Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 7, 2023

FinalSaturday, Jan 7, 2023· Scotiabank Arena

away

Detroit Red WingsDET

1

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
DET	1	0	0	1		DET	8	10	5	23
TOR	0	2	2	4		TOR	2	12	15	29

: DET 44TOR 55
: DET 1.93TOR 4.23
PP goals: DET 0TOR 1
Hits: DET 38TOR 21
Blocks: DET 13TOR 9
PIM: DET 10TOR 8
: DET 48%TOR 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 4–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 4–1 at home. John Tavares (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 5:36 together.

Points
John Tavares had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 17:10.Tavares
Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 21:00.Marner
Points
Morgan Rielly had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 22:34.Rielly
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 5:36 together.Tavares Rielly Nylander Marner Matthews
New line
New look for DET: Copp–Rasmussen–Raymond skated 11:04 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (52.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Copp Rasmussen Raymond
New line
New look for DET: Perron–Larkin–Berggren skated 9:25 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Perron Larkin Berggren
Usage
Pius Suter (DET) played 9:30, −4:37 down on his 14:07 season average over 78 games.Suter
Usage
Elmer Soderblom (DET) played 8:18, −3:58 down on his 12:16 season average over 20 games.Soderblom

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DET attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
DET
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 99 of 99 attempts · TOR 55 · DET 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
DET
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
DET pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DET 27% of the game, TOR 44%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

DET

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DET	TOR
	40	38
	1.65	1.98
	1.60	1.89
	12	11
	2	4
	18	12
	−0.018	+0.018
	27%	44%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Detroit Red Wings

L1Copp – Rasmussen – Raymond
11:0452% CF
L2Perron – Larkin – Berggren
9:2555% CF
L3Sundqvist – Erne – Suter
7:1975% CF
L4Kubalik – Veleno – Soderblom
6:1945% CF
D1Walman – Seider
12:4382% CF
D2Chiarot – Hronek
11:5858% CF
D3Maatta – Oesterle
9:4725% CF

PP1Sundqvist – Walman – Veleno – Berggren – Seider
2:2486% CF
PP2Perron – Kubalik – Larkin – Hronek – Raymond
1:48
PK1FCopp – Rasmussen
3:56
PK2FErne – Larkin
2:41
PK1DWalman – Seider
2:46
PK2DChiarot – Hronek
2:42

Current DET line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
10:0147% CF
L2Kerfoot – Engvall – Kampf
8:1265% CF
L3Tavares – Jarnkrok – Marner
5:5363% CF
L4Hunt – Aston-Reese – Holmberg
4:50100% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
13:2932% CF
D2Giordano – Holl
12:3347% CF
D3Liljegren – Sandin
12:2460% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
5:3688% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Bunting – Engvall – Liljegren – Sandin
0:3650% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
2:13
PK2FJarnkrok – Kerfoot
1:17
PK1DBrodie – Holl
2:39
PK2DRielly – Liljegren
0:47

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

11:57
DETJake Walman (Olli Maatta, Filip Hronek)wrist0.17 xG
DET: Maatta, Kubalik, Walman, Hronek, VelenoTOR: Giordano, Holl, Kerfoot, Matthews, Kampf
DET 1 – 0 TOR

2nd period

0:24
TORMitch MarnerPP (Auston Matthews, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.03 xG
DET: Copp, Walman, Rasmussen, SeiderTOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
DET 1 – 1 TOR
6:37
TORJohn Tavares (Calle Jarnkrok, Mark Giordano)wrist0.16 xG
DET: Chiarot, Kubalik, Copp, Hronek, RaymondTOR: Giordano, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Holl, Marner
DET 1 – 2 TOR

3rd period

6:19
TORPontus Holmberg (Morgan Rielly, TJ Brodie)tip-in0.05 xG
DET: Maatta, Kubalik, Oesterle, Veleno, SoderblomTOR: Brodie, Rielly, Engvall, Hunt, Holmberg
DET 1 – 3 TOR
18:21
TORJohn TavaresEN (Mitch Marner, Justin Holl)backhand0.90 xG
DET: Perron, Sundqvist, Kubalik, Veleno, Berggren, SeiderTOR: Tavares, Jarnkrok, Holl, Rielly, Marner
DET 1 – 4 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Andrew Copp C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	1	2	0	19:48	—	—	46	42
Michael Rasmussen C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	6	0	0	17:39	—	—	50	48
Lucas Raymond L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.10	2	0	0	15:31	—	—	48	37
Dylan Larkin C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	2	0	0	19:56	—	—	54	41
David Perron L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	0	0	0	16:30	—	—	47	31
Jonatan Berggren R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	15:23	—	—	53	51
Oskar Sundqvist C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.16	1	2	0	13:53	—	—	75	98
Adam Erne L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	0	0	12:46	—	—	60	63
Pius Suter C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	0	0	2	9:30	—	—	64	72
Joseph Veleno C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.25	0	0	0	12:15	—	—	47	40
Dominik Kubalik L	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.06	1	0	0	11:29	—	—	41	32
Elmer Soderblom L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	2	0	0	8:18	—	—	42	35
Moritz Seider D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	5	1	2	24:50	—	—	67	68
Jake Walman D	D1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.31	3	1	2	22:23	—	—	73	97
Filip Hronek D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.10	2	1	0	20:36	—	—	52	45
Ben Chiarot D	D2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.07	4	5	2	19:14	—	—	59	38
Olli Maatta D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	17:24	—	—	27	29
Jordan Oesterle D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:11	—	—	26	17

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Magnus Hellberg(start)	L	28	25	3	.893	3.33	58:39

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.24	0	0	0	21:12	—	—	41	45
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.54	0	1	2	19:58	—	—	39	34
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	0	2	18:33	—	—	42	42
David Kampf C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.32	3	0	0	15:19	—	—	57	54
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	2	0	0	14:15	—	—	67	71
Pierre Engvall L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	1	0	0	13:54	—	—	67	79
Mitch Marner R	L3	1	1	2	+2	1	0.07	1	0	0	21:00	—	—	36	43
John Tavares C	L3	2	0	2	+2	7	2.44	2	0	2	17:10	—	—	44	61
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:48	—	—	55	59
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.12	0	0	0	9:28	—	—	40	30
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	1	0	8:40	—	—	46	58
Dryden Hunt L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	0	0	8:39	—	—	46	47
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	2	2	+2	3	0.09	1	0	0	22:34	—	—	46	56
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	2	0	18:37	—	—	30	36
Justin Holl D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	2	0	19:19	—	—	53	58
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	16:38	—	—	50	61
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	0	0	17:39	—	—	54	54
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	3	1	0	16:49	—	—	64	64

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	23	22	1	.957	1.93	59:28

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.