Detroit Red Wings vs. Buffalo SabresFeb 9, 2019

FinalSaturday, Feb 9, 2019· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
DET	0	1	0	1		DET	12	5	12	29
BUF	0	3	0	3		BUF	4	12	5	21

: DET 57BUF 46
: DET 2.24BUF 1.40
PP goals: DET 1BUF 2
Hits: DET 12BUF 10
Blocks: DET 14BUF 14
PIM: DET 6BUF 8
: DET 41%BUF 59%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Detroit Red Wings 3–1

Buffalo Sabres beat Detroit Red Wings 3–1 at home. Dylan Larkin (DET) led the scoring with 1G 0A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, Mittelstadt and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:03 together.

PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, Mittelstadt and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:03 together.Skinner Reinhart Eichel Mittelstadt Dahlin
New line
New look for BUF: Sobotka–Rodrigues–Thompson skated 9:06 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sobotka Rodrigues Thompson
Usage
Thomas Vanek (DET) played 18:20, +4:17 up on his 14:03 season average over 63 games.Vanek
Luck
BUF scored 3 goals on 1.40 expected goals (46 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Conor Sheary (BUF) played 10:59, −3:41 down on his 14:40 season average over 77 games.Sheary
Usage
Jack Eichel (BUF) played 16:55, −3:34 down on his 20:29 season average over 76 games.Eichel
Usage
Marco Scandella (BUF) played 22:10, +4:38 up on his 17:32 season average over 62 games.Scandella
Usage
Sam Reinhart (BUF) played 15:14, −3:46 down on his 19:00 season average over 81 games.Reinhart

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DET attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
DET
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 103 of 103 attempts · BUF 46 · DET 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
DET
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
DET pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DET 27% of the game, BUF 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

DET

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DET	BUF
	53	47
	1.54	1.28
	1.48	1.26
	10	8
	5	2
	10	16
	−0.040	+0.040
	27%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Detroit Red Wings

L1Nielsen – Vanek – Mantha
7:3160% CF
L2Helm – Glendening – Athanasiou
7:1417% CF
L3Abdelkader – Nyquist – Larkin
5:3340% CF
L4de la Rose – Ehn – Rasmussen
5:0360% CF
D1Kronwall – Green
16:0459% CF
D2Jensen – DeKeyser
15:5448% CF
D3Ericsson – Cholowski
11:0752% CF

PP1Kronwall – Vanek – Athanasiou – Mantha – Larkin
2:56100% CF
PP2Nielsen – Green – Nyquist – Cholowski – Rasmussen
2:17100% CF
PK1FHelm – Glendening
1:35
PK2FAbdelkader – de la Rose
0:53
PK1DJensen – DeKeyser
1:31

Current DET line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Pominville – Skinner – Eichel
12:4360% CF
L2Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
11:4344% CF
L3Sobotka – Rodrigues – Thompson
9:0638% CF
L4Sheary – Reinhart – Mittelstadt
9:0661% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
18:1339% CF
D2Bogosian – Dahlin
14:5238% CF
D3McCabe – Pilut
12:3371% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
2:0380% CF
PP2Pominville – Ristolainen – Sheary – Rodrigues – Pilut
0:21100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
3:51
PK2FSobotka – Rodrigues
1:30
PK1DBogosian – McCabe
3:23
PK2DScandella – Ristolainen
1:03

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

1:15
BUFConor Shearywrist0.04 xG
DET: Kronwall, Green, Abdelkader, Nyquist, LarkinBUF: Scandella, Ristolainen, Sheary, Reinhart, Mittelstadt
DET 0 – 1 BUF
10:05
BUFCasey MittelstadtPP (Jack Eichel, Rasmus Dahlin)wrist0.05 xG
DET: Helm, Jensen, Glendening, DeKeyserBUF: Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, Mittelstadt, Dahlin
DET 0 – 2 BUF
17:14
DETDylan LarkinPP (Thomas Vanek, Andreas Athanasiou)wrap-around0.06 xG
DET: Vanek, Athanasiou, Mantha, Larkin, CholowskiBUF: Bogosian, Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons
DET 1 – 2 BUF
19:29
BUFKyle OkposoPP (Rasmus Ristolainen, Evan Rodrigues)wrist0.03 xG
DET: Helm, Jensen, Glendening, DeKeyserBUF: Okposo, Ristolainen, Sheary, Reinhart, Rodrigues
DET 1 – 3 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Thomas Vanek L	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.15	1	0	0	18:20	—	—	62	59
Frans Nielsen C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	17:23	—	—	68	60
Anthony Mantha R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	1	0	0	17:20	—	—	61	56
Andreas Athanasiou C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.25	0	1	0	19:10	—	—	46	59
Darren Helm C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	0	2	0	13:32	—	—	30	34
Luke Glendening C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	1	0	13:22	—	—	21	27
Dylan Larkin C	L3	1	0	1	-1	5	0.93	1	0	0	22:54	—	—	57	67
Gustav Nyquist R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	0	0	0	20:18	—	—	64	68
Justin Abdelkader L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	3	0	2	11:53	—	—	40	41
Michael Rasmussen C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	2	0	2	11:10	—	—	60	40
Jacob de la Rose L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	2	0	9:11	—	—	63	34
Christoffer Ehn C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	7:51	—	—	63	50
Mike Green D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	1	1	0	24:55	—	—	62	53
Niklas Kronwall D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	0	1	2	20:12	—	—	54	42
Danny DeKeyser D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	2	0	20:00	—	—	48	51
Nick Jensen D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	1	0	19:42	—	—	48	53
Dennis Cholowski D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	17:43	—	—	52	59
Jonathan Ericsson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	1	1	0	14:51	—	—	52	65

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	L	21	18	3	.857	1.40	57:28

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	0	2	17:01	—	—	59	51
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.19	1	1	0	16:55	—	—	54	53
Jason Pominville R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	0	0	0	14:03	—	—	58	57
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	3	0	0	17:52	—	—	42	39
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	0	0	17:17	—	—	32	35
Kyle Okposo R	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.07	0	0	0	12:51	—	—	41	42
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.07	1	0	0	15:20	—	—	37	29
Vladimir Sobotka C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:36	—	—	38	33
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	1	0	2	11:00	—	—	33	29
Sam Reinhart C	L4	0	0	0	+1	3	0.10	0	0	2	15:14	—	—	48	55
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.28	0	0	0	12:03	—	—	52	68
Conor Sheary L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	0	0	0	10:59	—	—	57	64
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	0	5	0	23:29	—	—	41	40
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	5	2	22:10	—	—	39	38
Zach Bogosian D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	2	0	22:39	—	—	41	44
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	18:30	—	—	41	47
Jake McCabe D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	17:08	—	—	63	64
Lawrence Pilut D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	14:25	—	—	70	62

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	W	29	28	1	.966	2.24	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.