Suter
0:28
PK1DDeKeyser – Seider
0:34
PK2DStaal – Hronek
0:18

Current DET line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Kerfoot – Marner
12:4865% CF
L2Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
12:1261% CF
L3Engvall – Kase – Kampf
10:3965% CF
L4Spezza – Simmonds – Ritchie
8:3057% CF
D1Muzzin – Brodie
16:0260% CF
D2Rielly – Dermott
14:2156% CF
D3Liljegren – Sandin
11:1980% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
1:02
PP2Spezza – Ritchie – Bunting – Engvall – Sandin
0:22100% CF
PK1FKerfoot – Marner
1:12
PK2FKase – Kampf
0:39
PK1DMuzzin – Brodie
1:30
PK2DRielly – Dermott
0:39

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

19:46
TORJake Muzzin (TJ Brodie, John Tavares)wrist0.04 xG
DET: Gagner, DeKeyser, Larkin, Stephens, SeiderTOR: Muzzin, Brodie, Tavares, Kerfoot, Marner
DET 0 – 1 TOR

2nd period

8:19
DETFilip ZadinaPP (Moritz Seider, Sam Gagner)wrist0.07 xG
DET: Gagner, Larkin, Zadina, Seider, RaymondTOR: Muzzin, Brodie, Kerfoot, Engvall
DET 1 – 1 TOR
19:42
TORMichael BuntingPP (Jason Spezza, Nick Ritchie)tip-in0.37 xG
DET: Staal, Gagner, Stephens, SeiderTOR: Spezza, Ritchie, Bunting, Engvall, Sandin
DET 1 – 2 TOR

3rd period

0:17
TORAlexander Kerfoot (John Tavares, Jake Muzzin)wrist0.07 xG
DET: Leddy, Rowney, Hronek, Suter, ZadinaTOR: Muzzin, Brodie, Tavares, Kerfoot, Marner
DET 1 – 3 TOR
1:36
DETJoseph Veleno (Michael Rasmussen)wrist0.18 xG
DET: Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Rasmussen, Veleno, SeiderTOR: Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Dermott, Matthews
DET 2 – 3 TOR
7:47
TORJohn Tavares (Alexander Kerfoot, Morgan Rielly)snap0.08 xG
DET: Staal, Gagner, Oesterle, Stephens, SmithTOR: Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Dermott, Marner
DET 2 – 4 TOR
10:11
DETVladislav Namestnikov (Joseph Veleno, Jordan Oesterle)wrist0.31 xG
DET: Staal, Namestnikov, Oesterle, Rasmussen, VelenoTOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Dermott
DET 3 – 4 TOR
17:55
TORMitch Marnerwrap-around0.03 xG
DET: Leddy, Oesterle, Larkin, Fabbri, RaymondTOR: Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Marner, Liljegren
DET 3 – 5 TOR
19:31
DETFilip Hronek (Lucas Raymond, Filip Zadina)slap0.06 xG
DET: Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek, Zadina, Seider, RaymondTOR: Muzzin, Brodie, Tavares, Marner, Kampf
DET 4 – 5 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.53	0	2	0	21:47	—	—	61	57
Robby Fabbri C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.50	3	0	2	19:38	—	—	63	59
Lucas Raymond L	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	18:26	—	—	68	67
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L2	1	0	1	+2	1	0.31	0	0	0	15:49	—	—	39	53
Michael Rasmussen C	L2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.15	0	2	2	14:55	—	—	40	54
Joseph Veleno C	L2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.24	2	0	0	12:28	—	—	39	40
Mitchell Stephens C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	2	0	14:15	—	—	27	11
Sam Gagner C	L3	0	1	1	-2	0	0.03	0	1	0	13:24	—	—	32	25
Carter Rowney C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	11:46	—	—	30	8
Filip Zadina R	L4	1	1	2	0	2	0.16	2	0	0	17:33	—	—	23	26
Pius Suter C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	0	0	14:13	—	—	21	23
Givani Smith R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	2	0	0	7:34	—	—	31	47
Filip Hronek D	D1	1	0	1	0	1	0.06	1	2	0	23:39	—	—	35	24
Nick Leddy D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.02	1	1	0	20:49	—	—	31	19
Moritz Seider D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.01	0	2	0	22:27	—	—	55	49
Danny DeKeyser D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	3	0	17:38	—	—	39	33
Jordan Oesterle D	D3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.08	2	0	0	17:18	—	—	40	68
Marc Staal D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	15:55	—	—	48	70

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Thomas Greiss(start)	L	38	33	5	.868	3.03	58:32

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	0	1	+3	2	0.03	0	1	0	19:34	—	—	60	87
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	1	1	2	+4	3	0.21	2	1	0	17:30	—	—	63	90
John Tavares C	L1	1	2	3	+2	3	0.20	1	1	2	17:05	—	—	65	65
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.61	0	0	0	16:22	—	—	61	61
Michael Bunting L	L2	1	0	1	-2	4	0.69	0	0	0	15:09	—	—	58	52
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.12	0	0	0	14:56	—	—	57	48
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	2	0	0	16:54	—	—	57	38
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	1	0	15:08	—	—	64	46
Ondrej Kase R	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.14	2	0	0	14:06	—	—	63	43
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	1	1	0	11:31	—	—	56	65
Nick Ritchie L	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:16	—	—	56	68
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	0	0	0	5	0.43	4	0	0	9:36	—	—	56	57
Jake Muzzin D	D1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.08	2	2	0	24:24	—	—	60	62
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.07	0	1	2	20:33	—	—	54	50
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.04	4	2	0	24:27	—	—	51	42
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	2	2	0	16:24	—	—	54	46
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.17	1	2	0	17:19	—	—	81	82
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	2	0	0	15:16	—	—	71	90

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	W	31	27	4	.871	2.41	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.