Detroit Red Wings vs. Buffalo SabresMar 28, 2019

Final / OTThursday, Mar 28, 2019· KeyBank Center

away

Detroit Red WingsDET

5

@

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Buffalo SabresBUF

4

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
DET	1	1	2	1	5		DET	17	5	11	1	34
BUF	0	2	2	0	4		BUF	15	11	11	2	39

: DET 54BUF 61
: DET 2.60BUF 3.62
PP goals: DET 1BUF 1
Hits: DET 17BUF 17
Blocks: DET 12BUF 11
PIM: DET 6BUF 6
: DET 63%BUF 37%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Detroit Red Wings edge Buffalo Sabres 5–4 (OT)

Detroit Red Wings beat Buffalo Sabres 5–4 in overtime at BUF. Tyler Bertuzzi (DET) led the scoring with 2G 1A. BUF's first power-play unit (Okposo, Sheary, Montour, Nylander and Mittelstadt) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 3:08 together.

Points
Tyler Bertuzzi had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 16:58.Bertuzzi
Points
Anthony Mantha had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 17:39.Mantha
Points
Dylan Larkin had two goals (2 points) on 12 shots in 22:59.Larkin
Points
Casey Mittelstadt had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:07.Mittelstadt
Points
Filip Hronek had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:26.Hronek
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Okposo, Sheary, Montour, Nylander and Mittelstadt) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 3:08 together.Okposo Sheary Montour Nylander Mittelstadt
PP1
DET's first power-play unit (Kronwall, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Mantha and Larkin) scored 1 power-play goal on 11 attempts in 2:46 together.Kronwall Athanasiou Bertuzzi Mantha Larkin
Usage
Jonathan Ericsson (DET) played 4:38, −12:50 down on his 17:28 season average over 51 games.Ericsson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DET attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
DET
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · BUF 61 · DET 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
DET
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
DET pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DET 22% of the game, BUF 36%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

DET

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DET	BUF
	47	60
	1.42	3.16
	1.41	3.07
	8	11
	5	5
	12	6
	+0.118	−0.118
	22%	36%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Detroit Red Wings

L1Bertuzzi – Mantha – Larkin
9:4752% CF
L2Glendening – Athanasiou – Hirose
7:5545% CF
L3Nielsen – Helm – Kuffner
3:4750% CF
D1DeKeyser – Bowey
17:4042% CF
D2McIlrath – Hronek
9:4745% CF
D3Kronwall – Ericsson
0:00

PP1Kronwall – Athanasiou – Bertuzzi – Mantha – Larkin
2:46100% CF
PP2Nielsen – Puempel – Hronek – Kuffner – Hirose
1:17
PK1FGlendening – Larkin
1:40
PK2FNielsen – Ehn
1:21
PK1DDeKeyser – Bowey
1:13
PK2DEricsson – McIlrath
1:13

Current DET line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
12:3663% CF
L2Pominville – Skinner – Mittelstadt
12:1157% CF
L3Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
7:5871% CF
L4Sobotka – Sheary – Nylander
7:2644% CF
D1Montour – Pilut
18:2445% CF
D2Scandella – Nelson
13:4061% CF
D3Borgen – Dahlin
11:4356% CF

PP1Okposo – Sheary – Montour – Nylander – Mittelstadt
3:08100% CF
PP2Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
2:45100% CF
PK1FSobotka – Eichel
1:30
PK2FGirgensons – Reinhart
1:16
PK1DBorgen – Dahlin
1:20
PK2DScandella – Nelson
1:17

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

12:02
DETTyler BertuzziPP (Anthony Mantha, Niklas Kronwall)tip-in0.12 xG
DET: Kronwall, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Mantha, LarkinBUF: Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Nelson
DET 1 – 0 BUF

2nd period

1:00
DETFilip Hronek (Anthony Mantha, Tyler Bertuzzi)slap0.04 xG
DET: McIlrath, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, HronekBUF: Scandella, Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel
DET 2 – 0 BUF
6:12
BUFKyle OkposoPP (Casey Mittelstadt, Brandon Montour)wrist0.07 xG
DET: Nielsen, Helm, DeKeyser, BoweyBUF: Okposo, Sheary, Montour, Nylander, Mittelstadt
DET 2 – 1 BUF
17:16
BUFMarco Scandella (Zemgus Girgensons, Johan Larsson)wrist0.09 xG
DET: Kronwall, Witkowski, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, ManthaBUF: Okposo, Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Nelson
DET 2 – 2 BUF

3rd period

6:44
DETDylan Larkin (Madison Bowey, Anthony Mantha)wrist0.05 xG
DET: Helm, DeKeyser, Bowey, Mantha, LarkinBUF: Sheary, Eichel, Borgen, Nylander, Dahlin
DET 3 – 2 BUF
13:04
DETDylan Larkin (Filip Hronek)slap0.02 xG
DET: McIlrath, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, HronekBUF: Sobotka, Sheary, Borgen, Nylander, Dahlin
DET 4 – 2 BUF
15:01
BUFCasey Mittelstadt (Jeff Skinner, Jason Pominville)wrist0.12 xG
DET: McIlrath, Puempel, Ehn, Hronek, KuffnerBUF: Pominville, Scandella, Skinner, Nelson, Mittelstadt
DET 4 – 3 BUF
15:42
BUFJack Eichel (Victor Olofsson, Sam Reinhart)wrist0.14 xG
DET: DeKeyser, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Mantha, LarkinBUF: Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Pilut
DET 4 – 4 BUF

OT period

2:18
DETTyler Bertuzzi (Danny DeKeyser, Taro Hirose)slap0.16 xG
DET: DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, HiroseBUF: Reinhart, Olofsson, Dahlin
DET 5 – 4 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	2	0	2	+2	12	0.74	0	0	0	22:59	—	—	53	35
Anthony Mantha R	L1	0	3	3	+1	1	0.08	0	0	0	17:39	—	—	50	34
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L1	2	1	3	+1	4	0.59	0	0	0	16:58	—	—	46	30
Andreas Athanasiou C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.36	0	0	0	22:03	—	—	35	35
Luke Glendening C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	3	1	0	18:57	—	—	46	72
Taro Hirose L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.03	0	2	0	16:24	—	—	50	51
Darren Helm C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	0	0	2	16:55	—	—	39	60
Frans Nielsen C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.17	1	0	0	15:23	—	—	45	19
Ryan Kuffner L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	0	0	13:17	—	—	43	33
Danny DeKeyser D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	2	2	2	24:13	—	—	38	24
Madison Bowey D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.03	0	3	0	22:29	—	—	42	33
Filip Hronek D	D2	1	1	2	+1	2	0.09	2	0	0	22:26	—	—	41	40
Dylan McIlrath D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	3	0	0	16:12	—	—	43	13
Niklas Kronwall D	D3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	18:32	—	—	48	54
Jonathan Ericsson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	4:38	—	—	33	2
Matt Puempel L	—	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	0	1	0	11:40	—	—	39	20
Christoffer Ehn C	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:50	—	—	21	17
Luke Witkowski D	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	2	1	2	9:28	—	—	61	58

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	W	39	35	4	.897	3.62	62:10

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.15	0	0	0	23:02	—	—	67	81
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.94	0	1	0	21:40	—	—	63	80
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	1	1	-1	5	0.44	0	0	0	16:25	—	—	65	81
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.36	2	0	0	17:52	—	—	60	87
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.18	1	0	0	16:07	—	—	56	60
Jason Pominville R	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.16	0	0	0	15:01	—	—	54	53
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.13	4	0	0	15:51	—	—	50	70
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.11	3	0	2	12:47	—	—	54	79
Kyle Okposo R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.07	0	1	0	12:16	—	—	50	69
Conor Sheary L	L4	0	0	0	-2	3	0.35	0	1	0	12:46	—	—	48	33
Alex Nylander L	L4	0	0	0	-2	4	0.43	0	0	0	11:58	—	—	50	51
Vladimir Sobotka C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:11	—	—	39	27
Brandon Montour D	D1	0	1	1	0	4	0.18	1	3	0	29:14	—	—	55	80
Lawrence Pilut D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	2	21:22	—	—	41	64
Marco Scandella D	D2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.11	0	1	0	16:59	—	—	63	68
Casey Nelson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	2	0	16:39	—	—	65	77
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	1	0	2	17:36	—	—	58	52
Will Borgen D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	2	1	0	14:32	—	—	58	46

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	O	34	29	5	.853	2.60	62:18

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.