Detroit Red Wings vs. Nashville PredatorsOct 5, 2019

FinalSaturday, Oct 5, 2019· Bridgestone Arena

away

Detroit Red WingsDET

5

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
DET	2	0	3	5		DET	9	10	9	28
NSH	0	2	1	3		NSH	10	15	17	42

: DET 52NSH 73
: DET 3.47NSH 2.91
PP goals: DET 0NSH 1
Hits: DET 13NSH 18
Blocks: DET 18NSH 9
PIM: DET 4NSH 4
: DET 45%NSH 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Detroit Red Wings beat Nashville Predators 5–3

Detroit Red Wings beat Nashville Predators 5–3 at NSH. Tyler Bertuzzi (DET) led the scoring with 2G 2A. Jimmy Howard (DET) faced 42 shots and stopped 39 (.929), +12 against a season average of 30.3; the win.

Points
Tyler Bertuzzi had two goals and 2 assists (4 points) on 2 shots in 19:48.Bertuzzi
Points
Anthony Mantha had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 5 shots in 21:26.Mantha
Points
Dylan Larkin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:10.Larkin
Points
Luke Glendening had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:21.Glendening
Points
Mattias Ekholm had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:21.Ekholm
Points
Matt Duchene had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:49.Duchene
Goalie
Jimmy Howard (DET) faced 42 shots and stopped 39 (.929), +12 against a season average of 30.3; the win.Howard
Usage
Calle Jarnkrok (NSH) played 11:48, −4:12 down on his 16:00 season average over 63 games.Jarnkrok

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DET attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
DET
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 125 of 125 attempts · NSH 73 · DET 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
DET
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
DET pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DET 28% of the game, NSH 36%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

DET

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DET	NSH
	43	83
	1.53	3.15
	1.51	3.00
	2	7
	5	5
	18	16
	−0.079	+0.079
	28%	36%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Detroit Red Wings

L1Bertuzzi – Mantha – Larkin
15:0342% CF
L2Filppula – Glendening – Hirose
7:1442% CF
L3Nielsen – Erne – Ehn
5:5324% CF
L4Abdelkader – Helm – de la Rose
4:5563% CF
D1Green – Nemeth
17:5244% CF
D2DeKeyser – Hronek
16:2928% CF
D3Daley – Cholowski
12:1036% CF

PP1Bertuzzi – Mantha – Larkin – Cholowski – Hirose
2:07100% CF
PP2Filppula – Nielsen – Green – Erne – Hronek
1:5367% CF
PK1FAbdelkader – Glendening
0:49
PK2FBertuzzi – Larkin
0:26
PK1DNemeth – DeKeyser
1:20
PK2DDaley – Hronek
0:35

Current DET line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Granlund – Forsberg
14:0568% CF
L2Smith – Johansen – Arvidsson
12:2465% CF
L3Turris – Jarnkrok – Grimaldi
9:2481% CF
L4Bonino – Watson – Sissons
8:0846% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
21:0173% CF
D2Ekholm – Fabbro
17:2156% CF
D3Hamhuis – Weber
11:3063% CF

PP1Bonino – Turris – Ellis – Smith – Granlund
1:040% CF
PP2Josi – Duchene – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
0:51100% CF
PK1FJohansen – Arvidsson
1:50
PK2FBonino – Sissons
1:41
PK1DJosi – Ellis
2:44
PK2DHamhuis – Ekholm
0:47

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

10:29
DETTyler Bertuzzi (Dylan Larkin, Anthony Mantha)wrist0.10 xG
DET: Green, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Mantha, LarkinNSH: Hamhuis, Turris, Weber, Jarnkrok, Grimaldi
DET 1 – 0 NSH
11:40
DETAnthony Mantha (Tyler Bertuzzi)backhand0.14 xG
DET: DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, HronekNSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Granlund, Forsberg
DET 2 – 0 NSH

2nd period

4:40
NSHViktor ArvidssonPP (Matt Duchene, Ryan Johansen)wrist0.15 xG
DET: Nemeth, Glendening, DeKeyser, EhnNSH: Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson
DET 2 – 1 NSH
12:58
NSHFilip Forsberg (Mattias Ekholm, Matt Duchene)wrist0.06 xG
DET: Filppula, Glendening, DeKeyser, Hronek, HiroseNSH: Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, Fabbro
DET 2 – 2 NSH

3rd period

4:02
DETDylan Larkin (Anthony Mantha, Tyler Bertuzzi)slap0.03 xG
DET: Daley, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, CholowskiNSH: Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, Fabbro
DET 3 – 2 NSH
4:48
NSHMattias Ekholm (Kyle Turris, Calle Jarnkrok)backhand0.03 xG
DET: Nielsen, DeKeyser, Erne, Ehn, HronekNSH: Turris, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Grimaldi, Fabbro
DET 3 – 3 NSH
9:24
DETLuke Glendening (Valtteri Filppula)wrist0.08 xG
DET: Filppula, Daley, Glendening, Cholowski, HiroseNSH: Hamhuis, Turris, Weber, Jarnkrok, Grimaldi
DET 4 – 3 NSH
18:58
DETTyler BertuzziEN (Luke Glendening, Danny DeKeyser)wrap-around0.47 xG
DET: Glendening, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Larkin, HronekNSH: Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson
DET 5 – 3 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	1	1	2	+4	2	0.38	0	0	0	22:10	—	—	44	40
Anthony Mantha R	L1	1	2	3	+3	5	0.44	0	1	4	21:26	—	—	45	43
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L1	2	2	4	+4	2	0.57	0	0	0	19:48	—	—	46	45
Valtteri Filppula C	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.62	0	0	0	17:25	—	—	27	13
Luke Glendening C	L2	1	1	2	+1	2	0.43	2	1	0	14:21	—	—	30	23
Taro Hirose L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	1	0	13:40	—	—	36	17
Frans Nielsen C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	1	1	0	14:04	—	—	23	17
Adam Erne L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	4	3	0	12:29	—	—	19	14
Christoffer Ehn C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:22	—	—	20	14
Justin Abdelkader L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:09	—	—	36	38
Jacob de la Rose L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	1	0	11:14	—	—	30	42
Darren Helm C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	0	0	10:18	—	—	42	43
Mike Green D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	0	1	0	22:48	—	—	44	29
Patrik Nemeth D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	1	2	0	21:40	—	—	40	23
Filip Hronek D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	21:31	—	—	24	32
Danny DeKeyser D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.35	0	3	0	21:25	—	—	26	34
Dennis Cholowski D	D3	0	0	0	+2	3	0.08	2	1	0	16:34	—	—	36	40
Trevor Daley D	D3	0	0	0	+2	2	0.19	0	2	0	13:43	—	—	33	38

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	W	42	39	3	.929	2.91	59:43

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	2	2	-1	3	0.14	0	1	0	18:49	—	—	68	80
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	0	1	-2	3	0.68	6	0	0	18:39	—	—	63	71
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.23	1	0	0	18:28	—	—	68	73
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	1	0	1	-1	4	0.23	0	0	0	17:03	—	—	64	76
Ryan Johansen C	L2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.06	2	0	0	16:57	—	—	65	73
Craig Smith C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	1	0	0	15:52	—	—	67	76
Kyle Turris C	L3	0	1	1	-1	4	0.37	0	0	0	12:13	—	—	76	78
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	1	1	-1	4	0.37	0	0	0	11:48	—	—	78	81
Rocco Grimaldi R	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.15	0	0	0	11:47	—	—	78	78
Nick Bonino C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	3	0	13:55	—	—	47	19
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	0	0	12:56	—	—	50	21
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	10:50	—	—	47	18
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.14	0	0	0	26:06	—	—	75	82
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.08	2	2	0	26:04	—	—	72	79
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.14	0	3	2	21:21	—	—	53	70
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	1	0	0	19:55	—	—	58	73
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.02	0	0	0	12:55	—	—	63	41
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.10	0	0	0	12:29	—	—	63	41

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	27	23	4	.852	2.02	57:53

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.